Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - March 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   03/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IN SEARCH OF Mar07 Feb21       (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 3.00 17% 5.00    
2  AWESOME BREAK Mar07 Feb21       (bi)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 4.00 9% 9.90    
3  BAY DEFENSE Feb21         (maver e)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 8.00 ★    
4  MUNDO MIX Mar10         (caramori ed)FRANKLIN MALCOM 118 2.50 39% 1.60    
5  ONE WAY TO WIN Mar01         (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 126 2.00 12% 7.20    
SCR  STORMY PROSPECTOR Mar09         (vazquez ivan)DIAZ I 126 15.00    
 
MVR-2   03/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3 ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLYING GUILLOTINE Mar10 Mar05 Feb26 Feb18 Jan31 (bailey ricardo)DIAZ I 122 6.00 ★    
2  DONDADA Mar05 Feb15 Jan31     (bryant donal)ROMERO GREGORY 122 3.50 10% 8.70    
3  SEE SPOT RUN Mar02 Jan22       (anderson susan)MACHADO LUAN 122 4.00 ★    
4  BUENAS NOCHES         (vicker)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 10.00    
5  RYEGATE STONE Mar10 Feb15       (acevedo isr)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 2.00 53% 0.90    
6  FLOCKED         (kobiskie da)FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 3.00 13% 6.60    
 
MVR-3   03/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PARTICUS         (gorham )PILARES P 118 3.00 43% 1.30    
1A  KEEPING SCORE Mar09 Jan22       (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 126 3.00 ★    
2  MR LOOOCH         (quartarolo antho)RIVERA R 118 2.50 ★    
3  UNBRIDLED CAUSE         (anderson susan)MACHADO LUAN 118 4.50    
4  WEEKENDER         (hamm timoth)MARTINEZ R 118 3.50 ★    
5  QUIMBY Mar09 Feb18 Jan25     (evans ii)LEON SONNY 118 6.00 30% 2.40    
6  TWELVE PACK STEVE         (hamm timoth)FRANKLIN MALCOM 118 8.00    
7  NOT JUST GEORGE         (faulkner c)VELEZ J 126 15.00 ★    
 
MVR-4   03/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LIL RICKYS JEWEL Mar05 Jan05       (cline c)HOUGHTON D 118 8.00    
2  TALE OF LACEY Feb26         (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 4.50 9% 9.80    
3  QUIET AMIGO Mar02 Feb14       (zielinski r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 3.00 ★    
4  COUNTRY CLUB BOBBY Mar02 Jan19       (radosevich jeff)LEON SONNY 116 1.20 36% 1.80    
5  MUTINY         (hamm timoth)FRANKLIN MALCOM 116 6.00 ★    
6  KID RUSSELL Feb14 Jan19 Jan04     (juarez lorenzo)RIVERA R 124 8.00 29% 2.50    
 
MVR-5   03/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAKESCENTSTOUS         (reed r)LEON SONNY 124 3.00 40% 1.50    
2  DARK TEMPTRESS Mar02 Jan01       (cowans d)RIVERA R 124 2.50    
3  MIS ELAIN E US         (reed r)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 124 8.00 ★    
4  JOYA BRILLANTE Feb26 Jan21       (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 3.50 7% 14.40    
5  QUARANTINA Mar01 Jan31       (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 124 15.00    
6  YOGURT Feb10 Jan22       (short derric)ROMERO GREGORY 124 4.00 ★    
7  TIZ INDEPENDENCE Jan31 Jan01       (skerrett je)MARTINEZ R 124 6.00 28% 2.60    
 
MVR-6   03/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUY CARO Feb28 Jan08       (cowans willia)BRACHO A 124 8.00 ★    
SCR  PLAY BALL Feb28 Feb14 Jan12     (murillo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  FIRST CITIZEN Feb28 Jan04       (welsh r)PAUCAR E 126 2.00 49% 1.00    
SCR  AHIMELECH Feb28         (skerrett je)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 124 4.00    
5  KADRI Feb28 Feb11 Jan08 Jan01   (cash l)LEON SONNY 124 3.50 14% 6.30    
6  ALACRITOUS Mar05         (buttigieg kevi)GONZALEZ A 124 2.50 9% 10.60    
 
MVR-7   03/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LATIN SPICE Jan04         (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 124 2.50 13% 6.40    
1A  FREE SAILIN Feb19         (dacosta jas)SEVERINO VICTOR 116 2.50 ★    
2  AIRWAR Mar02 Feb21 Jan09     (smith larry)FRANKLIN MALCOM 126 4.00 7% 13.20    
3  BREEZY MONEY Mar08 Feb23 Jan15 Jan04   (rone penny)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 126 2.00 39% 1.50    
4  SCARED WARIOR         (casalinova tin)GONZALEZ A 124 20.00 7% 13.70    
SCR  WAR ACT Mar05         (ellio)ULLOA PATRICIO 124 6.00 12% 7.30    
6  BEACH FRONT Mar02 Feb19 Jan14     (ur)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 3.00    
 
MVR-8   03/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUBY JANE Feb23 Jan15       (erfle geral)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 2.50 17% 5.00    
2  Z U IN MY DREAMS Feb14 Jan11       (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 124 10.00 8% 11.10    
3  PERKEO Mar02 Jan13       (balo will)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 116 3.00 12% 7.30    
4  ROTTEN TO THE CORE Feb14         (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.00 37% 1.70    
5  TUFFIAN Feb16 Jan15       (sweeting craig)GONZALEZ A 124 8.00    
6  TREASURED NIKKY Feb23 Feb16 Jan21     (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.50 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.