Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Oaklawn Park
Sunday - March 20, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
OP-1   03/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($39K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANADIAN GINGER Feb27 Jan30       (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00 21% 3.80    
NORTHERN DIAMOND Feb27 Jan30 Jan09     (hartman chris)HIRALDO JOHN 115 2.00    
DRINKATTHECREEK Jan01         (lauer michae)GEROUX FLORENT 120 8.00    
PARKIN IN THE REAR Feb12         (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 4.00 41% 1.50    
SCR  ALBERTA SUN Feb19 Jan09       (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 120 1.80    
CATECHISM Feb27 Jan23       (anderson doug)GARCIA MARTIN 120 6.00    
 
OP-2   03/20/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($32K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG BASE Feb21         (frazee larry)JORDAN R 111 8.00 7% 12.60    
HASHTAG WINNER Feb20         (williamson br)CANCHARI ALEX 118 6.00    
ATHENAS SONG Mar06         (ashauer norman)HIRALDO JOHN 113 8.00    
SCR  PIPESTONE Feb20         (mcknight nor)MEDELLIN ERICK 114 5.00    
TAKE CHARGE GAL Jan28         (dixon tim)HARR KELSI 118 4.50 13% 6.90    
RIGHT TRAPPE Feb20         (hobby steve)CONTRERAS LUIS 121 4.00    
LADY GUSTO Feb21 Feb12 Jan28     (hewitt michael)LOPEZ ALBERT 111 20.00    
DESCENTE Feb21         (petalino joe)QUINONEZ S 118 2.00 56% 0.80    
 
OP-3   03/20/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOCH GARMAN Feb27 Jan07       (diodoro roberti)VAZQUEZ A 120 2.00 67% 0.50    
RIFT VALLEY Mar05 Feb18 Jan16     (martin timoth)CABRERA DAVID 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
SPORTY FLYER Jan28         (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 120 8.00    
MOON IN THE SKY Feb27 Feb11       (loy dewaine)COURT K 118 30.00    
GUARD Mar12         (lauer michae)GEROUX FLORENT 123 10.00    
AXIS Feb27 Jan15       (puhl kim)BAILEY CHEL-C 116 8.00    
SO BRAVE         (garcia genar)HEBERT LINDSEY 116 10.00    
WHATA SHOW OFF Feb18         (litfin nevad)JORDAN R 116 20.00    
MEGA MAX Feb27 Feb11 Jan16     (cates al)HARR KELSI 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  STUD PUPPY Feb27 Feb11 Jan15     (zito nichola)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 8.00    
11  SEASIDE BOY Feb11 Jan07       (martin wi)TORRES A 123 5.00 6% 15.60    
 
OP-4   03/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($107K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOYFUL CADENCE Feb12         (ortiz al)CABRERA DAVID 124 2.00 36% 1.80    
HEART FULL OF SOUL         (robertson mc)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 12.00    
PERFECT HAPPINESS Jan22 Jan02       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 1.80 21% 3.80    
BREAK CURFEW Feb13 Jan09       (hiles ric)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 8.00    
SOUTHERN GRAYCE Feb19         (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.50    
MELTING SNOW Feb19         (amescua )SANTANA JR 121 3.50 15% 5.70    
 
OP-5   03/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SITTIN ON GO Jan08         (von ke)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
MOLTO VIVACE Jan16 Jan02       (maker mi)SANTANA JR 123 2.00 34% 2.00    
SAG HARBOR Jan16         (matthews )TORRES A 123 5.00 13% 6.40    
VULCAN Jan23 Jan02       (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 10.00    
FIVE DREAMS Mar11 Feb12 Jan15     (hewitt michael)BOREL H 125 12.00    
SCR  O DOGG Feb27 Jan16       (contreras cipr)HIRALDO JOHN 118 8.00    
MARVIN Feb27 Jan16       (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 123 4.00 19% 4.20    
DEFLATER Feb27 Feb18 Jan16     (cline n)HARR KELSI 123 8.00    
GREAT FACES Feb19 Jan16       (villafranco fre)VAZQUEZ A 123 6.00    
 
OP-6   03/20/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($42K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HYPERFOCUS Feb20 Jan29       (mcknight nor)MEDELLIN ERICK 114 20.00    
SIGNOFTHECROSS Mar06 Jan28       (diodoro roberti)VAZQUEZ A 124 3.50 24% 3.20    
HARDLY A SECRET Mar05 Feb18       (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 124 10.00 7% 12.90    
MOROCCO         (compton greg)HIRALDO JOHN 113 15.00 5% 19.00    
FIRST LINE Feb26 Jan23       (hewitt mi)TORRES A 124 15.00    
KERSHAW Feb20 Jan29 Jan01     (potts wayne)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 2.50 31% 2.20    
ROAMING UNION Feb20         (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00    
LASTCHANCEATGLORY Mar06 Jan29       (stuart sh)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 12.00    
COLOSI Feb21 Jan09       (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 118 6.00    
10  BULL HOLLOW Jan29 Jan07       (mason ingrid)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 20.00    
11  EGO Mar04 Jan29 Jan09     (holthus e)COURT K 121 10.00 13% 6.70    
 
OP-7   03/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MCMANSION Feb27         (williamson bria)VAZQUEZ A 125 20.00    
DEVIOUS (GB) Feb26         (moquett ronal)CABRERA DAVID null      
COMEDY ACT Jan23         (morse l)HIRALDO JOHN 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
M M M MY SHAROANA         (maker mi)SANTANA JR 120 8.00    
MARTIQUE MISS Mar06 Feb13       (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 3.50 24% 3.10    
DISTORTED SECRETS Feb18 Jan15       (deville carl)GEROUX FLORENT 120 6.00 35% 1.90    
CHURCH SERVICE Feb27 Feb13 Jan30 Jan07   (cline n)HARR KELSI 125 5.00 17% 5.00    
JOG         (von donn)QUINONEZ S 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
CANDYWRAPPER CRAZY Feb27 Jan30       (bauer philip )GARCIA MARTIN 125 6.00    
10  LAC VIEUX DESERT         (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 120 4.50    
11  MAGIC MAGS Jan30         (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 120 8.00    
 
OP-8   03/20/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($106K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROLLING FORK Feb26         (ortiz al)CABRERA DAVID 119 4.50 6% 15.20    
NAME REJECTED Mar05 Feb20 Jan01     (villafra)SANTANA JR 124 6.00    
SCR  DOUBLE BOGEY         (mckellar joe)HEBERT LINDSEY 106 30.00    
STRATOFORTRESS Feb12 Jan09       (hol)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 6.00    
ERNIE BANKER Mar05 Feb27 Feb11 Jan15   (broberg k)TORRES A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
LEAGUE OF LEGENDS Feb18 Jan09       (fires h)COURT K 121 6.00    
LOCK UP Feb18         (lukas wayn)CONTRERAS LUIS 118 10.00    
DEVIL'S TOWER Feb25 Feb13 Jan16     (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 4.00 57% 0.80    
MESA MOON Feb18 Jan22       (young scott )GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 2.50 13% 6.80    
 
OP-9   03/20/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($106K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOU VEE CEE Feb26 Feb12 Jan22     (deville carl)GEROUX FLORENT 122 4.00 26% 2.90    
BIG SUCCESS Mar05 Jan22       (prather h)VAZQUEZ A 122 8.00    
DINNER AT CRUMPIES Feb13 Jan16       (hornsby tammy)WALES T 123 5.00    
REEF'S DESTINY Mar05 Feb13 Jan16     (cline robert )BAILEY CHEL-C 113 30.00    
DOC IRWIN Feb25         (witt ii)CANCHARI ALEX 120 8.00    
TOPF ROAD RULES Feb27 Jan22       (peitz da)SANTANA JR 125 3.50 52% 0.90    
TWISTED DIXIE Feb26 Jan16       (cline n)HARR KELSI 120 8.00    
RUBIGINOUS Feb18 Jan15       (morse l)CABRERA DAVID 122 8.00    
BUDDY REAUX Feb28 Feb11 Jan05     (dixon tim)CONTRERAS LUIS 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  SUPER GEEK Feb25         (ashauer norman)HIRALDO JOHN 115 20.00    
11  MORE THAN BLESSED Feb19         (cascio andrew)PEREIRA TIAGO 123 8.00    
12  SMOKIN BOOTS Jan30         (petalino joe)COURT K 120 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.