Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fonner Park
Sunday - March 20, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FON-1   03/20/2022 2640ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($7.92K) 3 ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOR REEL Mar06         (bliss dean)TOHILL S 122 2.50 47% 1.10    
MOTRAIN         (rivera p)RAMOS B 117 12.00    
V. R. FRIENDLYGARY Mar06 Feb20 Jan20     (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 122 2.00    
SCR  WHISKEYSPENT         (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 122 12.00    
LUCKY LIQUOR SHOT         (lemburg mark)HAAR NATHAN 122 10.00    
LITTLEBIT DON         (rivera gregorio )MARTINEZ A 122 6.00 5% 17.40    
PAISANO JIM Mar06         (anderson david)OLESIAK JAKE 122 8.00    
TOO MANY CAPTAINS         (black marissa)WOOD DAKOTA 122 4.00 24% 3.10    
 
FON-2   03/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($7.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEBRASKA RED Mar11 Feb20       (mcclain stanley)JUDE JOHN 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
TAKE CHARGE PATTI Mar11 Feb20       (black marissa)WOOD DAKOTA 124 2.00    
UNPLUCKED GEM Mar05         (rushton stacy)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 8.00 12% 7.40    
NICKY SCISSORS         (bethke troy )BETHKE A 124 10.00 9% 10.10    
STAR IN THE SKY Mar11 Feb19       (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 1.60    
AMERICAN REALITY Mar11 Feb16 Feb02 Jan21 Jan05 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ A 120 2.00 38% 1.60    
 
FON-3   03/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($7.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINZE Feb19         (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 124 1.40    
MISS TATER TOT Mar06         (russell nath)BETHKE A 124 5.00    
ROLLIN BLACKOUT         (hawley joe)TOHILL S 120 8.00    
CRIMSON T. Feb26 Jan04       (hawley joe)MUSARRO JOE 120 15.00    
TAP THE HEART Jan14         (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 120 2.50 41% 1.40    
HURRICANE FLORENCE Feb19         (mitchell stets)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 6.00 31% 2.20    
OUR CLOVER GAL         (drake dean)JUDE JOHN 124 8.00    
 
FON-4   03/20/2022 2640ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAWYOUINOURDREAM Mar05         (lemburg mark)ROMAN KEVIN 124 4.00    
SISTER SHIRLEY Mar11 Feb25       (thompson grady)WOOD DAKOTA 124 3.50 10% 8.90    
PEARLE DE VEENE Mar05 Feb20       (riecken keit)BETHKE A 124 3.00 54% 0.90    
SCR  HEAVENS PRINCESS Mar13 Feb24 Jan14     (jondle mark)RAMOS B 120 12.00    
BIG CALI GIRL Feb27 Feb20 Jan27     (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 4.50 7% 12.70    
JOEL'S GIRL Feb25         (condon schuyler)TOHILL S 124 5.00    
EUROROPER Mar05 Feb20 Jan14     (ecoffey)BRICENO GREGOR 124 20.00    
UNTAMED MONEY Mar11 Mar06 Feb18 Feb02 Jan14 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ A 124 6.00    
 
FON-5   03/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($7.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GERDY'S BOY         (rivera gregori)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 10.00    
SCHLEICHER Mar06         (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 120 3.00 27% 2.70    
SING N SPURS Mar06         (bethke troy )BETHKE A 120 15.00    
THE GREATEST EAGLE Mar13 Feb25       (radford j)JUDE JOHN 124 10.00    
BUD MINISTER Feb27 Jan15       (hibdon n)OLESIAK JAKE 124 4.00    
FEISTY BIRD Mar06         (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 124 2.00 10% 9.30    
HALO JAX Feb25         (anderson david )WOOD DAKOTA 124 3.50 40% 1.50    
JONO         (rushton temple)TOHILL S 120 15.00    
 
FON-6   03/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RANDOM AFFAIR Mar06         (burns dale)RAMOS B 124 4.00    
MAXIMUS THE GREAT Mar12 Feb27       (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 10.00 15% 5.90    
GOOSE DRANK WINE Mar06         (rushton temple)JUDE JOHN 124 6.00    
CHAMPAGNE BLING Feb27         (mitchell stetson)TOHILL S 119 2.50 24% 3.20    
BAUDETTE BLIZZARD Mar12 Feb27       (rushton stacy)WOOD DAKOTA 124 15.00    
SLICK IT UP Mar12 Feb27       (radford raymon)OLESIAK JAKE 124 12.00    
GOTTA LOVE IKE Mar12 Mar06 Feb25 Feb04 Jan12 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 124 1.60 37% 1.70    
 
FON-7   03/20/2022 2640ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUNAROUNDDANCING Mar06 Feb20       (anderson david )WOOD DAKOTA 124 6.00 27% 2.70    
KID'S MISCHIEF         (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 124 5.00    
LION HEART LEGEND Feb24 Jan29 Jan06     (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 124 4.50    
COAST GUARDSMAN Feb27         (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 3.50 16% 5.20    
BEAU GOSSE Mar06 Feb27       (thompson grady)LUARK T 124 10.00 8% 11.10    
SHARP ART         (black marissa)JUDE JOHN 124 8.00    
MOST AMUSING Mar12 Feb26       (wise jason)OLESIAK JAKE 124 15.00 6% 16.00    
SINGANDCRYINDUBAI Mar12 Feb24 Feb03     (laffert)BRICENO GREGOR 124 3.00 16% 5.20    
EURAMASTER Mar06 Feb27       (lemburg mark)HAAR NATHAN 124 5.00    
 
FON-8   03/20/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($4.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MASTERFUL STRIDE Mar12 Mar06 Feb20     (luke l)BETHKE A 124 3.00 18% 4.60    
LOOKING FOR BULL         (rushton stacy)JUDE JOHN 124 12.00    
SENOR BLAIR Mar12         (mitchell stetson)TOHILL S 124 3.00    
DREAM BABY DREAM Mar06 Feb19       (drake dean)RAMOS B 124 2.50 39% 1.60    
LITTLE NO WAY         (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
I CALL SHOTGUN         (wise jason)OLESIAK JAKE 124 8.00 5% 18.90    
DANCE EVEN Mar06 Feb19       (luke l)ROMAN KEVIN 124 20.00    
STICKINWITHTHEGUYS Mar06 Feb20       (bliss dean)WOOD DAKOTA 124 12.00    
SCR  NOW MIND YOU Feb27         (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 12.00 9% 9.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.