Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turfway Park
Saturday - March 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TP-1   03/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($18K) 3 F PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIVA DIXIE         (hancock john )CANUTO THIAGO 113 8.00    
SCR  CHINA STAR Feb16 Jan01       (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.00 33% 2.00    
TROUBLE FINDS ME         (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 120 10.00    
JERSEY GOLD Feb11 Jan22       (pittman bonnie)RIVERA BRYAN 110 20.00    
BETTIN ON BELLE         (kenneally edd)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 6.00    
PARADIGM SHIFT Feb23 Feb11 Jan01     (estvanko )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 6.00 7% 12.80    
AFERDITA         (mackey way)VILLASANA CARLOS 120 12.00    
GIDDY UP ZOEY Mar03 Jan01       (short travi)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 5.00    
HIGH MEADOWS Feb11 Jan07       (cook b)BEJARANO R 120 2.50 37% 1.70    
 
TP-2   03/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLESSED WITH LUCK Feb24 Feb10       (eggleston tim)MORALES EDGAR 124 3.00 5% 19.00    
CAPE MARCO DRIVE Feb24         (figueroa )BERMUDEZ E 124 30.00    
EL CHEAPO Feb24         (jarvis kathy)RAMOS D 124 20.00    
INDOCUMENTADO         (jurado luis)LEZCANO ABEL 124 15.00    
SNAKE BITE Feb24 Feb10       (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 124 2.00 25% 3.00    
FULCO         (murphy conor)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 1.60 49% 1.10    
COMMISSARIO Feb23         (figueroa nel)MORALES JOSHUA 124 30.00    
ICECAP Feb24 Feb10 Jan07     (kordenbrock matt)FELIX E 124 8.00    
 
TP-3   03/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($31K) 3 ALL PT- 7:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNDERDRESSED Feb25 Jan22 Jan02     (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 120 3.50 47% 1.10    
SCR  EL BANDERA         (pribble wi)VILLASANA CARLOS 120 20.00    
MIDNIGHT J J Mar09 Feb10 Jan14     (brownfield cla)MACHADO LUAN 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
ZOOMBIE Feb23 Jan22       (walsh ryan )PETERSON FERRIN 120 4.00 5% 18.70    
SLIM SLOW SLIDER Feb23         (hernandez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 5.00    
QUICK MASTER Feb23 Feb11 Jan07     (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 8.00    
BLACKSMITH STRONG Mar04 Feb23       (jurado luis)LEZCANO ABEL 120 50.00    
SCR  GUN RUSH Jan22         (corr)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 6.00    
FROOME (IRE) Feb17         (bush s)BEJARANO R 120 12.00    
10  LEMONADEATTHELATCH Feb16 Jan07       (jacobson matt)CANUTO THIAGO 113 2.50 23% 3.40    
 
TP-4   03/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RANDELLO Mar04 Feb18 Jan16     (garcia ge)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 125 3.00 11% 8.50    
DESTINED FOR HONOR Feb18 Jan16       (hughes g)ACHARD ALEX 125 6.00    
CANDY KINGDOM Feb18 Jan05       (fernandez e)MIRANDA ROGELIO 125 20.00    
WHERE'S LUCKY Mar04 Jan09 Jan01     (bush s)BEJARANO R 118 10.00 8% 12.10    
SMOKEY LEE Feb11 Jan01       (fletcher kevi)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00    
BAYOU PROSPECTOR Feb16         (matejka pavel)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
HOT PASTRAMI         (ewing mich)CORRALES GERARDO 125 8.00    
UPTOWN GUY Feb12 Jan01       (chapman k)MCKEE J 118 20.00    
INCITATUS Mar12 Feb16 Jan16     (garcia ge)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 127 3.50 14% 6.20    
10  FLIGHT TO PARADISE Feb23 Jan16       (anderson susan)MACHADO LUAN 127 3.50 43% 1.30    
11  EL PIQUIN Feb25 Feb16 Jan16     (calvo kelsie)MOJICA JR 125 50.00    
12  GONE ROGUE Feb23 Jan15       (wilson davi)FRANKLIN MALCOM 125 15.00    
 
TP-5   03/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($62K) 3 F PT- 8:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHILLY Jan09         (sims a)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 8.00    
LOST BIKINI         (reed r)LEON SONNY 120 15.00    
BARN DANCE Feb26         (hern)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 20.00    
DALTON'S LOVE Feb19 Jan14       (greenhill )CORRALES GERARDO 120 4.00 5% 17.60    
HEAVENLY HELLOS Jan01         (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 120 15.00    
DETERMINED GOLD Jan23         (schoenthal phil)FELIX E 120 15.00    
PARIS KENTUCKY Feb19 Jan23       (correas ignacio )BEJARANO R 120 3.00 62% 0.60    
AMELIA'S MAP         (ewing mic)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 15.00    
MY LILY MAE Jan23 Jan14       (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 113 3.50 11% 7.80    
10  QUALITY STAR         (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 12.00    
11  MISS RAISON         (sisterson jac)CANNON DECLAN 120 15.00    
12  BEACH KITTEN Feb19 Jan08       (garcia ge)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 12.00    
SCR  BELLA MORNING         (mattingly james)ACHARD ALEX 120 15.00    
SCR  KENDAL GRACE Mar10 Feb16       (acevedo i)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 5.00    
 
TP-6   03/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DELTA GAMMA CATS Mar04 Jan29 Jan16     (west w)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 15.00    
WINWARD FLO Mar09 Feb10 Jan23     (wallace kevin)CANUTO THIAGO 122 20.00    
PRINCESS CAUSEWAY Jan29         (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 4.50    
THUNDERING CREED Jan22         (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
CARAVEL         (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 120 1.20 19% 4.30    
CLUB CAR         (colebrook be)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 1.40 51% 1.00    
BOSSY MAMA         (morey e)BEJARANO R 120 12.00    
 
TP-7   03/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3 F PT- 9:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STORMY NILE Feb18         (ewing micha)PETERSON FERRIN 120 3.00 12% 7.20    
WHITE LILACS         (waltz brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 8.00    
MISS MARPLE Mar12         (evans michael)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 120 5.00    
CAIRO DRIVER Mar04 Feb11 Jan07     (west ethan )FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 5.00 31% 2.30    
SCR  ROSES FOR ASHLEY         (quartarolo)CORRALES GERARDO 120 8.00    
FROSTED CHARM         (dunn d)BEJARANO R 120 12.00    
SWEET VALERIA Feb11         (foster eric)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 6.00    
MERRY OF SOUL         (thomas mark)MACHADO LUAN 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
BACKYARD HEN Feb26 Feb14       (shifflett cheryl)LEON SONNY 120 3.50 26% 2.80    
 
TP-8   03/19/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($66K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRAITOUTTAPOPCORN Feb24         (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 4.00 41% 1.40    
BEAM OF LIGHT Feb24 Jan14       (maker michae)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 12.00    
TWEETY SHOW         (isbell jr)BEJARANO R 124 30.00    
POCA MUCHA Feb24 Jan29       (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 4.00 22% 3.50    
GUITTY (FR) Feb24         (deegan c)ACHARD ALEX 124 15.00    
NICENO Jan29         (vaughan edwar)MORALES EDGAR 124 6.00    
YA BEAUTY (GB) Jan09         (reed r)LEON SONNY 124 5.00    
PETER'S KITTEN Feb24 Jan14       (maker michael )ROCCO S 124 5.00    
BUMBLE OF LOVE Feb24 Jan15       (michael brian)MCKEE J 124 4.50 12% 7.60    
10  RECODED Jan22 Jan09       (foster eric)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 15.00    
11  SUNNY ONE         (murphy co)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 15.00    
 
TP-9   03/19/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT-10:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMARI S. Mar10 Feb17 Jan22     (edgell sharo)TAVARES JAVIER 125 20.00    
SCR  WARIS Mar10         (elliott michell)ACHARD ALEX 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
ISLE OF GRACE         (corrigan jim)CANUTO THIAGO 111 10.00 6% 15.10    
MISS SOVELIA Mar10 Feb19 Jan23 Jan09   (edgell shar)MIRANDA ROGELIO 125 10.00    
MAPLELINE Feb10 Jan15       (burnett armst)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 125 12.00    
KISS THEORY         (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 125 8.00    
STORMY DIVA Mar05 Feb10       (navarrete a)FRANKLIN MALCOM 125 20.00    
ANOTHERMANICMONDAY         (estvanko )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
CROSS THE T'S Mar05 Feb16 Jan23     (langemeier jo)MORALES EDGAR 125 1.40 56% 0.80    
10  I'M STYLIN Mar05 Feb24       (vesty clarke)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 15.00    
11  KICK OUT THE JAMS Jan09         (baez sergio)MACHADO LUAN 125 6.00 6% 14.70    
12  WAVES Feb24 Feb10       (hughes byro)PETERSON FERRIN 123 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.