Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Santa Anita Park
Saturday - March 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SA-1   03/19/2022 3960ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNWRITTEN CODE Jan30         (periban jorge)BAZE C 118 12.00 7% 13.60    
SUITE MADAM BLUE Feb12 Jan22       (hess b)SMITH E 126 2.50    
SHES'A PERFECTLADY         (sadler w)VELAZQUEZ R 126 3.50    
BOWL OF CHERRIES Feb11 Jan21       (ellis w)CEDILLO ABEL 126 4.00    
LUNATIC (CHI) Feb13         (alvarado ruben)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 3.00 30% 2.40    
TRANSLATE Feb12 Jan22       (falcone rob)RISPOLI UMBERTO 126 3.00 39% 1.60    
 
SA-2   03/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($150K) Purse ($53K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMERICAN ADMIRAL Feb26 Jan08       (yakteen tim)BAZE C 126 0.80 60% 0.70    
HAPPY RUNNER Feb25 Jan22       (mccarthy michael)ESPINOZA V 118 2.50    
BALLADEER Feb13         (baltas rich)HERRERA A 113 5.00 6% 15.10    
CANDY FOR CARMEL Feb11         (baltas ric)GONZALEZ RICARDO 118 5.00    
HALFBARBERBINGIE Feb20         (marquez alfre)PYFER JESSICA 126 8.00 11% 7.90    
 
SA-3   03/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ADMIRAL AESCHBACH Feb18         (knapp steve)BRAVO J 118 8.00    
TIZZY TWISTER Feb18 Jan15       (knapp steve)CEDILLO ABEL 118 4.50 12% 7.10    
WARREN'S QUEEN BEE Feb18 Jan30       (lewis crai)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50 23% 3.40    
SWEET CALIFORNIA Feb18 Jan28       (callaghan s)HERRERA A 113 2.00 41% 1.40    
MIX AND MATCH Feb12 Jan28       (mendez luis)ZONETT KEYNER 118 4.00    
ROMAN EMPRESS Feb18 Jan30       (saavedra k)BAZE C 118 12.00    
SWEET DUCK Feb19         (freeman edwar)CURATOLO RYAN 118 8.00    
 
SA-4   03/19/2022 3960ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEILA'S CHARLIE         (b)ROJAS EDUARD 126 50.00    
CURRENT MOOD         (drysdale n)VAN DRAYDEN 118 8.00    
FUNNY FELINE Feb19 Jan28       (koriner brian)VELAZQUEZ R 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
ROUBAIX Feb19 Feb04 Jan02     (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 118 15.00    
ROSIE FORECAST Feb19         (cecil d)BRAVO J 118 3.00 52% 0.90    
MENSA ON TAP         (dunham daniel)CEDILLO ABEL 126 15.00    
KITTEN'S KID Feb21 Jan14       (alvarado ruben)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 3.50 22% 3.60    
SUGAR APPLE         (drysdale neil)CURATOLO RYAN 118 10.00    
SUMMER PUDDING         (free)ORDUNA-ROJAS FRANCISCO 118 8.00    
10  YES YOUR GRAZE Jan30         (glatt mark)HERRERA A 121 20.00    
11  BEAUTIFUL TEMPLE Jan21         (ruis shelbe)GUTIERREZ MARIO 126 4.00    
12  BELLEO'S MUSIC Jan30         (kruljac eric)BAZE C 126 20.00    
SCR  BUSKER ALLIE Feb25 Feb04       (d'amato phi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 4.00    
SCR  MARGOT'S GIRL         (lewis craig)HERRERA A 113 15.00    
 
SA-5   03/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($69K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PHANTOM DANCE Mar05 Jan08       (d'amato ph)GONZALEZ RICARDO 126 4.00 16% 5.40    
ZIMBA WARRIOR Jan28         (hess b)SMITH E 126 15.00    
SCR  FORE LEFT Feb27 Jan21       (vanden britt)EMIGH A 126 6.00    
NOBLE REFLECTION Feb05 Jan17       (baltas rich)HERRERA A 121 20.00    
MONGOLIAN WIND Jan28 Jan02       (baltas richar)CURATOLO RYAN 126 4.00 25% 3.10    
DISCO BALL Feb05         (koriner br)VAN DRAYDEN 126 3.50 29% 2.50    
DIVINE ARMOR Feb18 Jan29 Jan02     (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 126 8.00 6% 15.30    
HOLDEN THE LUTE Feb18 Jan22       (knapp steve)BAZE C 126 8.00    
AFFABLE         (glatt mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 4.00    
 
SA-6   03/19/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKY ON ICE Feb21         (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 126 10.00    
JIMMYSSMOKEDCARROT Feb21 Jan09       (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 126 6.00 7% 14.30    
ROSE'S CRYSTAL Feb20 Jan16       (gaines carla)BRAVO J 126 4.00    
FROSE Feb25 Jan17       (papaprodrom)GUTIERREZ MARIO 126 10.00    
GALLOVIE (GB) Feb12         (baltas richar)CURATOLO RYAN 126 6.00 22% 3.60    
FREEDOM LASS Feb12 Jan09       (spawr william)BAZE C 126 3.50 23% 3.30    
AGREETODISAGREE Feb21 Jan09       (eurton peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 3.00 26% 2.80    
CINNTE WINNTE (IRE) Feb21         (gallagher p)RISPOLI UMBERTO 126 6.00    
 
SA-7   03/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($69K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BACK RING LUCK Feb12 Jan22 Jan01     (barocio li)VAN DRAYDEN 126 4.00 27% 2.80    
LOUD MOUTH Jan15         (sadler w)VELAZQUEZ R 126 15.00    
PARNELLI         (shirreffs john)CEDILLO ABEL 126 6.00 8% 11.50    
PRINCE MAIOR Mar06 Jan16       (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 126 12.00    
THERE GOES HARVARD         (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 126 3.50 16% 5.40    
GOING WITH STYLE Feb27 Jan17       (vanden britt)EMIGH A 126 15.00    
MOTOWN MUSIC Feb18 Feb05       (glatt mark)BAZE C 126 5.00 12% 7.30    
COVER ME UP Feb12         (baltas rich)HERRERA A 113 10.00    
DANCE SOME MO         (d'amato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 2.50 17% 5.00    
 
SA-8   03/19/2022 4290ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAYBE I WILL Jan02         (wright bla)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 20.00    
BECCA TAYLOR Feb21 Jan29       (miyadi steven)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 0.80 69% 0.50    
PULPIT RIDER Jan21         (puype mike)BAZE C 124 12.00    
SASSYSERB Feb19 Jan21       (baltas rich)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 15.00    
SENSIBLE CAT Jan28 Jan07       (gaines car)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.00 8% 11.10    
EDDIE'S NEW DREAM Jan15         (cecil d)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 4.00    
SHE'S DEVOTED Feb12 Jan15       (baltas richard)BRAVO J 120 8.00    
 
SA-9   03/19/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NILES CHANNEL Mar06 Feb05 Jan16     (barocio li)VAN DRAYDEN 122 15.00    
FLY THE SKY Feb13 Jan30 Jan08     (knapp stev)HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00    
TRUTH SEEKER Feb06 Jan09       (ortiz sr)BAZE C 122 20.00    
SCR  ENDLESS SUNSET Feb11 Jan14       (mccarthy mi)HERRERA A 117 20.00    
EXULTATION Feb05 Jan02       (eurton peter)VELAZQUEZ R 122 4.00    
ON A SPREE Feb26         (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 20.00    
CRASH CORRIGAN Feb05 Jan15       (ruiz lorenzo)CEDILLO ABEL 122 12.00    
MOVE OVER (GB) Feb26 Jan07       (palma hecto)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 8.00    
LIBERAL (IRE) Feb13 Jan16       (mulhall kr)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 8.00    
10  IRISH HEATWAVE Feb13 Jan16       (puype mike)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 6.00    
11  FRONTIER MARKET Feb11         (sadler w)BRAVO J 122 5.00 75% 0.30    
12  KEYSTONE FIELD Feb13 Jan07       (mandella richa)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.