Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mahoning Valley
Saturday - March 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MVR-1   03/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET EVY GRACE Mar05 Jan26       (murillo-rodrigue)LEON SONNY 124 3.00 24% 3.20    
LOVELY LADY LINDA Mar05 Feb01 Jan14     (cline c)PAUCAR E 124 8.00    
FORTUNATE GINA Mar09 Feb19 Jan25     (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 2.50 17% 4.90    
UCANTKEEPUP Feb26 Feb01 Jan14     (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 1.60 23% 3.40    
BEST OF YOU Mar05 Feb19 Feb01 Jan21   (murillo rodrig)PEREZ ISMAEL 124 10.00 15% 5.80    
BEACH BABE Feb26 Feb16 Jan14     (murillo rodr)WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 6.00    
 
MVR-2   03/19/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PANAMANIAN TEASER Mar09 Feb01 Jan22 Jan04   (urieta)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 1.60 62% 0.60    
BRAVO BRAVO Mar04 Feb18       (meraz antonio)LEON SONNY 124 2.50    
OSMI SLEW Mar07 Mar01 Feb21 Jan01   (lopez carlos)TAPARA BRANDON 126 6.00    
IRIE ISLAND MAN Mar05 Feb16 Jan04     (bailey )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00    
KING OF THE RING Mar05 Feb16 Jan04     (pappada juli)WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 8.00 13% 6.90    
BAHAMIAN PARK Feb28 Feb16 Jan22     (barnes bart)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 124 3.00    
 
MVR-3   03/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KISS THE DEMON Mar07         (vazquez ivan)BAEZ M 126 20.00    
TWINSPIREDJOEY Mar05         (urieta)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 2.00    
THANKSDAD Mar05 Feb18       (poole m)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 118 8.00    
COWTOWN BOSS         (meyers shane)RIVERA R 126 3.00 20% 3.90    
REACHING FOR GOLD Feb16 Jan15       (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 126 20.00    
JACKIE DANE         (reed r)LEON SONNY 118 1.60 57% 0.80    
NOSEY POWER Mar07         (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 10.00    
 
MVR-4   03/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TALK RADIO Feb18         (reed r)LEON SONNY 124 2.00    
1A  RUNWAY DREAMER Feb15         (reed r)LEON SONNY 124 2.00 24% 3.10    
ESTILO ELEGANTE Feb26 Feb06 Jan23 Jan09   (in)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
NATALIA'S TEMPLE Feb26 Feb18 Jan25 Jan08   (bailey )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
JUMP INTO THE FIRE Feb16         (colebrook b)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 124 1.60 41% 1.40    
MY ANGELICA Feb26 Feb10       (pinzon mari)OLIVEROS CHARLE 116 6.00    
HOMEROOM ANGEL Mar03 Feb11       (anderson su)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 2.50 9% 10.60    
 
MVR-5   03/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NYOMAN Feb15 Jan24       (aguilar rodolfo)LEON SONNY 124 3.00 57% 0.80    
TIZWAY'S WILD SON Jan19         (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 6.00 14% 6.20    
HE'S THE SOUPERWON Mar09 Feb14 Jan24     (van met)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00    
APACHE Feb21 Jan31 Jan19     (elliott mich)KEISER CHELSEY 124 4.00    
UNCLE MOMO Mar05 Feb15 Jan12     (juarez lor)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 10.00    
SCR  OLA QUE TAL Feb23         (lobo paulo )SANCHEZ JEFFREY 124 5.00    
SILENT TIGER Mar05 Feb15 Jan12     (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 8.00    
MAKES GOOD SENSE Mar10 Feb15 Jan24     (barnes a)DIAZ I 124 4.50    
 
MVR-6   03/19/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLACK KETTLE Mar08 Feb19       (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 2.00 19% 4.10    
SCR  GO STELLAIRE Feb18 Jan05       (shanyfe)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 2.50    
BESTOW         (tumblin andre)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 20.00    
LILAC LACE         (yoder lor)CORREA L 126 6.00    
EASY EYES Feb16         (gorham )PILARES P 126 4.00 16% 5.10    
DUE NORTH Feb16         (wolochuk davi)BRACHO A 126 3.00 39% 1.60    
 
MVR-7   03/19/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRONTLINER Feb15 Jan11       (johnson gar)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 6.00    
THE WAYNE FACTOR Mar08 Feb15 Jan21 Jan01   (lopez )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 8% 11.00    
KLAATU Mar08 Feb15 Jan21     (sondej amy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 124 10.00    
PARKER Feb21 Jan22       (elliott michel)DIAZ I 126 8.00    
ROSAS WAY Mar01 Feb14       (caldero)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 2.00    
DECEITFUL ANTHONY Feb22 Jan19       (west m)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00    
SLICK AS ICE Mar08 Feb15 Jan26 Jan14   (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 3.50 57% 0.80    
CAROLINA ISLAND Feb15 Jan25       (van meter)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 15.00    
 
MVR-8   03/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOING PRIMETIME         (gorham robert )DIAZ I 118 1.60 45% 1.20    
DANES HEART Jan31 Jan22 Jan05     (vazquez iv)SMITH DIOGDINABI 118 20.00    
TURBO POWER Mar05 Feb16 Jan22     (tumblin a)CORREA L 118 3.00    
MARCH MAGIC Mar05 Feb06 Jan23     (brown glenr)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 8.00    
VOLUME LEADER Mar05 Feb16 Jan15     (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 6.00    
DIVOLUME         (faulkner c)VELEZ J 126 3.50 23% 3.30    
ZAKARIA         (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 10.00 7% 13.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.