Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Saturday - March 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-2   03/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRIGHTEST Mar02 Feb05 Jan28     (duhon paul)DIEGO V 121 3.50 ★    
2  FIRST EMPRESS Mar02 Feb11 Jan28 Jan21   (broberg karl)LUZZI J 121 2.50 49% 1.00    
3  SHESMYBROKER Mar02 Feb12 Jan28     (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 119 10.00 15% 5.70    
4  KERTARA Mar09 Jan15       (short thomas)LARA EZEQUIEL 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  SEEING DOUBLE Mar12 Jan13       (david)MANRRIQUE JOSE 119 6.00 ★    
6  UNBURNT Feb04 Jan14       (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 121 1.40    
 
HOU-3   03/19/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($30K) Purse ($25K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SARCASTIC TONE Mar05 Jan30 Jan12     (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 119 3.00 17% 5.00    
2  AFFLUENT GENTLEMAN Feb11 Jan08       (cravens ronn)ALVAREZ L 119 4.50    
3  CRAZY LEGS HIRSCH Feb25 Feb10 Jan22     (davidson ni)ELLIOTT S 119 4.00 41% 1.50    
4  ST. LOUIE GUY Feb25 Feb16 Jan21     (bart)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 20.00 9% 10.20    
5  GOLD CRUSHER Feb18 Jan22       (lucarelli f)MELANCON JANSEN 119 2.50    
6  VANGILDER Feb16 Jan21       (ashford)GONCALVES R 121 6.00 ★    
7  FAST BREAKIN CASH Mar03         (trout r)ERAMIA E 119 8.00 ★    
 
HOU-4   03/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 35 ALL PT- 9:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLASSIC RUNNER Feb18 Jan28       (grimaldo jo)RAMIREZ PAULINA 115 20.00    
2  MAGAZINE STREET Jan15         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 115 2.50 ★    
SCR  SHOTGUN UP Feb24         (trout r)HAMILTON WESTON 115 3.50 9% 10.00    
4  IZEONDEC Feb26 Feb09 Jan15     (k)DE CRUZ 115 12.00 ★    
5  BLURT Feb24         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 123 4.50 ★    
6  SKYWAVE Feb26 Jan30       (young sco)TRIANA JR 123 1.40 63% 0.60    
 
HOU-5   03/19/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3 F PT- 9:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MS. LINA Feb24 Jan29       (short thomas)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 10.00    
2  BESSIE'S SONG Feb24 Feb04 Jan20     (david)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 30.00    
3  TWO ANGELS Mar03 Feb17 Jan14 Jan06   (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 122 8.00 ★    
4  PREF RIGHT Feb25 Jan27       (young sco)TRIANA JR 122 12.00 11% 8.10    
5  DIAL IT IN Feb12 Jan27 Jan14     (barton aman)HAMILTON WESTON 122 3.00 24% 3.20    
6  MS. MORENA Mar11 Feb23 Feb09     (chacaltana domi)SANCHEZ M 122 15.00    
7  MIGHTY HAPPY Feb23         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 1.40 38% 1.60    
8  DA BEST WIFE EVER Feb24 Jan13       (villafranco)MELANCON JANSEN 122 4.00 ★    
 
HOU-6   03/19/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($15.5K) 35 M/F PT-10:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PHARME'S PHINALE Mar02 Feb25 Feb10 Jan14   (jacks e)DIEGO V 123 20.00    
2  HATZILU IVRIT         (chacaltana domi)SANCHEZ M 123 15.00    
3  ARAGON (GB) Feb25 Jan27       (short thoma)HAMILTON WESTON 115 4.50    
4  HOT CAVIAR Feb12 Jan27       (villafranco)MELANCON JANSEN 115 20.00 7% 13.30    
SCR  ROSITA LA CARINOSA         (echev)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  QUEEN OF THE SHIP         (pearson m)HUGHES CARLY 118 15.00    
7  SWIRLING WINE Feb05         (silva miguel)MORA GERARDO 123 3.00 19% 4.40    
8  PRINCESS NAYYY NAY         (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 1.80 41% 1.40    
9  HUSH HUSH Jan06         (williamson br)LARA EZEQUIEL 123 6.00 8% 11.00    
10  ATHENIAN PRINCESS Feb25 Jan29       (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 115 15.00    
 
HOU-7   03/19/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($37K) 3 F PT-10:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HALF PAGE Mar03 Feb09       (cast)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 4.00 32% 2.10    
2  CREATING MEMORIES         (biehler micha)EIKLEBERRY RY 122 20.00    
3  SILVERSCAPE Feb17         (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 122 12.00    
4  BEER EMPRESS Feb04 Jan21       (pish da)GONCALVES R 122 15.00 14% 6.20    
5  ANNA CLAUSE Feb17 Jan27       (duhon paul)MELANCON JANSEN 122 8.00 6% 15.50    
6  ROLLIN CHROME Mar03 Jan07       (baldillez alejan)MONTALVO C 122 3.00 21% 3.70    
7  SHARED FUTURE Feb25 Feb11 Jan05     (asmussen m)DIEGO V 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
8  WHY BEHAVE Feb09         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 4.50    
9  LADY MILA Feb09         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 10.00    
10  TAKE ME SERIOUS         (offolter j)ERAMIA E 122 12.00    
 
HOU-8   03/19/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT-11:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPECIAL BREED Feb25 Feb11 Jan27     (grimaldo jo)RAMIREZ PAULINA 115 12.00    
2  AKTULGALI Feb16         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 1.20    
3  NAUTICAL MOON         (bravo francisc)LUZZI J 123 10.00 14% 6.00    
4  DIAL IN FOR LUTE Mar05         (trout r)ALVAREZ L 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  IMPLICATOR Feb16 Jan27 Jan16     (baldillez alejand)DIEGO V 123 15.00 7% 13.90    
6  PHILO BEDDOE Mar05 Jan30       (stuart clinto)EIKLEBERRY RY 115 3.00 15% 5.50    
7  PALUXY Feb17 Jan30 Jan06     (calhoun wi)ERAMIA E 123 4.00 35% 1.80    
 
HOU-9   03/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 45 M/F PT-11:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JIMENA Mar02         (cruz eduardo)MONTALVO C 123 12.00    
2  SHE'S A RIDGE         (kotara ronald)HUGHES CARLY 118 30.00    
SCR  SWEET BABY SHAE Feb16         (echeverria he)LARA EZEQUIEL 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  WHITE DIAMOND SKY Feb16         (echeverria hector)DIEGO V 123 20.00    
5  SHERRYS BABY Feb25 Feb04 Jan14     (k)DE CRUZ 123 30.00    
6  KAUSE I'M DEVINE Mar02 Feb19 Feb04     (saavedra mary)PEREZ E 123 0.60 56% 0.80    
7  JUST CLAIRE Mar02 Feb04       (pish danny)WETHEY JR 123 4.00 15% 5.60    
8  AMANTE DE SARA Mar11 Feb10 Jan29     (cast)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 8.00 ★    
9  LUMBERJACK LESLIE Mar02 Feb04 Jan14     (jacks k)GONCALVES R 123 12.00 7% 13.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.