Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mahoning Valley
Friday - March 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MVR-1   03/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.3K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAN DOWN Mar01 Feb21 Jan25 Jan04   (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 18% 4.40    
IMTHEPRINCE Mar01 Feb21 Jan22     (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.00 22% 3.50    
GALTERO Mar01 Feb21       (in)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 12.00    
UNCAPTURED PULSE Mar05 Feb16 Jan26 Jan15 Jan01 (urieta jo)CORREA L 126 3.50 20% 4.00    
ADANO Jan22         (gorham )PILARES P 124 6.00 10% 9.40    
RHETT THOMAS Feb24 Feb10 Jan07     (salas felipe)LEON SONNY 124 2.50    
STUNNING BABY Feb19         (zielinski r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 10.00 7% 13.50    
 
MVR-2   03/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COWCHI Feb18         (diehl cand)SMITH DIOGDINABI 116 6.00    
CITY SIGNS Jan22 Jan05       (gorham )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 116 2.50 42% 1.40    
DE BOLT LIGHT Mar02 Jan15 Jan02     (cline c)LEON SONNY 124 3.00 11% 8.20    
WWINSPIRED Feb18 Jan22       (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 116 4.00    
SURE FIRE READY Feb18 Jan05       (richards rusty)GONZALEZ A 124 10.00    
OPHA MAY Feb16 Jan14       (lopez carlos)TAPARA BRANDON 124 3.50 21% 3.90    
QUEEN OF THE TILES Feb28 Jan15       (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 124 15.00 7% 13.70    
 
MVR-3   03/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MILWAUKEE CAT         (feebeck h)YARANGA Y 124 20.00    
HIDDEN PRIDE Mar02 Jan31 Jan15     (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 4.00 25% 3.00    
OHIO STORM Feb28 Feb01 Jan14     (brown glenr)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 3.50    
MY PINK BABY BIRD Feb28 Feb01 Jan21     (vickers richard )LEON SONNY 124 8.00 9% 9.80    
CEE CEE'S GOT THIS Feb28         (hurley l)PAUCAR E 124 15.00    
RONNI'S DAY         (yoder lor)CORREA L 124 4.50 9% 9.60    
SARAH JANE Feb28 Jan21       (bates l)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 124 12.00    
ST PATTY'S SONG Feb28 Jan21 Jan05     (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 124 5.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  PSYCHOANALYST Jan14         (brown john )MARTINEZ R 124 6.00    
10  DANCING GRACE Feb28 Jan14       (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00    
 
MVR-4   03/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUICKPAY Feb23         (sullivan el)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 4.50 8% 11.50    
SCR  COWGIRL KIMMIE Feb19 Jan31       (sullivan el)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 4.50    
MISS OXBOW         (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 10.00    
LITTLE MATILDA Feb23 Jan31 Jan14     (bi)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00 13% 6.80    
TELLER TO SING Feb24         (brownfield )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 2.00    
CURLINESQUE         (reed er)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00    
RESURRECTION ROAD         (reed r)LEON SONNY 124 1.60 52% 0.90    
 
MVR-5   03/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG ON BIG Feb18 Jan24       (cowans d)RIVERA R 124 2.50 26% 2.90    
MA MOOS WARRIOR Feb22 Jan19       (bailey ricard)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 8.00    
DUKE OF DARKNESS Feb14         (werre danny)LEON SONNY 124 3.00 42% 1.40    
DYNAMIC REACH Feb14 Jan26 Jan11     (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00 8% 11.20    
SKYTOWN CAT Feb22 Jan19 Jan04     (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 124 15.00    
KISSINGER Feb18 Jan24       (gorham )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.00    
MUSTANG WILLIE         (faulkner c)VELEZ J 124 15.00    
SCR  MONSTER HUNTER Feb26 Jan24 Jan11     (faulkner joshu)GONZALEZ A 124 10.00    
CAT HEAT Feb26 Jan26 Jan11     (schuster ro)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 15.00    
10  OHIO CAUSE Feb22 Feb01 Jan11     (urieta johann)BRACHO A 124 10.00    
 
MVR-6   03/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEY SACH Mar07 Feb21 Jan04     (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 124 20.00    
EMPEROROFTHEDARK Feb18         (douaihy mich)ROMERO GREGORY 116 8.00    
EMERALD EXPRESS Feb21 Jan22 Jan08     (huffman)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 1.60 44% 1.20    
ROUTE ONE Feb19 Jan22       (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 126 4.00 23% 3.30    
GOODBYELLOWBRICKRD Mar07 Feb18 Jan15     (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 116 2.50 11% 8.50    
STYLISH LIE Feb26         (preston rand)TAPARA BRANDON 126 10.00    
CHROMED IMPULSE         (hamm timoth)MARTINEZ R 116 6.00    
 
MVR-7   03/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROB THE RICH         (hernandez armand)LEON SONNY 124 3.50 13% 6.70    
ROMPED         (el)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00    
JULIE'S FERRARI Mar02 Feb19 Jan19     (welsh r)PAUCAR E 124 3.00 15% 5.80    
PLEASE SIT DOWN         (dodge albert)TUNON JORDANO 124 12.00    
STAY THIRSTY AMIGO Mar02 Feb19 Jan22     (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 10.00    
LADY'S BOY         (huffman)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 6% 15.60    
TOUCHDOWN JESUS Mar07 Feb23 Jan11     (haehn terry )ROSARIO L 126 8.00 7% 12.70    
CHURCHILLED         (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 124 2.50 33% 2.10    
 
MVR-8   03/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUSICAL MAN Feb28 Feb18 Jan25 Jan12   (miller)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00    
TRAMORE BAY Feb22 Feb14 Jan19     (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.00    
THE FALCON Jan26         (johnson l)HOUGHTON D 124 8.00 12% 7.50    
COTTON JIM Mar01 Feb14 Jan19 Jan11   (dacosta jas)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 10.00    
SHARINGTHEJOURNEY Mar01 Jan15 Jan01     (cline c)PAUCAR E 124 4.00 17% 4.90    
HALO'S DANCE Feb28 Feb16 Feb01 Jan26 Jan11 (smith osborne)YARANGA Y 126 6.00 40% 1.50    
SILVER DOLLAR CITY Mar01 Feb14 Jan19     (pappada juli)WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 15.00    
AWESOME OX Mar01 Feb14 Jan15     (bi)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.