Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Friday - March 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   03/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3 F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLEASE MARRY ME         (keefe timothy)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 6.00    
HARPER'S DO Feb24         (smith hamilto)ALVELO C 119 8.00    
VIOLET JESSOP Jan21 Jan02       (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 124 1.80    
ICY REPLY Feb13         (sanchez-salomon)GARCIA LUIS 124 10.00    
WATCH YOUR TONE Mar06         (mcmullen)BUTTERFLY L 117 5.00 21% 3.80    
MO FIRE Feb25 Feb18 Feb06     (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 120 5.00    
SHE'S A TRIPP Feb13         (mancilla carlo)ROSADO JOHAN 124 4.50 47% 1.10    
 
LRL-2   03/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.7K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUSPIROS Mar09 Feb26 Feb17 Feb11   (simone michae)LOPEZ ANTONIO 126 12.00 31% 2.20    
BOURBON AND ICE Mar05 Feb10 Jan22     (magana j)ALVELO C 121 2.00    
PHIL THE BANKER Feb23 Feb08 Jan25 Jan07   (d' anth)ROSADO JOHAN 126 20.00    
BARDOLINO Feb26 Feb10 Jan29 Jan22 Jan02 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 126 1.60 31% 2.20    
LITTLE BAY Feb26 Feb10 Jan02     (vick timoth)CORUJO LEONARDO 126 8.00 10% 9.30    
SEVEN PLUS SEVEN         (deiter lyn)ACOSTA D 126 8.00    
DEGAS Feb26 Feb04       (frock l)AVILES YAN 119 4.50    
 
LRL-3   03/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37.95K) 3 ALL PT- 1:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG BOY POTTS Feb20 Jan26       (gonzal)ENRIQUEZ JR 117 1.60 39% 1.60    
STRONGER THAN DEX         (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 121 4.00    
SCHOOLYARD BULLY Feb27 Feb12 Jan30 Jan16   (dove kev)BUTTERFLY L 110 20.00    
LANTAU Feb20 Jan30 Jan20     (corrales jose)KARAMANOS A 124 2.00    
STEVETHEVANDRIVER Jan02         (sillaman rich)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 8.00    
WORLD OF FOOLS Feb26 Jan30 Jan13     (garibay andres)ROSADO JOHAN 117 5.00 30% 2.40    
 
LRL-4   03/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3 ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROLL ME OVER Feb26         (smith hamilto)ALVELO C 119 10.00    
BOWIE TWO STEP Feb13 Jan20       (cox m)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 6.00    
LUCKY HERB         (mcclure )BUTTERFLY L 117 15.00 12% 7.40    
SCR  BOSS MAN J J Feb19 Jan30       (salzman timothy)ACOSTA D 124 1.40    
HINDENBURG         (milosevic milan)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 10.00 12% 7.40    
CLASSY UNION Feb25         (chapman jam)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 4.50    
GARITOFF Feb26 Feb11 Jan16     (salazar marco)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 3.00 42% 1.40    
 
LRL-5   03/18/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.7K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARTILLERY Feb24 Feb06 Jan21     (corrales jose)AVILES YAN 119 30.00    
ROCKIN RON Feb06 Jan21       (testerman v)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 126 4.50    
MUSTY RED Mar04         (cash norm)CARRASCO R 126 8.00 9% 10.30    
EL EQUALIZER Feb25 Feb11 Jan21     (sanchez-salo)BELTRAN MIGUEL 126 12.00    
SPEIGHTSTER RED Jan27         (gaudet lace)CORUJO LEONARDO 126 1.60 19% 4.30    
TRADITION Feb24 Feb11 Jan21     (sanchez-salomon )ACOSTA D 126 8.00 10% 9.00    
BOONDOGGLE Feb06 Jan21       (magee kieron)ALVELO C 121 2.50 28% 2.50    
SHANGHAIED ASTORIA         (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 126 15.00 12% 7.10    
 
LRL-6   03/18/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOT CHOICE Feb27 Jan27       (howard c)GOMEZ KEVIN 126 8.00    
BIRTHDAY WISH Feb21 Feb06 Jan20     (rodriguez s)CRUZ ANGEL 122 6.00    
MISS IS ZIPPY Jan29         (gorham e)AVILES YAN 119 5.00 18% 4.50    
CAIRO QUEEN Feb13 Jan01       (eppler m)BUTTERFLY L 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
RAPIDAMENTE Feb12 Jan22       (feliciano ben )ROSADO JOHAN 126 2.50 38% 1.60    
BETCHA BY GOLLY Mar04 Feb11 Jan22 Jan02   (garibay andres)ACOSTA D 122 15.00    
TORCH CARRIER Feb19 Jan29 Jan16     (frock charles)ALVELO C 117 12.00 9% 10.10    
SUNSHINEANRAINBOWS Feb12 Feb02       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 126 2.00    
 
LRL-7   03/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($23.1K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONGRESS HALL Feb19 Feb06 Jan21     (simone michael)CEDENO CAROL 123 8.00    
RAN CHAR Feb06 Jan22       (frock l)ACOSTA D 123 4.50    
NANA'S SHOES Feb25 Feb10 Jan27 Jan16   (pickett )BUTTERFLY L 116 3.00 33% 2.10    
PARCHED GHOST Feb13 Jan21 Jan01     (magee kieron)ALVELO C 118 3.50 26% 2.90    
TAYLER'S CHROME Feb10 Jan16       (frock l)AVILES YAN 116 6.00    
GOLD TIME VIXEN Feb27 Jan16       (howard c)CRUZ ANGEL 123 8.00    
BREVIARY Mar06 Feb13 Feb06 Jan16   (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 123 3.50 16% 5.30    
 
LRL-8   03/18/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($35.2K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TARGE Feb12 Jan28       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 3.50 47% 1.10    
FANCY PRINCESS Feb12 Jan28       (plummer bobby )ROSADO JOHAN 123 10.00    
CLOSERTOTHEHEART Feb12 Jan28       (felici)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 5.00 11% 8.50    
SUMMER ODDS Feb12 Jan27       (mcclure )BUTTERFLY L 119 6.00    
CANOODLE Feb12 Jan02       (keefe timothy )BOYCE FOREST 123 3.00 10% 9.00    
HUMMIN' THE FUNK Feb27 Feb13 Jan20     (smith hamilto)ALVELO C 114 6.00 5% 19.00    
SPECIAL FREEDOM Mar05 Feb12 Jan28     (mancil)ENRIQUEZ JR 116 3.50    
 
LRL-9   03/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($34.65K) 3 F PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUSH EFFECT         (keefe timothy)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 6.00 6% 14.90    
SMART EULEE Feb18         (keefe l)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 3.00 20% 3.90    
IMAGINTHEKISS Feb18         (morgan carla)BOYCE FOREST 124 20.00    
EMBRACE THE WHINNY Feb18         (trombetta m)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 15.00    
MISS CHIEF         (schoentha)CARRASCO R 124 10.00    
QUEEN CADENCE Feb24 Feb03 Jan14     (gonzalez claudio)CRUZ ANGEL 124 1.40 48% 1.10    
MY SISTER CLURRIE Jan28         (deiter k)BUTTERFLY L 117 12.00    
BARB THE BOSS         (frock a)ACOSTA D 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
LOOKING FOR WATER         (smith hamilto)ALVELO C 119 8.00    
 
LRL-10   03/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($30.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNREQUITED LOVE Feb04 Jan16 Jan02     (magee kieron)CEDENO CAROL 119 10.00    
SCR  HEATED Mar04 Feb19 Feb02     (pickett )BUTTERFLY L 119 3.50 19% 4.10    
LITTLE MS SCARLET Jan29         (gonzalez claudi)GOMEZ KEVIN 126 6.00 30% 2.40    
SICK PACK SARA         (salzman e)ACOSTA D 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SHACKABOOM Feb24 Feb03       (mcmahon i)CRUZ ANGEL 126 4.50 13% 6.40    
AWESOME VIEW Mar04 Feb06 Jan16     (sepulveda carl)ROSADO JOHAN 119 10.00 9% 10.30    
ESCAPE FUND Mar04 Feb19 Jan14 Jan02   (gorham michae)ALVELO C 121 1.40    
 
LRL-11   03/18/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($34.65K) 3 ALL PT- 5:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REMEMBERING WILBUR Feb19 Jan30       (capuano dale)ALVELO C 119 2.00 29% 2.50    
HOWARD'S ROCK Feb19         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 8.00    
HOLY SYNCHRONICITY Feb24 Jan30       (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 124 8.00    
TRASH TALKIN LARRY         (corrales jose)ACOSTA D 124 12.00 20% 4.10    
THE LAST SCIP Jan20         (merryman micha)CEDENO CAROL 124 10.00    
CLASS WIZARD Feb27         (trombetta m)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 4.50 24% 3.10    
KEYS DISCOUNT         (meyers madison )GOMEZ KEVIN 124 20.00    
WINSTON'S GOLD Feb19 Jan30 Jan20     (bracciale v)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 8.00    
VINNY Feb26 Feb10 Jan30     (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 124 6.00    
10  MERCURY TEN Feb11 Jan16       (shuman mark)ARAUJO DENIS 124 12.00 6% 16.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.