Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Friday - March 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-2   03/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE HUNK NEXT DOOR Feb22 Jan23 Jan07     (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 1.60 69% 0.40    
2  MOONSHINERBOY Mar05 Feb04 Jan21     (dodson )GONCALVES R 123 20.00 ★    
3  RUNNING JESSE Feb11 Jan30 Jan13     (k)DE CRUZ 123 3.50 ★    
4  TIMED EVENT Mar04 Jan30 Jan13     (caldwell r)LUZZI J 115 2.50 ★    
5  DOC'S GOLD Feb24         (willis mindy)HUGHES CARLY 118 6.00    
6  BOORNAZIAN Mar09 Feb25       (barton aman)HAMILTON WESTON 123 4.50 ★    
 
HOU-3   03/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRESLEY Mar02 Feb17 Jan23     (cravens ronn)ALVAREZ L 123 3.50 34% 1.90    
2  MAD TABBY Mar03 Feb12 Jan27     (villafran)TRIANA JR 123 6.00    
3  SASSY KENZIE GIRL Mar03         (keen dallas)MELANCON JANSEN 123 5.00 ★    
4  NATALIES JOY Feb18 Jan14       (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 123 4.00    
5  WICKED FLASHBACK Feb26 Jan27 Jan01     (brobe)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 4.50 ★    
6  ENDURING PEACE Jan27 Jan19       (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 3.00 19% 4.40    
7  SALACIOUSACUSATION Jan27 Jan08       (meji)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 10.00 13% 6.70    
 
HOU-4   03/18/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 35 M/F PT- 9:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ABIGAIL ALDEN Feb25 Jan20       (lucarelli fran)MORA GERARDO 123 1.40 22% 3.60    
2  MY RACING HEART Feb25 Feb10 Jan29 Jan14   (davidson sarah)HUGHES CARLY 118 1.00 38% 1.60    
3  J M SKY CLASSIC         (m)DE CRUZ 115 6.00 18% 4.50    
4  CAUSE FOR LOVE Mar03         (mitch)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 110 30.00 5% 19.00    
5  WHY KENZLY Feb25 Feb10 Jan29     (mitchell bi)HAMILTON WESTON 123 20.00    
6  EXPECT CANDY Mar03 Feb17 Feb09     (bust)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 115 8.00 ★    
 
HOU-5   03/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LANGUAGE BARRIER         (villafranco)WETHEY JR 123 3.50 ★    
2  JUST ASK JOEL Mar04 Feb16 Feb04 Jan27   (roberts j)STEINBERG GARRETT 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  FREUDIAN SIP Feb24 Jan26       (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 4.00 13% 6.90    
4  RAISON KARTER Mar04 Feb23 Jan20     (short thoma)MELANCON JANSEN 123 20.00    
5  HOMEVIEW Feb19 Feb09 Jan20 Jan06   (gilbert ril)HAMILTON WESTON 123 10.00    
6  THREE TIME CHARMER Mar04 Feb16 Jan06     (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 2.00 53% 0.90    
7  THREE EYED RAVEN Feb25 Feb05 Jan27     (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 2.50 10% 9.00    
 
HOU-6   03/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 35 M/F PT-10:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROUD FOOT Jan29 Jan13       (hall john)TRIANA JR 123 8.00 ★    
2  PRINCESS PAULINE Jan29 Jan14       (asmussen stev)EIKLEBERRY RY 115 1.60 18% 4.50    
3  CHAKA Feb23         (pish danny)HAMILTON WESTON 115 30.00    
SCR  MISS MCBRIDE         (hebert matt)MORA GERARDO 123 3.00 56% 0.80    
5  MARIA GONE WILD Feb23 Feb02       (grimaldo jo)RAMIREZ PAULINA 115 30.00    
6  ALL EARS         (garcia l)ERAMIA E 123 20.00 ★    
7  JERSEY HOTTIE Feb26         (dodson )GONCALVES R 123 15.00    
8  MISS EMPIREMENT Jan29 Jan13       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 2.00 ★    
 
HOU-7   03/18/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIGHT CRUISER Feb24 Feb12       (stuart cli)ERAMIA E 123 3.00 36% 1.70    
2  TALE TWISTER Feb23 Jan20 Jan07     (jacks k)GONCALVES R 123 4.00    
3  AMERICAN NIGHTMARE Feb26 Feb12 Jan22 Jan07   (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 10.00 ★    
4  HELIOCHROME         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 8.00 8% 11.30    
5  YIP YIP KIP Jan29         (bravo franci)ALVAREZ L 123 2.00 24% 3.20    
6  FALSELY ACCUSED Jan29         (lucarelli)TRIANA JR 123 6.00    
SCR  POLLARD'S XPRESS Mar04 Jan27 Jan08     (pruitt m)LUZZI J 115 30.00    
8  INTO ORBIT Feb27 Jan15       (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 20.00    
SCR  PHARME'S PHAITH Feb25 Feb11 Jan29     (jacks e)DIEGO V 123 15.00 6% 16.40    
 
HOU-8   03/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT-11:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FABULOUS INDY         (cruz eduardo)DIEGO V 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  AWESOME SUNSET Mar02 Feb05 Jan06     (willi)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 118 20.00    
3  DIXIE CARROUSEL Feb11         (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 4.00    
4  AIRLINE DRIVE Mar02 Feb05 Jan07     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 2.50 37% 1.70    
5  MRS. KRINKLES Mar04 Feb04 Jan14     (echeverria hecto)MONTALVO C 123 15.00 34% 2.00    
6  COSMETOLOGY Mar04 Feb11 Jan22     (pish danny)HAMILTON WESTON 123 12.00    
7  IMA SKY TRAVELER Mar03 Feb18 Jan29 Jan06   (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 115 2.00 ★    
8  ITS MY MONEY TOO Mar04 Feb05 Jan07     (baldill)GONCALVES R 123 6.00 ★    
 
HOU-9   03/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT-11:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG ONE Feb11         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 1.80 27% 2.70    
2  SILVER AND ACES Mar05 Feb19 Feb09     (willi)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 118 30.00    
3  WITH THE BAND Mar03 Feb04 Jan06     (davidson brent)MONTALVO C 123 8.00 ★    
4  SILVER LUKE SILVER Mar03 Feb12 Feb04 Jan15 Jan06 (bart)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 2.50 35% 1.90    
5  SILVER AND GOLD Mar09 Feb11 Jan30     (jacks karen)HAMILTON WESTON 123 30.00    
6  FIRST BUMP RIDGE Mar03 Feb12 Feb04 Jan21 Jan07 (k)DE CRUZ 123 30.00    
7  WITT'S TAQUITO Mar02 Feb11 Jan20     (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 4.00 10% 9.40    
SCR  LITTLE MARK Feb11 Jan30       (jacks k)GONCALVES R 123 15.00    
9  EXCALIBUR RIDGE Mar03 Feb09       (chacaltana dom)MORA GERARDO 123 6.00 7% 13.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.