Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Oaklawn Park
Thursday - March 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
OP-1   03/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMA BLING CAT Feb25 Jan15       (hobby steve)HIRALDO JOHN 116 3.50 27% 2.70    
DESTINEDTOBEASTAR Jan28 Jan02       (dixon tim)HARR KELSI 121 15.00    
LEO DEL REO Feb26 Jan22       (jac)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 15.00    
J. E.'S HANDMEDOWN Feb26 Feb13 Jan28     (green aidan)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 2.00 26% 2.90    
SMARTY GRIMES Feb19 Jan30       (villafran)TORRES A 121 4.50    
CAPTAIN DON Feb26 Jan15       (von don)CABRERA DAVID 121 8.00 9% 10.10    
MACHO ROCCO Jan02         (mason ingrid)GARCIA MARTIN 121 6.00    
FIVE O ONE Feb26 Jan16 Jan02     (martin timo)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.50 10% 9.00    
 
OP-2   03/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GLASSATO Mar04 Jan22       (litfin ne)TORRES A 120 20.00    
1A  MOUNTAIN PINE Feb25 Jan22       (litfin nevad)MEDELLIN ERICK 113 20.00 5% 19.00    
FREER Feb25 Jan28       (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 125 2.50 36% 1.80    
RISKY SITUATION Feb13 Jan30       (cline n)HARR KELSI 120 6.00    
LOOKIN GOOD SO FAR Feb25 Jan22       (mcknight norma)HIRALDO JOHN 115 5.00 5% 19.00    
JUSTDENNIS Feb25 Jan29 Jan22     (hewitt micha)HEBERT LINDSEY 108 30.00    
HARRY Mar04 Feb13 Jan28     (durham d)SANTANA JR 125 4.00    
OUTCOME Feb25 Feb13 Jan01     (barkley j)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 5.00    
RAZOR RAY Feb25         (lauer michael)BAILEY CHEL-C 118 15.00    
BLUES TUNE Feb13 Jan01       (holthus e)JOHNSON M 120 10.00 20% 4.00    
10  CONFESS Feb25         (green aidan)VAZQUEZ A 125 6.00 11% 7.80    
 
OP-3   03/17/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($34K) 3 ALL PT- 3:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACKPOT BOY Feb26         (burns patrici)CANCHARI ALEX 121 20.00    
DRIVEN ONE Mar05 Jan29       (mason ingrid)GARCIA MARTIN 121 8.00 11% 7.80    
SUEZ Feb21         (young scott )MEDELLIN ERICK 114 10.00    
PINCH HITTER Feb20 Jan15       (von do)CONTRERAS LUIS 121 3.00    
SCR  EL POTENTE Feb11         (amescua rene)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 3.50 41% 1.50    
DECLARE THE MOON Feb21 Jan28 Jan08     (hawley wesley)COHEN DAVID 121 4.00    
PRACTICAL MAN         (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 121 4.50    
SCHMOOZE Feb10         (mcpeek kennet)CABRERA DAVID 121 4.50 10% 9.20    
 
OP-4   03/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($29K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMART TIME Jan30         (hornsby tammy)WALES T 118 20.00    
TIME HEIST Jan30         (litfin nevad)MEDELLIN ERICK 111 20.00 11% 7.90    
TRAPPE VALLEY         (mason ingrid)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 2.00 27% 2.70    
SEEK N JUSTICE Mar04 Feb13 Jan23     (litfin nevada)BAILEY CHEL-C 111 10.00    
LONELY PRIVATE Feb26 Feb13 Jan29     (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 118 3.00    
BEBOP SHOES Jan22 Jan02       (cangemi daniel)HIRALDO JOHN 114 4.00 20% 4.10    
GAMBLER Mar05 Feb19 Jan08     (milligan allen)QUINONEZ S 118 12.00    
CAPTURE THE GLORY Feb18 Jan08       (schultz l)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 6.00    
WHENTHEDOVESCRY Jan30 Jan02       (moquett ronald )VAZQUEZ A 113 8.00 17% 4.70    
 
OP-5   03/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($29K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHAI TEA Feb25 Jan23 Jan14     (martin ti)TORRES A 120 12.00    
HALF SCOUT Feb18 Jan23 Jan14 Jan02   (cline n)HARR KELSI 125 4.50    
LIL' BIT OF CHROME         (hobby steve)GARCIA MARTIN 120 10.00    
EPWORTH Feb11 Jan28       (morse l)HIRALDO JOHN 120 4.00    
SAILAWAY AND HIDE         (rhea sherry)BAILEY CHEL-C 118 6.00 7% 13.00    
SCR  TALLANDLONG Feb21         (barkley jaso)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 3.50 67% 0.50    
FIBRILLATOR         (cangemi daniel)QUINONEZ S 125 12.00    
MAZIE G Feb21 Jan14       (vance thomas )CABRERA DAVID 120 8.00    
KENKEAD Feb21         (moquett ronal)CANCHARI ALEX 125 15.00    
10  JERI DAWN Feb21 Jan23 Jan09     (ashauer norman)COURT K 125 10.00    
11  ANGIE'S REVRAC Feb21         (swearinge)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 20.00    
12  CALICO TABBY Feb25         (hornsby tammy)WALES T 120 30.00    
13  HOLLYSROYALDEFENSE Mar04         (lukas wayn)CONTRERAS LUIS 120 20.00    
SCR  ON A SHOESTRING Mar04 Feb18 Jan23 Jan14   (dixon tim)COURT K 125 20.00    
 
OP-6   03/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPARTY SENSE Feb12         (maker mic)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 6.00    
SINNER'S SIN Feb21 Jan02       (moquett ronal)CABRERA DAVID 120 2.00 20% 4.00    
ONYOURMARKGETSETGO Jan16         (barrett roddi)BAILEY CHEL-C 113 20.00    
K C ROCKET Jan28 Jan01       (stall m)HIRALDO JOHN 120 3.00 34% 2.00    
BOAT SONG Jan02         (robertson m)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00    
RARE STRIPE         (villafran)TORRES A 125 5.00 14% 6.30    
STAINLESS STEEL Feb12         (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 125 10.00 11% 8.30    
ALPHA WHISKEY         (morse l)COURT K 120 12.00    
ACEHIGH ROYAL         (moquett rona)GEROUX FLORENT 120 12.00    
 
OP-7   03/17/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GEORGIA DEPUTY Jan16 Jan02       (petalino joe)COURT K 122 20.00    
CALL OF HONOR Feb19 Jan15       (young e)VAZQUEZ A 125 6.00    
EKATI'S VERVE Feb21 Feb04 Jan03     (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 3.00 14% 6.00    
SCR  MAJOR ATTRACTION Feb21 Jan02       (broberg k)TORRES A 122 3.50 20% 4.00    
SHOFAR Feb19 Jan16 Jan07     (ros)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 20.00    
RESTORING HOPE Feb25 Jan30       (haran john)BAILEY CHEL-C 115 12.00    
ENGLANDER Feb19 Jan08       (barkley jaso)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 5.00    
MAKE NOISE Feb19         (van thoma)HIRALDO JOHN 117 5.00 24% 3.10    
SPORTS FAN Feb20 Jan16       (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 122 10.00 10% 8.70    
10  FLATOUT WINNER Mar05 Jan30       (litfin neva)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 8.00 6% 16.90    
 
OP-8   03/17/2022 7920ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($106K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCALES OF JUSTICE Feb19         (colebrook b)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
GOALIE Jan22         (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 122 3.50 21% 3.70    
SUPER CONSTITUTION Feb25 Jan22       (robertson mc)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 3.00 35% 1.90    
TONALTALITARIAN Jan16         (combs bentley)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 4.00    
SCR  JOHNY'S FIREBALL Feb25         (bauer philip )GARCIA MARTIN 122 5.00    
SPHEROID Mar06 Jan07       (mat)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
HUNT THE FRONT Feb26         (zito p)HARR KELSI 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
WARTIME HERO Feb19 Jan16       (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 122 5.00    
 
OP-9   03/17/2022 5940ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($33K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GAGOOTS Feb20 Jan22       (cox)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 15.00    
GO FOR SHERRIE Feb18 Jan01       (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00    
RYE HUMOR Jan08         (morse randy )CONTRERAS LUIS 118 8.00    
HOME RUN TRICK Mar06 Jan22 Jan08     (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 121 3.00 50% 1.00    
DERBY CODE Feb18 Jan22       (robertson m)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 5.00 7% 14.10    
CASHANOVA Feb26 Feb19 Jan09     (vance th)SANTANA JR 118 12.00    
VENTURE FORTH Feb18 Jan23       (villafranco fre)VAZQUEZ A 124 3.50 5% 19.00    
BRICE Feb18 Jan22       (hollendorfer j)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.00 8% 11.10    
INDIAN GULCH Feb26         (van thoma)HIRALDO JOHN 113 6.00 8% 12.00    
10  HEIRLOOM KITTEN Feb18 Jan08       (martin william )COHEN DAVID 118 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.