Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Sam Houston Park
Thursday - March 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HOU-1   03/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING NATE Feb16 Jan29 Jan15     (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 121 3.50    
SMOOTHEE LEE Feb23 Feb05 Jan20     (bilbrey k)DIEGO V 119 10.00 6% 14.80    
POP LIFE Feb26         (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 8.00    
FOREVAMO Feb11 Jan22       (broberg karl)MONTALVO C 119 2.00 26% 2.80    
G'S TURN Mar02 Jan27 Jan14     (young scott )JORDAN R 114 4.50 10% 9.30    
ATTAIN SUCCESS Feb24 Jan28 Jan14     (keen dallas)ALVAREZ L 121 2.50 35% 1.90    
 
HOU-2   03/17/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUNRISE KITTEN Feb26 Feb04       (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 10.00    
SPEED EFFECT Jan07         (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 2.50 6% 16.20    
GO SPEED RACER GO Feb26 Feb05 Jan08     (villafranco marti)DIEGO V 123 3.50 29% 2.40    
THE INFLUENCER Feb26         (young scott)WETHEY JR 123 15.00    
SCR  HAMAZING WISDOM Feb26 Feb04 Jan16     (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 123 20.00    
ALIGNED INTEREST Mar03 Feb19 Jan12     (mojica ed)TRIANA JR 123 20.00    
BROCK ON BY Mar09 Feb23 Feb12 Jan14   (ashford)GONCALVES R 123 12.00    
MORE LIKE IT Feb12 Jan22       (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 4.00 16% 5.10    
GOLD VERMILION Feb05         (k)DE CRUZ 123 6.00 23% 3.30    
10  DREWPOWER Feb26 Jan29 Jan02     (briley lonn)MELANCON JANSEN 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
HOU-3   03/17/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMEDIAN Feb24 Feb09 Jan20 Jan08   (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
DOBBINS G Feb09         (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 121 1.80 9% 10.10    
VICTORY BOULEVARD Feb24 Jan21       (pearson m)MORA GERARDO 119 4.00    
UNITED PATRIOT Feb25         (biehler mic)HAMILTON WESTON 119 20.00    
BOW AND ARROW Feb12 Jan20 Jan08     (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 119 2.50 60% 0.70    
RIVER RULER Feb24 Feb04 Jan07     (bart)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 6.00    
TENSAS TODDY Feb05 Jan07       (broberg karl)MONTALVO C 119 10.00    
 
HOU-4   03/17/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 35 ALL PT- 5:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OAK HILL SOLUTION Jan01         (govea cesar)ALVAREZ L 115 20.00    
WHITAKER Feb12         (fogarty des)HAMILTON WESTON 123 30.00    
WEST TEXAS RAIN Feb18 Jan30       (young scott)WETHEY JR 123 4.50    
LUCK OF THE STARS Feb25 Feb10 Jan28 Jan14   (m)DE CRUZ 115 20.00    
SARGENT KLINE Feb16         (lucarelli fra)EIKLEBERRY RY 115 10.00    
SMART BATTLE Feb16 Jan28 Jan08     (duhon paul)DIEGO V 115 30.00    
BRENTLEY (GB) Feb12         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 1.80 60% 0.70    
BRUCELEA Mar05 Feb11 Jan15     (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 115 6.00    
TIZ LIFE Feb18 Jan22       (craddock k)ERAMIA E 123 3.50    
10  CAIRO WARRIOR Feb12 Jan22 Jan06     (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 8.00 12% 7.10    
 
HOU-5   03/17/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEA OF LIFE Mar03 Feb17 Jan20 Jan06   (mart)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 115 4.00    
MY BABY BLUE Feb24 Feb12       (cruz )CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 118 30.00 13% 6.50    
TEXAS WHIRLWIND Feb24 Feb11 Jan07     (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 6.00 19% 4.20    
HIGH DEF RIDGE Feb24 Feb05 Jan20 Jan07   (kotara ronald)SANCHEZ M 123 20.00    
SEVEN S'S SPECIAL Feb12 Jan20       (carrizales )MELANCON JANSEN 123 20.00    
SHEZA HUNK Mar02 Feb12       (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 123 3.50    
HEAD OVER BOOTS Mar04 Jan20       (echeverria hector)DIEGO V 123 8.00    
SHE'S AN ANGEL Feb24 Jan22 Jan07     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 1.20 44% 1.30    
 
HOU-6   03/17/2022 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($38K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  QUARKY Feb18 Jan21       (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 119 3.50 42% 1.40    
THATSAFACTJACK Feb19         (tracy greg)WETHEY JR 119 15.00 7% 12.60    
SCR  VIATOREM Feb18 Jan22       (keen da)GONCALVES R 119 6.00    
GOOD SCOUT Feb18 Jan15       (cald)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 10.00    
J C'S NIGHTCAP Feb11         (willis mi)TRIANA JR 119 12.00    
BOB'S BAD BOY Feb18         (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 119 2.50 11% 8.20    
MEN OF KYLE Feb11 Jan22       (duhon paul)DIEGO V 119 20.00    
TIN BADGE Feb18         (stuart cli)ERAMIA E 119 8.00 10% 8.90    
SUPER BRADY Feb18         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 119 4.50 8% 12.10    
 
HOU-7   03/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WICKED REBEL Feb26 Feb10 Jan06     (hurle)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 3.00 18% 4.40    
SOUTH AL SPARKY Feb16         (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 12.00    
TEMPLE OF LIGHT Mar09 Feb16 Jan28     (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 1.80 25% 3.10    
FINDING SILVER Feb16 Feb04 Jan22 Jan06   (villafranco)WETHEY JR 123 2.50 12% 7.30    
SELLING SHORT Feb16 Jan27       (biehler e)ELLIOTT S 123 10.00    
EUROEAST Feb23 Feb12 Feb04 Jan14 Jan06 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 123 20.00 8% 12.10    
TENOR Mar04 Feb18 Jan28     (diodoro robert)BACA L 123 6.00 12% 7.30    
 
HOU-8   03/17/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROUD TO SERVE Feb25 Feb11 Jan21     (carrizales )MELANCON JANSEN 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
INFINITE JETSETTER Feb26 Feb11 Jan28 Jan15   (roberts j)STEINBERG GARRETT 123 10.00    
WARRIORS HAVEN Mar05 Feb17 Jan28     (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 20.00    
TEXAN BOY Feb25 Feb11 Jan30 Jan06   (kotara ronald)MORA GERARDO 123 30.00    
BODYMOOR HEATH Mar05 Feb17 Jan30 Jan20   (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 115 5.00    
MUCHO BLING Feb11 Jan21       (y)DE CRUZ 123 2.50    
MORO MERICA Feb25 Feb17 Jan30 Jan21   (chacaltana domi)SANCHEZ M 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
OH SNAP Feb11         (lucarelli frank)MONTALVO C 123 2.00 44% 1.30    
MANI SURPRISE Feb25 Feb05 Jan13     (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 3.00 22% 3.50    
 
HOU-9   03/17/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRODIE BABY         (ashford)GONCALVES R 115 10.00    
MOM'S PASS Mar09 Feb16 Jan28 Jan06   (roberts j)STEINBERG GARRETT 123 30.00 5% 18.80    
SCR  SMART LASSIE Mar09 Feb19 Jan06     (cravens ronnie)MORA GERARDO 123 20.00    
SCR  STELLACZAR Feb19         (lucarelli frank)ELLIOTT S 123 4.00    
SCR  CHA CHA MISSION Feb23 Jan19       (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 123 2.50 27% 2.70    
FASTED Feb12 Jan28       (gar)RODRIGUEZ ALBERTO 123 20.00    
MAGICAL STARDUST Feb23 Jan27       (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 12.00    
SCR  SIP Feb25 Jan27 Jan02     (baldillez alejand)PEREZ E 123 2.00 24% 3.20    
PAYDIEM Feb25 Jan28       (pish danny)WETHEY JR 123 6.00 19% 4.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.