Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - March 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   03/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.1K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEEN HIGH (NZ) Feb26         (doering)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 7% 13.00    
2  WHERETHERE'SSMOKE Mar02 Jan31 Jan22 Jan14   (maddox rachael)PAUCAR E 124 5.00    
3  LEMON SLUSH Mar02 Jan15       (zielinski r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 4.50 13% 6.60    
4  ALL THE BEST Mar02 Jan31       (trevino stephe)DIAZ I 124 6.00 14% 5.90    
5  SANIBEL Jan15         (murillo rodr)WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 2.50 41% 1.40    
6  WELLOILEDCAT Mar08 Mar02 Jan31 Jan15   (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 124 3.50 ★    
 
MVR-2   03/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MRS. ROBINSON Feb26         (casalinova tin)GONZALEZ A 124 15.00 12% 7.30    
2  ILLUSIONS OF LOVE Feb18 Jan31       (bernard)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.50 14% 6.30    
3  SIMONELA Feb26 Jan30       (zielinski r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 8.00    
4  CEVICHE Feb26 Feb15 Jan21     (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 124 3.50 13% 6.80    
5  HARD TO ACCESS Feb18 Jan31       (bi)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 5% 18.80    
6  ESPECIALLY YOU Feb19 Jan14       (shifflett cheryl)LEON SONNY 124 2.00 34% 2.00    
7  BLAZING ZENNA Feb26 Jan11       (mahan p)DIAZ I 124 3.00    
 
MVR-3   03/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLONDE BY NATURE Feb28 Feb16 Jan26     (sw)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.50 9% 9.80    
2  TARA DAWN Feb16         (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 5.00    
3  MAVI Feb28 Feb18 Jan14     (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 126 4.50 ★    
4  SHANNON'S GIRL Feb28 Feb16 Jan14     (murillo rodr)WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 4.00 46% 1.20    
5  CLEARLY VISIBLE Feb28 Feb16 Jan11     (bernard)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 12% 7.40    
6  GOLDEN TEMPLE Feb28 Feb16 Jan26 Jan11   (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00    
7  SPECIAL BEACH Jan26 Jan11       (mahan josep)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 6.00 ★    
 
MVR-4   03/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHAT A RUSH Feb28 Jan26 Jan11     (cline c)PAUCAR E 124 1.60 31% 2.20    
2  THE GOSPEL OF MARK Feb28 Feb14       (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 20.00 19% 4.20    
3  ZIP IT QUICK Feb28 Feb14 Jan26 Jan11   (sc)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00 ★    
4  ELLADA PINOT Mar08 Feb01       (langley joshua)YARANGA Y 124 6.00    
5  CATMAN JACK Feb28 Jan22 Jan05     (gorham robert )DIAZ I 116 2.00 27% 2.70    
6  VENTURE ON Feb16 Jan22       (gorham )PILARES P 118 2.50 ★    
 
MVR-5   03/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMA SURE BET         (tumblin andrew)RIVERA R 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  DANA'S CONQUEST Feb23         (ceccato sharon)DIAZ I 126 2.50 12% 7.10    
3  JUSTASMALLTOWNGIRL Feb23         (schuster robi)BARBARAN ERIK 118 8.00 5% 17.20    
4  AYKIZ Jan23         (doua)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 126 3.00 ★    
5  NEVER AT ALL (FR)         (reed r)LEON SONNY 126 1.80 60% 0.70    
6  TACK WISE Feb23         (schuster rob)WISEMAN ISAIAH 126 15.00    
7  WICKED KITTY Feb24         (davis )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 10.00    
8  WHAT'S SO FUNNY Jan15         (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 118 15.00    
 
MVR-6   03/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEAV'S BOO Feb19 Jan21       (riley barbara)BRACHO A 124 1.60 11% 8.20    
2  OFFTHEROADAGAIN Feb22         (gorostieta ci)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 118 2.00 15% 5.80    
3  BOUDOIR BURLESQUE Feb16 Jan21       (decker anna)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 10.00 6% 14.90    
4  ABERRATION Feb26         (gorost)BATISTA ALBERTO 116 3.00 41% 1.40    
5  SKY Feb15 Jan21       (casalinova tin)GONZALEZ A 124 20.00    
6  SWEET QUEEN BEE Feb15 Jan21       (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 124 6.00 6% 15.00    
 
MVR-7   03/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VICTOR STORY         (bayley ra)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 6.00    
2  HAPPY AS YOU GO Jan24         (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 124 2.50 30% 2.40    
3  CAUSE OF LOVE Jan24         (haehn terry )KEISER CHELSEY 124 3.00 19% 4.30    
4  ONE GLAMOROUS GAL Mar07 Jan24       (johnson l)LEON SONNY 124 2.00 20% 4.10    
5  ROCK STAR LADY         (poole m)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 10.00 ★    
SCR  CRISTALINDA Feb19         (johnson gar)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 12.00    
7  AUJARA Feb18         (gorostieta ci)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 124 10.00 7% 12.90    
 
MVR-8   03/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANOTHER BREEZE Feb21 Jan19       (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 124 2.50 43% 1.40    
2  O'HAIRE Mar07 Feb01 Jan12     (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 124 20.00    
3  BORN TO BE KING Mar07 Jan19       (buttigieg kevi)GONZALEZ A 124 10.00 6% 16.00    
4  HIT THIS TOWN Feb14 Jan15       (buttig)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00    
5  UNCLE KEVIN Mar01 Feb22 Feb14     (reust megan)TAPARA BRANDON 126 8.00 ★    
6  GIO SAMMY Feb21 Jan19       (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 2.00 23% 3.30    
7  FLAMING HOT Feb21 Jan11       (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.