Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Santa Anita Park
Sunday - March 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SA-1   03/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRIVATE MISSION         (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 124 1.20    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of PRIVATE GIFT by UNBRIDLED)
SCR  PARK AVENUE Feb05 Jan01       (sadler w)BAZE C 120 10.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of REMARKABLE by RAHY)
EDGEWAY Jan02         (sadler w)VELAZQUEZ R 124 0.80 44% 1.30    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of MAGICAL SOLUTION by STORMIN FEVER)
DYNASTY OF HER OWN Feb26 Feb04 Jan02     (wong jonat)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 8.00 29% 2.40    
  (by SHANGHAI BOBBY out of LADY DYNASTY by RICHTER SCALE)
ALOHA KITTEN Mar05 Feb12       (o'neill doug)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 15.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of LOVELY ISLAND by ARCH)
 
SA-2   03/13/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOO LATE Feb18 Jan01       (o'neill doug)CEDILLO ABEL 126 2.50 18% 4.40    
VERRAGIO Feb21 Jan29 Jan17     (mccarthy sean)BAZE C 126 3.50 22% 3.50    
ALLABOUTTHEMONEY         (cerin vlad)GONZALEZ RICARDO 126 1.80    
FORT BRIDGER Feb19 Feb05 Jan01     (hanson ryan)HERRERA A 113 2.00 23% 3.40    
ABADON Feb11 Jan28       (hanson ryan)PYFER JESSICA 118 12.00 14% 6.40    
 
SA-3   03/13/2022 3960ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($40K) 3 ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAKE MINE WINE Jan15         (wong jonath)HERRERA A 119 5.00 33% 2.00    
STREET ART Feb19 Jan14 Jan02     (alvarado ruben)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.00    
KING APOLLO Feb19         (mulhall kri)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 6.00    
TOWN BOY Feb19         (eurton peter)VELAZQUEZ R 124 6.00 9% 9.80    
ARRABIATA Jan23         (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 2.50 34% 1.90    
CLAMPETT Feb19         (glatt mark)FREY KYLE 124 3.00    
DIVINE FEMININE         (ruiz lorenzo)BAZE C 124 15.00    
 
SA-4   03/13/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STOIC LUNA Feb12 Jan09       (marquez p)BAZE C 126 3.00    
WILD ARCH Feb13 Jan17       (saavedra anthony )FREY KYLE 126 8.00    
TAYET Feb25 Jan23       (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 126 2.50 45% 1.20    
WITH THIS VOW Feb27 Jan22       (ellis w)CEDILLO ABEL 126 2.50 9% 9.80    
SMOOTHLIKEBUTTAH Feb20 Jan22 Jan16     (knapp steve)VELAZQUEZ R 126 2.00 20% 4.10    
 
SA-5   03/13/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISSING MAURICE Feb19 Jan22       (guillen ricardo)BARNETT A 118 50.00    
MONGOLIAN BONUS Feb19 Jan23 Jan14     (garcia antoni)CURATOLO RYAN 118 6.00    
CROSS INDIAN Feb21 Feb04       (koriner brian)BRAVO J 126 15.00    
BIG EVENT Feb05 Jan15       (periban jo)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 118 30.00 8% 10.90    
SYNC Jan23 Jan14       (desormeaux)GONZALEZ RICARDO 118 4.00 17% 5.00    
WHISKEY VISION Feb21 Feb06 Jan08     (brinkerhoff val)BAZE C 126 6.00    
AWKWARD MORNING Feb06         (mullins jeff)FREY KYLE 118 8.00    
THRIVE Feb20         (mccarthy m)HERNANDEZ J 126 1.20 44% 1.30    
KING ROB Feb19 Feb05 Jan01     (papaprodrom)HERRERA A 113 6.00 11% 8.30    
 
SA-6   03/13/2022 4290ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($72K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS FIA Jan28         (hofmans da)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00 16% 5.10    
BIG SWEEP Feb05         (glatt mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.50 31% 2.30    
ROYAL ADDRESS (IRE) Jan28         (drysdale neil)BRAVO J 124 2.00 23% 3.30    
CALIFORNIA KOOK Jan15         (alvarado rube)VELAZQUEZ R 124 2.50    
SCR  HEATHERS GREY         (mccarthy se)HERRERA A 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
SHE'S SO NICE (IRE) Jan07         (d'amato ph)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 3.50    
 
SA-7   03/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORGOTTEN VOWS Feb05         (drysdale neil)BAZE C 118 3.50 45% 1.20    
ROMEO'S GLORY Feb20         (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 8.00    
FUNKENSTEIN Jan29 Jan08       (puype mike)VALDIVIA JR 126 3.50 7% 13.10    
SAWASDEE Feb20 Jan15       (winick debbie)BLANC B 126 15.00    
ARTHUR SPOONER Feb20 Jan15 Jan01     (hanson ryan)ESPINOZA V 118 3.00 13% 6.50    
SMILING GOODBYE Jan15         (pederson dean)CEDILLO ABEL 118 4.00    
SPEED GRAZY         (koriner brian)CURATOLO RYAN 118 12.00    
DUTCH BUS Feb06 Jan17       (yakteen )ELLINGWOOD A 119 6.00 12% 7.30    
 
SA-8   03/13/2022 3960ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOPOLINA Feb04         (o'neill dou)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
MONEY BABY         (blacker daniel)CEDILLO ABEL 118 12.00    
VIOLENT RUNNER         (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 126 8.00    
YADIAMA         (jones f)BAZE C 126 12.00    
SCENIC MASTERPIECE Feb20         (wong jonat)GONZALEZ RICARDO 118 4.00    
SNARK Jan23 Jan01       (kruljac eric)BRAVO J 118 6.00 14% 6.40    
VIVANDO Feb19         (sadler john)HERRERA A 121 3.00 26% 2.90    
COUNTESS ROSINA (IRE)         (mullins jeff)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.50 34% 1.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.