Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turfway Park
Saturday - March 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TP-1   03/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEMPESTUOUS AMY         (riley barbara)OUZTS W 123 4.50 12% 7.30    
HERO OF THE BEST Feb12         (krummen m)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 123 20.00    
SUN DRESS Feb24 Jan16       (roberson de)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 3.00 18% 4.40    
FIONA POWER Jan29 Jan07       (taylor brent)ACHARD ALEX 123 6.00 14% 5.90    
B DEB'S FORTUNE Feb12 Jan08       (pitt)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 123 20.00    
MAGNA G FORCE Mar03 Feb18 Jan14     (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 123 2.50    
NATIVE CHARM Feb12 Jan09       (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 123 3.00 32% 2.20    
PIPA PAN Feb10         (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 12.00    
 
TP-2   03/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMMAND CENTRAL Feb23 Jan16       (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 126 5.00 14% 5.90    
CANDY CURL Feb25 Jan01       (spicer jame)PETERSON FERRIN 126 12.00 5% 18.20    
BOONE'S SPIRIT Feb23         (hughes g)BEJARANO R 124 4.00 47% 1.10    
TEEWINOT PASS Feb16 Jan07       (colebrook )CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.50 10% 8.70    
INCITATUS Feb16 Jan16       (garcia ge)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 126 4.00    
ROAD ABROAD         (littlefie)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 126 15.00    
OXWOOD Jan16         (woodbury judy)CANUTO THIAGO 119 30.00    
K RULES Feb23 Jan15       (correas ignac)MORALES EDGAR 126 5.00    
MILITARY FORCE Mar02 Feb19       (evans ii)FELIX E 126 8.00    
10  FOTHERINGAY Jan22         (colebrook be)KIMURA KAZUSHI 118 15.00    
 
TP-3   03/12/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($29K) 3 F PT- 7:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLD SPINNER Jan22         (rodriquez r)JIMENEZ J 120 15.00 10% 9.40    
SUPER SURGE Feb16         (ewing micha)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 8.00    
MISS MARPLE         (evans michael)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 120 8.00    
JUMAKAN BOURBON         (minnock g)BEJARANO R 120 12.00    
TERRAZZO Jan09         (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00    
BABY BLUE EYES Feb26         (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 120 4.00 49% 1.00    
REINA DE LA ROSE Feb26 Jan22       (watkins m)FELIX E 120 5.00 13% 6.50    
PIU CHE PRONTO         (anderson susa)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 10.00    
SILVER STICK STAIR Feb28         (acevedo i)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 12.00    
10  FIRST ROYAL Feb18 Jan07       (danner doug)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 3.00    
11  WHOA NELLY WHOA         (minnock wayn)RAMOS D 120 20.00    
 
TP-4   03/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($64K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POLKA POLENTA Jan29         (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 10.00    
SCR  GUANA CAY Feb20         (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 127 10.00    
PALLAS ATHENE Feb18 Jan29       (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 127 2.50    
TRUMPET LILLY Feb12 Feb03 Jan14     (cash l)MCKEE J 124 8.00 5% 18.80    
SPRITZ         (brisset rodo)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 8.00 10% 9.30    
SCR  KIMBERLEY DREAM Feb17 Jan29 Jan09     (winston d)OUZTS W 124 50.00    
TEMPER TIME Jan29         (romans dale)BEJARANO R 124 5.00 43% 1.30    
FOCACCINA         (colebrook ben)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 8.00    
DREAMFUL Jan29         (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 3.50 18% 4.70    
ELKE DO JAGUARETE (BRZ) Feb18 Jan29 Jan09     (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 15.00    
SCR  WAYWARDNESS Jan09         (beckman wh)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 30.00    
11  PRINCESS NINA Feb17 Jan29 Jan08     (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WAVE OF GOODNESS Feb11 Jan07       (hernandez ar)TAVARES JAVIER 124 20.00    
 
TP-5   03/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($62K) 3 ALL PT- 8:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAST FELIX         (cowans wi)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 15.00    
LUCKY DEVIL         (west ethan )FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 10.00    
EDGE OF GLORY Feb10         (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 120 8.00 15% 5.70    
CRIMSON AND CREAM Feb12         (colebrook )CORRALES GERARDO 120 6.00    
JOHN'S PROTEGE         (ward a)FLORES R 120 5.00 12% 7.70    
CYNWYD         (ward wesley )KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 5.00 8% 11.60    
WOLFE COUNTY Feb12         (walsh brendan )ROCCO S 120 4.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  BALADINE         (poulos dee)MCKEE J 120 20.00    
ASHERS ALLURE         (taylor brent)FELIX E 120 12.00    
10  HEY BOSS Feb23         (werre danny)ROMERO GREGORY 120 20.00    
11  CIRCLE BACK JACK         (hamilton sara)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 4.50 14% 6.40    
12  BRODY'S FLY         (romans dale)BEJARANO R 120 15.00    
SCR  BOURBON TALKING Feb23         (fletcher ke)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 20.00    
SCR  MEATLOAF'S CHANCE Feb23         (garcia amali)MORALES JOSHUA 120 20.00    
 
TP-6   03/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THREE TECHNIQUE Feb12         (cook b)BEJARANO R 120 5.00 24% 3.10    
FLAP JACK Feb17         (sisterson jac)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 12.00    
SOUPER HIGHVOLTAGE Mar05 Feb18 Jan01     (cristel mark)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 10.00 6% 14.80    
VISITANT Feb12         (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 124 0.60 24% 3.10    
JOHNNY UNLEASHED         (foster er)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 12.00    
HERE MI SONG Jan01         (stinson william)ACHARD ALEX 120 10.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  HIGH CRIME         (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 120 15.00    
HAUNT         (mcgaughey re)ROCCO S 120 10.00 5% 17.60    
 
TP-7   03/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($64K) 3 ALL PT- 9:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TRIGGER HAPPY Jan07         (rivelli larry)ACHARD ALEX 120 3.00 6% 15.40    
PRIVATE ROAD Jan08         (spicer t)BEJARANO R 118 8.00    
SCR  LESSON LEARNED (IRE)         (casse mar)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 10.00    
ALASDAIR Jan07         (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 122 5.00 19% 4.40    
CALL ME GUSTO Feb11         (hamilton sa)PETERSON FERRIN 122 15.00    
BARBARINO Feb25 Feb12 Jan22 Jan01   (jazdzewski)VILLASANA CARLOS 118 50.00    
AMICABLE (IRE) Jan22 Jan08       (livers charli)CANUTO THIAGO 115 12.00    
READY PURSUIT Feb26 Jan07       (antonuik je)FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 12.00    
AMERICAN HERO Jan07         (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 5.00 19% 4.30    
10  WIN FOR THE MONEY Feb11 Jan07       (casse mark)KIMURA KAZUSHI 118 2.50 36% 1.80    
 
TP-8   03/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($62K) 3 ALL PT- 9:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY NINETEEN Feb12         (maker michae)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 10.00    
AMERICAN PURE Feb16         (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 120 1.20 32% 2.10    
JR'S GIFT Feb23         (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 113 12.00    
SCATTERSHACK Feb16 Jan07       (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 5.00 11% 7.70    
HE REIGNS Feb16 Jan22       (ares paul)PETERSON FERRIN 120 30.00    
FROSTY DREAMS Feb26         (spicer ja)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 12.00    
MUCHO MOJO Feb12         (asmussen m)FELIX E 120 10.00    
CALIFORNIA FLIRT Feb23 Jan16       (leitch daniel)MORALES EDGAR 120 10.00 10% 9.10    
TURTAR MARA Feb23         (frazier matt)MCKEE J 120 20.00    
10  GUS GUS Feb16 Jan07       (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 8.00 26% 2.90    
11  TIZ A GIANT Feb20 Jan22       (trombetta mic)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.