Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turfway Park
Friday - March 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TP-1   03/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3 F PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GO BIXBY BABES Feb18         (reed r)LEON SONNY 120 12.00    
1A  GO PERKY GO Feb10         (reed r)LEON SONNY 120 12.00    
2  GORILLA GIRL Feb23         (walsh d)BEJARANO R 120 3.50 24% 3.20    
3  MISSISSIPPI MUSE Feb23 Jan15       (elliott mi)CORRALES GERARDO 120 5.00 ★    
4  HARD LIKE HOLLY Feb23 Jan25 Jan07     (hughes earl )TAVARES JAVIER 120 5.00 14% 6.00    
5  SPLIT DECISION Feb12 Jan08       (ewing ann)MCKEE J 120 3.50 5% 17.60    
6  DANCIN DEE Feb18 Jan01       (maker michae)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 1.40 33% 2.00    
 
TP-2   03/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIDENSEEK SALLY Feb16 Jan14       (west aaro)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 4.50 ★    
2  RADIANTRITHYM Feb18 Jan14       (danner doug)FELIX E 120 3.50 39% 1.60    
3  FIRST SQUADRON Jan14         (cook brian)ACHARD ALEX 120 3.50 17% 5.00    
4  MY DARK SECRET Jan16         (grubbs l)MACHADO LUAN 120 2.00 12% 7.10    
5  SHAPE OF YOU         (pittman bonnie)ROCCO S 120 10.00    
6  SMOKIN HOT BOBBIE Mar03 Jan14       (gonzalez rein)CANUTO THIAGO 113 10.00    
7  GO STORMIN GIRL         (cook bria)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 8.00 ★    
 
TP-3   03/11/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MINNIEMOREPROMISES Feb16         (manning mari)RAMOS D 123 20.00    
2  GUILDER Mar02 Jan15       (smith larry)OUZTS W 123 2.50 51% 0.90    
3  PASSIONATE HEART Feb14         (reed r)LEON SONNY 123 5.00 15% 5.80    
4  FLIRTATIOUS KITTY Feb19 Jan02       (barkley jason)MOJICA JR 126 3.50    
5  BEARS BREECHES Mar03 Feb19 Jan15     (anderson susa)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 5.00 ★    
6  CANDYCREAM Feb17         (douaihy mich)ROMERO GREGORY 123 10.00    
7  AKA LIONESS Mar02         (watkins m)FELIX E 123 15.00 7% 14.10    
8  KHOZYS CROWN         (cook bria)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 123 6.00 ★    
SCR  JUST FINE BY ME Feb16         (shifflett che)CANUTO THIAGO 116 8.00    
 
TP-4   03/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HART WELL Mar02 Feb18 Jan07     (livers charli)CANUTO THIAGO 117 15.00    
2  SNAKE BITE Feb24 Feb10       (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 124 1.40 33% 2.10    
3  FULCO         (murphy conor)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 2.50 40% 1.50    
4  COMMISSARIO Feb23         (figueroa nel)MORALES JOSHUA 124 30.00    
5  INDOCUMENTADO         (jurado luis)LEON SONNY 124 20.00 ★    
6  DRAMATIC KITTEN Feb24 Feb17 Jan25 Jan12   (hughes earl )TAVARES JAVIER 124 15.00    
7  EL CHEAPO Feb24         (jarvis kath)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 15.00    
8  BLESSED WITH LUCK Feb24 Feb10       (eggleston tim)MORALES EDGAR 124 2.50 5% 17.60    
9  CAPE MARCO DRIVE Feb24         (figueroa )BERMUDEZ E 124 30.00 ★    
 
TP-5   03/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($62K) 3 F PT- 8:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELLA MORNING         (mattingly james)ACHARD ALEX 120 20.00    
2  MY LILY MAE Jan23 Jan14       (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 113 3.50 11% 8.00    
3  CHILLY Jan09         (sims a)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 6.00 ★    
4  DALTON'S LOVE Feb19 Jan14       (greenhill )CORRALES GERARDO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  MADRE DI GRANDEZZA         (ortiz a)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 12.00    
6  AMELIA'S MAP         (ewing mic)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 15.00    
7  LOST BIKINI         (reed r)LEON SONNY 120 15.00    
8  PARIS KENTUCKY Feb19 Jan23       (correas ignacio )BEJARANO R 120 3.00 63% 0.60    
9  HEAVENLY HELLOS Jan01         (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 120 4.50 ★    
10  QUALITY STAR         (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 8.00    
11  BEACH KITTEN Feb19 Jan08       (garcia ge)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 15.00    
 
TP-6   03/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRISH DECLARATION Feb17 Jan16       (bush s)FELIX E 123 4.00 21% 3.90    
2  HIGHER AUTHORITY Feb16 Jan14 Jan02     (west ethan )FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 2.50 52% 0.90    
3  CURLINGTON Jan07         (kenneally edd)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 3.00 ★    
4  AGAINST THE LINE         (greenhill jeff)OUZTS W 123 8.00    
5  DON'T MAKE ME BEG Feb17 Jan26       (brooks gerald)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 5.00    
6  LORD REVELSTOKE Feb26 Feb10 Jan02     (corr)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 123 4.00 ★    
7  DYNAFORM Feb14 Jan14 Jan01     (norris step)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 15.00 ★    
8  TRY TRY AGAIN Feb26 Feb10 Jan16     (hernandez ja)TAVARES JAVIER 123 30.00    
 
TP-7   03/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($31K) 3 ALL PT- 9:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL BANDERA         (pribble wi)VILLASANA CARLOS 120 30.00 ★    
2  SLIM SLOW SLIDER Feb23         (hernandez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 6.00    
3  HATCH (GB) Feb11 Jan14       (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 6.00 ★    
4  UNDERDRESSED Feb25 Jan22 Jan02     (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 120 4.50 24% 3.20    
5  GUN RUSH Jan22         (corr)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 5.00    
6  NOBLE JON Feb11         (garcia ge)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 4.00 32% 2.20    
7  MANSFIELD TIGER Feb23 Jan02       (garcia gen)CORRALES GERARDO 120 12.00    
8  FROOME (IRE) Feb17         (bush s)BEJARANO R 120 6.00    
9  ZOOMBIE Feb23 Jan22       (walsh ryan )PETERSON FERRIN 120 3.50 23% 3.40    
 
TP-8   03/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($18K) 3 F PT- 9:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIDDY UP ZOEY Mar03 Jan01       (short travi)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 5.00 ★    
2  BETTIN ON BELLE         (kenneally edd)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 3.50 ★    
3  KENZIE LOU Feb23         (garcia ge)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 12.00    
4  HIGH MEADOWS Feb11 Jan07       (cook b)BEJARANO R 120 3.00 37% 1.70    
5  AFERDITA         (mackey way)VILLASANA CARLOS 120 12.00    
6  DIVA DIXIE         (hancock john )CANUTO THIAGO 113 15.00    
7  PARADIGM SHIFT Feb23 Feb11 Jan01     (estvanko )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 12.00 7% 13.00    
8  GOOD TROUBLE Feb24 Feb05       (colebrook )CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.50 34% 2.00    
9  JERSEY GOLD Feb11 Jan22       (pittman bonnie)RIVERA BRYAN 110 20.00    
10  TROUBLE FINDS ME         (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 120 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.