Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fonner Park
Friday - March 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FON-1   03/11/2022 2640ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($4.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SISTER SHIRLEY Feb25         (thompson grady)WOOD DAKOTA 124 2.00 57% 0.70    
2  RAVENS BLING Feb25 Feb09 Jan19     (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 120 2.50 ★    
3  DIXIE TRIXIE Feb25         (dieter dalton)TOHILL S 124 3.50 ★    
4  DIAMOND IN THE SUN Feb25         (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 5.00 13% 6.80    
5  RINGAROUNDTHEROSIE Feb25         (wise jason)OLESIAK JAKE 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  HOT HABANERO         (sweere sandr)BETHKE A 124 10.00    
 
FON-2   03/11/2022 2640ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($7.2K) 3 ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAST BITA GLITTER Feb19         (bethke troy )BETHKE A 122 6.00 7% 13.50    
2  BLUEGRASS BREEZE         (black marissa)MARTINEZ A 122 1.80 30% 2.30    
3  NABS         (black marissa)TOHILL S 122 3.00 15% 5.70    
4  ROYAL OUTLAW Feb12         (anderson david )WOOD DAKOTA 122 4.00    
SCR  MAHOMEITE Feb25 Jan28       (martin steve)RAMOS B 122 15.00    
6  ITS A DEAL Feb24         (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 122 4.00 15% 5.70    
7  HANDY BOY         (rushton temple)JUDE JOHN 122 10.00 13% 6.90    
 
FON-3   03/11/2022 2640ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($4.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GIVE EM FITZ         (chavez juan)JOURNET JARRED 124 3.50 16% 5.40    
2  FLAMING INDY Feb26         (mcdonald willia)WOOD DAKOTA 124 0.80 24% 3.10    
3  SASSY SETA Feb26         (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 12.00 11% 8.30    
4  DRAMA RUN Feb26         (wise jason)OLESIAK JAKE 124 20.00 10% 8.90    
5  EREBUNI Mar06         (bethke troy )BETHKE A 124 15.00    
6  TAYLOR'S BEAUTY Feb26         (dieter dalton)MARTINEZ A 124 8.00    
7  UNTETHERED SOUL Mar05 Feb26 Jan29 Jan01   (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 124 3.00 15% 5.60    
 
FON-4   03/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($8.47K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOTS OF SHADE Feb25         (rivera grego)BETHKE A 124 6.00    
2  U REMEMBER Feb25         (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 124 2.50 45% 1.20    
SCR  MISS JUSTICE Feb25         (sorensen mike)HAAR NATHAN 124 5.00 ★    
SCR  SHADY BEND         (hall l)ROMAN KEVIN 124 5.00 12% 7.30    
5  SING CHARMER SING Feb25         (compton jesse)OLESIAK JAKE 124 2.00 ★    
6  TAPITY TAP Feb25         (ecoffey gilber)LUARK T 124 15.00    
7  TEA AT NOON Feb03         (emerson elisabet)TOHILL S 124 8.00 11% 8.10    
 
FON-5   03/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRENCH ROSE         (anderson david )WOOD DAKOTA 124 3.00 ★    
2  CABO DORADO         (martinez kelli)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 8.00    
3  REMARKABLE CHARM         (roberts m)HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00    
4  LONG MONDAY Mar05         (condon schuy)JOURNET JARRED 124 2.50 31% 2.20    
5  HARLONS COMMISION Jan21 Jan01       (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 124 4.50 ★    
SCR  M AND M GIRL         (sanderson br)BETHKE A 124 6.00 10% 9.30    
7  BREW CASA Jan14         (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 124 3.00 25% 3.00    
 
FON-6   03/11/2022 2640ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($4.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUN SOBER Feb25 Feb19       (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 2.00 51% 1.00    
1A  DANCE FOR RANSOM Feb25 Feb20       (ecoffey gilbert)WOOD DAKOTA 124 2.00    
2  THEBOYZDELIGHT         (haar j)OLESIAK JAKE 124 10.00 6% 16.30    
3  TICK TACK MO Mar04 Feb20       (bethke troy )BETHKE A 124 20.00    
4  HARDWORKCLEANLIVIN         (rushton stacy)JUDE JOHN 124 4.50    
SCR  PIERPONT Feb25         (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 12.00 ★    
6  SEELEY Feb25         (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 4.00 ★    
7  BIG MACINTOSH Feb27         (condon schuyler)TOHILL S 124 10.00    
SCR  CORRANA EN LIMEN Feb19         (arceo salvador)MARTINEZ A 124 2.50 20% 3.90    
 
FON-7   03/11/2022 2640ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($7.2K) 3 F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRESLEY'S ARTWORK Feb26         (lemburg mark)JOURNET JARRED 122 2.00 60% 0.70    
2  POW POW Feb24 Feb09 Jan13     (jondle mark)RAMOS B 122 6.00    
3  ONE HOT REDHEAD         (anderson david)OLESIAK JAKE 122 8.00    
4  SUPREME DREAM Feb26         (mitchell stets)MCNEIL BRYAN 122 15.00    
5  PRAIRIE FIREBALL         (lemburg mark)BETHKE A 122 15.00    
6  LOTS OF GOLD Feb23 Feb09 Jan13     (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 122 3.50 13% 6.90    
7  FLAT OUT HOT Feb26         (condon schuyler)WOOD DAKOTA 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DONNA'S HOPE         (thomsen paula)HAAR NATHAN 122 5.00 ★    
9  AMERICAN REALITY Feb16 Feb02 Jan21 Jan05   (hibdon n)MARTINEZ A 122 4.00 ★    
 
FON-8   03/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($7.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ADD IT ALL UP Feb20         (lemburg mark)JOURNET JARRED 124 15.00    
2  EQUIFOX Feb20         (ecoffey gilbert)WOOD DAKOTA 124 15.00    
3  UNTAMED MONEY Mar06 Feb18 Feb02 Jan14   (hibdon n)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 8.00 6% 14.60    
SCR  SECRET MISTRESS Feb20         (sanderson br)BETHKE A 124 3.50 20% 3.90    
5  NEBRASKA RED Feb20         (mcclain stanley)JUDE JOHN 124 12.00    
6  GOVENESS SHEILA         (condon schuyler)TOHILL S 124 15.00 ★    
7  D L'S GIRL Feb20         (anderson david)OLESIAK JAKE 124 15.00    
8  STAR IN THE SKY Feb19         (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 2.50 15% 5.80    
9  GUAPA CHICA Jan21         (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 124 5.00 33% 2.10    
10  TAKE CHARGE PATTI Feb20         (black marissa)MARTINEZ A 124 2.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.