Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turfway Park
Thursday - March 10, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TP-1   03/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILLYMAR Feb16 Jan15 Jan01     (rangel arnulf)CANUTO THIAGO 118 15.00    
MISS SOVELIA Feb19 Jan23 Jan09     (edgell shar)MIRANDA ROGELIO 125 5.00 12% 7.30    
MY TOMMY LEE Feb24 Jan23       (corr)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 125 3.00 13% 6.80    
LITTLE JUDY B         (kinmon keith)MOJICA JR 118 6.00    
WARIS         (elliott miche)MORALES EDGAR 125 10.00 9% 9.70    
SOFIA STRONG Feb10         (maker michae)LANDEROS CHRIS 125 2.50 35% 1.90    
BOURBON RUNNER Feb11         (casti)ULLOA PATRICIO 118 6.00    
AMARI S. Feb17 Jan22       (edgell shar)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 8.00 9% 10.00    
 
TP-2   03/10/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KOBE BEACH Feb16 Jan16 Jan02     (rodriquez r)JIMENEZ J 123 4.00    
LOVE TWENTY SIX Feb25 Feb12 Jan02     (godsey ma)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 5.00 8% 11.60    
GO RODNEY Jan26         (ellio)ULLOA PATRICIO 123 12.00    
SIROCCO Feb16 Jan16 Jan02     (butcher malco)CANUTO THIAGO 116 15.00    
BRONZE BEAST Feb16 Jan09       (morey e)BEJARANO R 123 2.50 35% 1.80    
RAULITO Feb25 Feb12 Jan01     (adams l)MILLER CHASE 123 5.00    
AUDACIOUS ANTOINE Feb25         (sands shane)RAMOS D 123 8.00    
ROGUE LEADER Jan09         (green troy)FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 3.00 34% 1.90    
 
TP-3   03/10/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($27K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOST IN MANHATTAN Feb19 Jan08       (kordenbrock matt)BEJARANO R 120 3.50 7% 14.40    
PERCENTAGE Feb11 Jan23       (antonuik je)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 12.00    
FIRST DEPUTY Feb18 Jan14       (riley barbara)OUZTS W 120 15.00    
CANDY CANE LANE Feb19 Jan02       (hester haley)BECKMAN ALICE 113 20.00    
UNCLE EARL Feb19         (brownfield cla)MACHADO LUAN 120 12.00    
DONNELS CREEK Feb11 Jan08       (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 120 3.00 11% 8.30    
CROSSTOWN SHOOTOUT Jan14         (sullivan e)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.50    
KATE'S GOLDEN DUDE Feb15 Jan14       (anderson susa)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 3.00 57% 0.80    
 
TP-4   03/10/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3 ALL PT- 7:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OVERTHOUGHT Jan14         (west w)MORALES EDGAR 120 8.00 6% 15.10    
GOGEES Feb27 Feb20 Jan30 Jan23 Jan14 (brooks gerald)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 5.00    
THISPOINTINTIME Feb17 Jan01       (huffman pat)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 4.50    
HORSE DADDY Feb23 Jan07       (asmussen m)FELIX E 120 5.00    
MUNDO MIX         (caramori edua)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 120 12.00    
EXPENSIVE CUT         (brafford miche)MACHADO LUAN 120 20.00    
GORUN         (wohlers laur)RAMOS D 120 8.00    
SCR  BETTER DASHER Feb25         (davis joseph)MORALES JOSHUA 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
MATTHEWSTHIRTYFOUR Feb12         (west w)ACHARD ALEX 120 4.00 65% 0.50    
10  DIABLO DADDY         (reed r)MCKEE J 120 12.00    
11  PETTY THIEF Feb17 Jan22       (riley barbara)OUZTS W 120 12.00    
 
TP-5   03/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($62K) 3 F PT- 8:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BE TOUGH         (toye l)PETERSON FERRIN 120 15.00    
DREAM STREAK Feb16 Jan08       (fosdick steve)MORALES EDGAR 120 20.00    
DIAMONDS N DENIM         (eggleston)BERMUDEZ E 120 30.00    
UP IN THE AIR Feb26 Jan22       (short thoma)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 5.00 26% 2.90    
NILE RIVER QUEEN Feb19 Jan22       (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 5.00 13% 7.00    
ACCUSE         (walsh brendan)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 6.00    
QUIST AND SHOUT         (correas ignacio )BEJARANO R 120 12.00    
MAINE KITTY CAT         (devaux ch)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 6.00    
SIS BOOM BOB Feb16         (gonzalez rein)CANUTO THIAGO 113 12.00    
10  KENDAL GRACE Feb16         (acevedo israel)MOJICA JR 120 4.00 21% 3.80    
11  HIGHLAND SQUARE         (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 3.50 21% 3.90    
 
TP-6   03/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($29K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DIFFERENTBUTOK Feb10         (correas ignacio )BEJARANO R 125 4.00 19% 4.20    
MUSICAL CAT Feb11         (walsh brendan)TALAMO JOSEPH 125 2.00 25% 3.00    
PEYTON'S COLLEGE         (cook b)MILLER CHASE 125 15.00    
LIZ C Feb18         (kelley jame)PETERSON FERRIN 125 30.00    
CENTRAL PARKING         (werr)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 125 15.00    
LOVELY MELAYRA         (douaihy miche)CANUTO THIAGO 111 15.00    
WATERMARK Feb10 Jan15       (colebrook )CORRALES GERARDO 125 3.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  BIRRA         (maker michae)LANDEROS CHRIS 125 5.00    
CYNOSURE         (flenner andr)RAMOS D 125 20.00    
10  WAR ENSIGN Feb24         (noltemeyer ke)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 15.00 7% 13.60    
SCR  SHARED MISCHIEF         (fernandez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 125 30.00    
 
TP-7   03/10/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($68K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IWILLPERSEVERE Feb12         (slager mike)ORM CORY 124 30.00    
ENFORCEABLE         (casse mark)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 4.50    
POLE SETTER Feb19 Feb12       (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 117 6.00 5% 17.30    
SCR  SUGOI Feb19         (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 124 5.00 22% 3.60    
INTRADAY (BRZ) Feb10         (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 8.00    
MR DUMAS Feb19         (ortiz joh)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 2.50 33% 2.00    
KING CAUSE Jan29         (maker michae)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 4.00 9% 9.60    
NEXT         (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 124 5.00 6% 16.20    
 
TP-8   03/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($62K) 3 F PT- 9:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADYBELUCKY         (kenneally edd)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 4.00 25% 2.90    
SCR  JUDY'S MS. OFFICER Feb19 Jan09       (cristel mark )JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 12.00 11% 7.70    
SCR  ANIPPE Mar09         (beattie m)ROCCO S 120 10.00    
GILDED QUEST Jan23         (casse mark)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 3.00 13% 7.00    
AKEDAH         (egbert james)HISBY RONALD 120 30.00    
FAST COREY         (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.50 27% 2.60    
SHADOW BELLE Feb18         (roberts m)BERMUDEZ E 120 30.00    
SCR  JETINWITHCLASS         (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00    
WEST LOVE         (colebrook be)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 10.00    
10  FAST TRANSIT         (huffman pat)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.