Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - March 09, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MVR-1   03/09/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLACK BUTTE Feb16 Jan01       (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00    
BE AUTHENTIC Feb16 Jan19 Jan01     (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 124 1.60    
ANNMARIA Jan04         (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 2.50 76% 0.30    
CASCABRIA Mar02 Jan05       (skerrett )CORREA L 124 4.00    
SCR  WICKED LOVE Mar01 Feb22 Jan04     (barnes bart)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 124 20.00    
COLORINCOLONEL Feb12         (estvanko ri)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 6.00    
NESSUM DORMA Feb01 Jan19       (sullivan ell)WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 8.00    
 
MVR-2   03/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN GALAXY GIRL Feb22 Jan05       (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 126 5.00 7% 13.90    
RYOAN Feb18 Jan05       (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.50 49% 1.00    
NO QUESTION Feb22 Jan21       (bernard)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 2.00    
CHARM OF THE CITY         (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 126 4.50 6% 15.10    
PROMISES FOREVER         (flores )PILARES P 126 6.00    
WOLF EYES Feb22 Jan21 Jan05     (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 126 4.00 7% 12.90    
 
MVR-3   03/09/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DETERMINATOR Feb14 Jan25       (buttigieg ke)KEISER CHELSEY 124 8.00 13% 6.80    
WARRIOR'S DREAM Feb14 Jan01       (thornbury jeff)LEON SONNY 126 2.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  WOODHAVEN KID Mar04 Feb11       (clousto)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00    
TAMANRASSETT Feb14 Jan14       (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 6.00    
HE'S THE SOUPERWON Feb14 Jan24       (van meter)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 4.50    
WINKING AT THEDUDE Feb14 Jan25 Jan05     (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 18% 4.50    
SAY HEY KID Feb14 Jan21       (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 124 10.00 6% 16.30    
 
MVR-4   03/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUNAWAY RUSSELL         (maddox rac)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 20.00    
KEEPING SCORE Jan22         (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 126 5.00 18% 4.60    
CHOCOLATE PHILLING Feb26 Jan19       (maddox rachae)TOLEDO S 126 4.00    
QUIMBY Feb18 Jan25       (evans ii)LEON SONNY 118 3.50 26% 2.80    
LINO'S KID Feb18         (zielinski r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 3.00 30% 2.30    
OHIO STRONG Feb18         (mcdonald jame)BARBARAN ERIK 118 2.00    
 
MVR-5   03/09/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAPER FLOWERS Jan04         (trevino steph)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 15.00    
UNSPOKEN MEMORIES Feb21 Jan27 Jan12     (miller)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.00 24% 3.20    
MAGIC MOUNTAIN         (sullivan ellio)DIAZ I 126 2.50 12% 7.50    
STRAPPING Feb21 Jan04       (buttigieg ke)HALDAR J 118 10.00 8% 11.60    
INSACIABLE PRINCE Mar01 Feb18 Jan21     (romero jo)CORREA L 118 15.00    
FAST CALL         (evans m)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 8.00    
PASSIONATE LUCK Jan22         (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 126 20.00    
REBOPPER         (balo will)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 126 4.00 33% 2.10    
SCR  WILDCAT CROWN         (ellio)ULLOA PATRICIO 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
10  STORMY PROSPECTOR         (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 126 20.00    
 
MVR-6   03/09/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUTADARRIB         (cline c)DIAZ R 124 6.00    
PANAMANIAN TEASER Feb01 Jan22 Jan04     (urieta)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 20% 3.90    
BILLY NOT WILLIAM Jan26 Jan11       (vazquez iv)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 20.00    
NO TOLERANCE Mar01 Feb21 Feb01 Jan18 Jan04 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 1.60 55% 0.80    
GRITO DE PABLITO Jan22 Jan04       (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 8.00    
SIN CITY SLICK         (reed er)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.00    
 
MVR-7   03/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEIDI'S BACK Feb26 Feb16 Feb01 Jan24 Jan14 (tumblin a)HOLLINGSWORTH L 126 10.00    
SWEETALKINGJUSTICE Feb19 Jan21       (casalinova tin)GONZALEZ A 126 10.00    
MY BELLE MICHELLE Feb19 Jan25 Jan14     (gorham )PILARES P 126 3.50 16% 5.40    
BISCAYNE BAY Feb19 Jan25 Jan01     (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.50 16% 5.40    
FORTUNATE GINA Feb19 Jan25       (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 1.20 45% 1.20    
PALI'S REWARD Jan05         (hurley l)PAUCAR E 126 8.00    
 
MVR-8   03/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE MAN CAN Feb14 Jan12 Jan05     (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 12.00    
QUALITY MAN Feb19 Jan24 Jan11     (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 6.00    
CHARLEE'S MAGIC Feb22         (mcdonald jam)HALDAR J 124 3.50 56% 0.80    
HANSENATION Feb19 Jan11 Jan05     (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 2.50 14% 6.00    
IT'S A MANS WORLD Feb15 Jan24 Jan11     (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00    
TIGER TRAIL Feb19         (gorham )PILARES P 124 2.00    
WEST LEONARD Feb22 Jan26       (johnson gar)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.