Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mahoning Valley
Monday - March 07, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MVR-1   03/07/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OSMI SLEW Mar01 Feb21 Jan01     (lopez carlos)TAPARA BRANDON 126 4.50    
IN SEARCH OF Feb21         (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 2.50 19% 4.20    
GALLIPOLIS Feb21         (sullivan mi)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 3.50 12% 7.00    
AWESOME BREAK Feb21         (bi)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 6.00    
SUMMER LOAD         (ceccato sharon)DIAZ I 126 5.00 11% 7.90    
JOEY THE CARPENTER Jan28 Jan05       (juarez lore)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 3.00 31% 2.30    
 
MVR-2   03/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEY SACH Feb21 Jan04       (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 124 6.00    
1A  MASTER Feb15 Jan31       (casalinova tin)GONZALEZ A 118 6.00    
MONOLITO Jan31         (reed r)LEON SONNY 116 2.50 41% 1.40    
BUNDLEDLIKE BERNIE Feb18         (zielins)PILARES P 116 10.00    
CENTSOFWANDER Feb23 Jan15       (huffman)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.00    
GOODBYELLOWBRICKRD Feb18 Jan15       (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
TOUCHDOWN JESUS Feb23 Jan11       (haehn r)DIAZ I 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
LITTLE ALEX         (douaih)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 1.80 28% 2.60    
 
MVR-3   03/07/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEMI CHARMED DAY Jan25 Jan12       (chatterton geral)LEON SONNY 124 3.00 35% 1.80    
O'HAIRE Feb01 Jan12       (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 124 10.00 11% 8.30    
VALEROSO Feb21 Feb01 Jan24     (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00    
BORN TO BE KING Jan19         (buttigieg kevi)GONZALEZ A 124 4.00    
COME SEE ABOUT IT         (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.50 24% 3.10    
DON'T MATTER Jan19         (gorham )PILARES P 124 20.00    
KING RICHIE Feb16 Jan14       (skerrett je)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 124 4.50    
PARADE GRAND Feb01         (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00    
 
MVR-4   03/07/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARRIAGE COUNSELOR Feb22         (erfle gerald)HOUGHTON D 126 8.00    
KEYED ON TOP Jan31 Jan14       (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 126 3.00 16% 5.10    
FOREST CHATTER Feb01 Jan14       (johnson gary)KEISER CHELSEY 126 6.00 6% 15.50    
VENETIAN DREAM         (meraz antonio)LEON SONNY 126 1.80    
ROSKILDE         (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 3.50 49% 1.10    
WIZARD WILLIE Feb28 Jan14       (johnson g)CORREA L 126 5.00    
 
MVR-5   03/07/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAR HAWK Feb16 Jan14       (erdel john)RIVERA R 124 10.00    
SCR  SCALES OF JUSTICE Feb19         (colebrook b)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 124 3.00 10% 8.60    
BOB'S CALLING Feb14 Feb01 Jan24     (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 12.00    
SHANGHAI PRINCE Jan14         (cline r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00    
HIPSTER Feb16 Jan22       (cowans willia)BRACHO A 124 4.00 14% 6.10    
EL MARRO Jan22         (schuster robi)BARBARAN ERIK 124 20.00    
SO DIALED IN Feb21         (skerrett je)MARTINEZ R 124 6.00    
ESCAPE VELOCITY Feb21         (bernardini p)LEON SONNY 124 3.50 50% 1.00    
SCR  SPINSTER ROAD Feb28 Feb15 Jan31 Jan14   (bailey rica)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 15.00    
10  OFTEN ENOUGH Feb22 Jan24 Jan05     (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00    
 
MVR-6   03/07/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($40.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISTER MOBIL Feb14 Jan12       (johnson g)CORREA L 123 10.00    
FIRSTHAND JUSTICE Feb14 Jan22 Jan04     (bailey )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 5.00 15% 5.90    
GONE TOO SOON         (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 123 10.00    
PRIVATE DRIVE Jan22 Jan12       (brown glenr)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
DIRECT DECEIT         (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.50    
OVER ICCE Feb14 Jan12       (johnson l)LEON SONNY 123 3.00    
GOLDEN MONEY Feb14 Jan22       (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 2.00 57% 0.80    
 
MVR-7   03/07/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE GLAMOROUS GAL Jan24         (johnson gary )BRACHO A 124 3.00    
SCR  KIST Feb16 Jan26       (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 124 20.00    
JETTIN PEGASUS Feb23 Feb16 Jan26     (suarez javier)LEON SONNY 124 10.00    
SHE'S CRAFTY Feb19         (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 124 12.00    
WINDY LU WHO Feb16 Jan26       (anderson su)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 2.00 47% 1.10    
NICEASAKITTENSEYES Jan26         (sw)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00    
BLARNEY GIRL Feb24         (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.50 26% 2.90    
POWER BANKER Jan26 Jan01       (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 6.00    
 
MVR-8   03/07/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAMMY'S TOY Jan25 Jan11       (cline robert)HALDAR J 118 8.00    
1A  WHISKEY HELPS Jan19         (cline robert)ROSARIO L 126 8.00    
NOSEY POWER         (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 20.00    
KISS THE DEMON         (vazquez)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
ARION MAXIMUS         (laughe)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 5.00    
ADMIRAL GLEN Feb16         (tumblin a)HOLLINGSWORTH L 126 2.50 7% 13.20    
COUNT BRIAN         (radcliff do)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 126 6.00    
DEXQUIRE Feb18 Jan25 Jan11     (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 118 1.20 64% 0.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.