Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mahoning Valley
Saturday - March 05, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MVR-1   03/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARCH MAGIC Feb06 Jan23       (brown glenroy)DIAZ I 126 10.00    
LIL RICKYS JEWEL Jan05         (cline c)HOUGHTON D 118 1.80 33% 2.00    
THANKSDAD Feb18         (poole m)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
DEVINE PRIDE Jan31 Jan15       (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 126 20.00    
VOLUME LEADER Feb16 Jan15       (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 4.00    
CARSON'S ROCKET Jan31 Jan15       (langemeier j)ROMERO GREGORY 126 2.00 37% 1.70    
TURBO POWER Feb16 Jan22       (tumblin a)CORREA L 118 6.00    
 
MVR-2   03/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.4K) 3UP M/F PT-12:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SONGSTOPSHELF Jan14         (bird danny)TAPARA BRANDON 124 2.50 13% 6.90    
LOVELY LADY LINDA Feb01 Jan14       (cline c)PAUCAR E 124 6.00    
SWEET EVY GRACE Jan26         (salced)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 21% 3.70    
CUT RATES Feb01 Jan14       (trevino steph)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.40 36% 1.80    
HIGH CUPPER Feb19 Jan14       (brown glen)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 8.00    
BEST OF YOU Feb19 Feb01 Jan21     (murillo rodrig)PEREZ ISMAEL 124 15.00    
 
MVR-3   03/05/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUGMENTING ASSETS Jan12         (haehn terry )KEISER CHELSEY 126 3.50 15% 5.70    
JUMPZAR         (sw)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 10.00    
ZVOLUME Feb16 Jan15       (faulkner joshua )RIVERA R 126 6.00 20% 4.10    
THIRDSTRINGDREAMER         (schuster r)SMITH DIOGDINABI 118 15.00    
CONSECUTIVE RUN         (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 126 20.00    
SHOSHA SHOSHA Feb16 Jan11       (jones e)MUSARRO JOE 118 15.00    
ALWAYS ON THE ROX Jan19         (sullivan ellio)GONZALEZ A 126 3.00 41% 1.40    
WAR MOON Feb14         (gorostieta ci)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 118 2.00    
LA TAINA Feb21         (vazquez ivan)DIAZ I 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-4   03/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EASTON ROCKS Feb16 Jan22       (sullivan ellio)GONZALEZ A 124 8.00    
CLEVELAND SIMPSON Feb17         (west m)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 8% 11.10    
IRIE ISLAND MAN Feb16 Jan04       (bailey )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00    
BIG FRANK Feb16 Jan22 Jan09     (vecchio cary)TAPARA BRANDON 124 3.00 39% 1.60    
UNCAPTURED PULSE Feb16 Jan26 Jan15 Jan01   (urieta jo)CORREA L 124 4.50    
KING OF THE RING Feb16 Jan04       (pappada juli)WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 6.00 29% 2.40    
JOYRIDE Feb12         (douaihy mic)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 3.50    
 
MVR-5   03/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT- 2:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAMMY'S SMILE         (radosevich je)BRACHO A 121 2.50 7% 13.70    
WINK DON'T THINK Jan31 Jan22 Jan05     (schuster robi)BARBARAN ERIK 118 15.00    
CHISELED JUSTICE Feb14 Jan26 Jan05     (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 3.00 55% 0.80    
WILDCAT BILL         (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 2.00 15% 5.70    
CADILLAC RIDE         (crumley jevon)TUNON JORDANO 121 6.00    
BILLY BEACOUP Feb16 Jan31 Jan15 Jan05   (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 118 12.00    
TWINSPIREDJOEY         (urieta joha)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 20.00    
LAYITONTHICK Jan24 Jan08       (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 113 10.00    
 
MVR-6   03/05/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALACRITOUS         (buttigieg kevi)GONZALEZ A 124 3.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  HOVER Jan26 Jan14       (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 2.50 40% 1.50    
ATTUCK Feb15 Jan26       (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 9% 10.50    
BIG TRIP Feb15 Jan31       (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 6.00 11% 8.00    
WAR ACT         (ellio)ULLOA PATRICIO 124 4.00    
RED HOT DEVIL Feb15 Jan26 Jan14     (meraz antoni)WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 20.00    
AZTEC EMPIRE         (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 8.00    
 
MVR-7   03/05/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCLE MOMO Feb15 Jan12       (juarez )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00    
COLOMBARD Feb15 Jan26 Jan11     (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 126 2.50 31% 2.30    
SOUTHERN SPIRIT Feb22 Jan12       (rivera nestor)RIVERA R 124 10.00    
SILENT TIGER Feb15 Jan12       (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 4.00    
OVERBEARING Feb15 Jan24       (buttig)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 11% 8.20    
BULLION Feb21 Jan22       (sullivan elli)TUNON JORDANO 124 1.80 36% 1.80    
 
MVR-8   03/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3 ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLYING GUILLOTINE Feb26 Feb18 Jan31 Jan21   (bailey ricar)TAPARA BRANDON 122 8.00    
SCR  BATTLE BORN         (west e)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 1.80 32% 2.10    
DONDADA Feb15 Jan31       (bryant donal)ROMERO GREGORY 122 3.50 23% 3.40    
NIGHT TIME RULER         (gorham )PILARES P 122 20.00    
ROYAL FROCK         (acevedo isr)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 6.00    
JUJU NINETEEN Feb15 Jan31       (hamm timoth)FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 3.00 24% 3.20    
FED BIZ THE KIDD Feb15 Jan22       (decker anna)YARANGA Y 122 12.00    
ELEGGUA         (decker anna)DIAZ I 122 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.