Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Sam Houston Park
Saturday - March 05, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HOU-2   03/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EYES ON RED Feb19 Feb04 Jan15     (eoff terry)MORA GERARDO 123 6.00    
MOONSHINERBOY Feb04 Jan21       (dodson )GONCALVES R 123 15.00 17% 4.80    
WONDERS OF HISLOVE         (lucarelli f)MELANCON JANSEN 123 1.60 30% 2.40    
K C TIZ MORO Feb17 Jan08       (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 2.50    
SILVER AND ACES Feb19 Feb09       (williams f)PEREZ E 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
IT'S MY MONEY Jan14         (bald)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 15.00    
SUGAR FOOTIN BLING         (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 3.50 25% 3.00    
 
HOU-3   03/05/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.75K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DELIRIUM Feb23 Feb10       (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 2.00    
DURITZ Feb23 Jan27       (tracy greg)LUZZI J 123 4.00    
MONSTER RIVER Feb23 Jan29       (young scott)WETHEY JR 123 8.00 7% 12.40    
REALLY SLOW Feb10 Jan14       (stuart c)PEREZ E 123 3.00 60% 0.70    
WARRIORS HAVEN Feb17 Jan28       (saa)URIETA MANUEL 123 12.00 6% 16.50    
HEAROSEONEASTER Feb23 Jan29 Jan08     (davidson sa)MELANCON JANSEN 123 10.00    
ISTAN WARRIOR Feb12 Jan29 Jan14     (eoff terry)LARA EZEQUIEL 123 4.50    
 
HOU-4   03/05/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3 ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WITTS SHOWTIME Feb17         (barton amand)PIVARAL GERBER 122 15.00 6% 15.30    
1A  WITT AMERICA Feb11 Jan28       (barton aman)MELANCON JANSEN 122 15.00    
TALK OF TEXAS Feb11 Jan15       (davidson )TRIANA JR 122 8.00    
TENQUE Feb11 Jan27       (pish da)GONCALVES R 122 4.00    
SMARTY RIDGE Jan07         (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 20.00 6% 15.40    
SPORT COAT Jan07         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 1.60 53% 0.90    
BODYMOOR HEATH Feb17 Jan30 Jan20     (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 2.00 12% 7.20    
REGAL PRIZE Feb25 Feb11 Jan20 Jan15   (payne danny)HAMILTON WESTON 122 12.00    
 
HOU-5   03/05/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 3 ALL PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ROKER         (young scott)WETHEY JR 122 3.00 14% 6.20    
BRICK TOWN Feb16         (ashford)GONCALVES R 122 4.00    
BIG BERNIE Feb11 Jan15       (willis mindy)DIEGO V 122 2.50 64% 0.60    
BRUCELEA Feb11 Jan15       (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 3.50    
SCR  PLENTY OF CENTS Jan30 Jan14       (young scott)WETHEY JR 122 15.00    
MANOR BORN Feb16         (offolter j)ERAMIA E 122 20.00    
SO FULLY SUE         (hebert matt)MORA GERARDO 117 20.00    
LEVY Jan15         (moque)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 3.00    
LEVEL         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 6.00    
 
HOU-6   03/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT-10:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAXI MOON Feb09 Jan22       (broberg karl)MONTALVO C 123 3.50    
1A  HULEN Feb12 Jan21 Jan06     (broberg karl)MONTALVO C 123 3.50 42% 1.40    
IZZY'S BABY BOY Feb05 Jan01       (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 123 8.00    
WISE ANCHOR Feb16 Jan15       (rami)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 4.00 7% 13.20    
MESTA PARK         (craddoc)GONCALVES R 123 30.00    
FRESH ONE Feb10 Jan21       (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 10.00    
SCR  CONGA BOY         (stidham mi)ERAMIA E 123 12.00    
OLIVER Feb09         (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 123 6.00 9% 10.50    
DREWZANO Jan21         (briley lonn)MELANCON JANSEN 123 2.50 13% 6.50    
SHANGHAI'S DREAM Jan21         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 10.00 5% 18.30    
 
HOU-7   03/05/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT-10:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREAT IN RED Feb25         (govea cesar)MONTALVO C 123 30.00    
GASTOWN Feb16 Jan13       (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 10.00 9% 10.20    
TAHITIAN BREEZE Feb19 Jan13       (hurley re)LANDEROS C 123 1.60    
HEIGHTEN Feb16 Jan22       (williams st)HAMILTON WESTON 123 30.00    
JUBELLA         (diodoro robertino)ELLIOTT S 123 12.00 8% 12.20    
ENDLESS ROMANCE Feb16 Jan28       (craddoc)GONCALVES R 123 6.00 11% 8.40    
PYRAMID PRINCESS Feb19 Jan28       (stuart clint)ALVAREZ L 123 2.50    
HOLY CREED Feb19         (offolter j)ERAMIA E 123 4.00 49% 1.10    
 
HOU-8   03/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT-11:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PHILO BEDDOE Jan30         (stuart c)ELLIOTT S 115 4.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  BOBBY DON Feb17 Jan21       (gustafson austin)DIEGO V 123 15.00    
FEEL THE FEAR Feb10         (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 115 1.60 36% 1.70    
SCR  PINKY RING BLING Feb19 Jan20       (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 115 12.00    
SCR  SAMS TIME Feb19 Jan20 Jan06     (broberg karl)MONTALVO C 123 6.00 16% 5.30    
AKHNAS         (tracy greg)LUZZI J 123 3.50    
LOOKIN HIGH Feb25 Jan27 Jan03     (glover trac)HAMILTON WESTON 123 20.00    
DIAL IN FOR LUTE         (trout r)ALVAREZ L 123 6.00    
 
HOU-9   03/05/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($15.5K) 45 ALL PT-11:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRAZY RIDGE Feb09 Jan13       (kota)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 15.00    
MORO SAVAGE Feb18 Feb09       (dodson )GONCALVES R 123 10.00    
CLAIMJUMPER Feb11 Jan15       (villafranco)HAMILTON WESTON 123 3.00 13% 6.40    
TEXAS TRILOGY         (coats jam)STEINBERG GARRETT 123 12.00    
FEARLESS PRINCE Feb11 Jan28 Jan13     (castellanos ja)MORA GERARDO 123 1.80 33% 2.00    
HEAVENLY TRUMP Jan21         (cha)URIETA MANUEL 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
VICKSLINCOLNLAWYER Feb11 Jan15       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 3.50 31% 2.30    
TEXAS REMINGTON         (johnson thun)PIVARAL GERBER 123 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.