Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fonner Park
Saturday - March 05, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FON-1   03/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($4.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GABBY TOM Feb25         (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 3.00 25% 3.00    
FLUSHING FLASH Feb25         (chavez juan)JOURNET JARRED 120 12.00    
BOLD IMPACT         (mitchell stetson)JUDE JOHN 124 20.00    
UNSOLVED Feb03 Jan20       (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 120 8.00    
SPICY WITT Feb17         (gourneau jerry)OLESIAK JAKE 120 3.50    
BORN TO RACE Feb25 Jan01       (chavez juan)MARTINEZ A 120 2.50 41% 1.50    
DOWNTOWN BROWN Feb19         (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 8.00 7% 12.60    
CARIOCA Feb25         (bliss dean)WOOD DAKOTA 124 6.00 6% 17.10    
 
FON-2   03/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($8.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZIPPORAH         (anderson c)TOHILL S 124 12.00 6% 16.30    
HIGH COST OF LIVIN Feb19         (black marissa)WOOD DAKOTA 124 2.50 20% 3.90    
LASTING INFLUENCE         (wise jason)OLESIAK JAKE 124 8.00 12% 7.40    
ULTRA CORDIAL Feb25         (anderson c)RAMOS B 124 4.50    
GRAND SLAM HOMERUN Feb19         (russell nath)BETHKE A 124 8.00    
LONG MONDAY         (condon schuy)JOURNET JARRED 124 3.50 13% 6.90    
AMOREENA STAR Feb20         (hibdon n)MARTINEZ A 124 3.00 21% 3.80    
 
FON-3   03/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($4.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
E Z BREEZ Feb25         (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 12.00    
TRULY CLASSIC         (reynolds caro)FACKLER CHRIS 124 20.00    
GREAT MILLS ROAD         (gaede milton)WOOD DAKOTA 124 3.00 13% 6.60    
SUMMEROFTHESAMURAI Feb25         (chavez juan)MARTINEZ A 124 4.00    
MALIBU ROSE Feb19 Feb02       (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 120 6.00    
COUVERTURE Feb19         (anderson david)OLESIAK JAKE 124 1.40 41% 1.50    
LAURA N LUKAS Feb19         (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 20.00 8% 11.10    
SEIZE IT         (rushton stacy)JUDE JOHN 124 12.00 12% 7.50    
 
FON-4   03/05/2022 2640ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($7.5K) Purse ($9.68K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUMPY GAME         (reynolds caro)FACKLER CHRIS 124 8.00    
SUPER CHARLIE Feb01         (bliss dean)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 2.50 32% 2.10    
PICKELJUICE         (musquiz j)BETHKE A 124 4.00 7% 12.80    
PICKLES N ME         (anderson david )WOOD DAKOTA 124 6.00    
MORNING SHADOW         (ness john)OLESIAK JAKE 124 20.00 7% 14.10    
REPORT TO DUTY Feb01         (musquiz j)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 27% 2.70    
CREEDS REVENGE Feb01         (condon schuy)JOURNET JARRED 124 3.00 7% 13.90    
 
FON-5   03/05/2022 2640ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EUROROPER Feb20 Jan14       (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 20.00    
SWEET CAPRI Feb20         (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 20.00    
SAWYOUINOURDREAM         (lemburg mark)ROMAN KEVIN 124 10.00    
TAKE HER TEMP Feb20         (gaede milton)MARTINEZ A 124 6.00    
PEARLE DE VEENE Feb20         (riecken keit)BETHKE A 124 2.50 30% 2.40    
CHARM AND SARCASM         (anderson david )WOOD DAKOTA 124 3.00 21% 3.80    
TOMS MAXIMILLIAN Feb27 Jan30 Jan09     (lemburg mark)OLESIAK JAKE 124 3.50 7% 12.60    
SPILLED PERFUME Feb21 Jan30       (falldorf fred)TOHILL S 124 12.00    
INTHEMISTYMOONLITE         (bethke a)FACKLER CHRIS 124 5.00 18% 4.70    
10  CLEARLY CLASSY Feb20         (condon schuy)JOURNET JARRED 124 20.00    
 
FON-6   03/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLAT OUT LOVE Feb12 Jan29 Jan15     (gourneau jerry)WOOD DAKOTA 124 4.50    
BREAKIN DAYLIGHT         (black marissa)TOHILL S 124 15.00    
THORNISH Feb26         (anderson david)OLESIAK JAKE 124 2.00    
HE HAD A SECRET Feb26 Feb09 Jan15     (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 124 10.00    
LUCK CHECK Feb19         (hall l)FACKLER CHRIS 124 20.00    
SCR  JOMO Feb19         (hibdon n)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 3.00 49% 1.00    
MORO TRUMP Feb19         (hibdon n)MARTINEZ A 124 3.00    
THREE BALL Feb19         (montano)BRICENO GREGOR 124 8.00    
SOUL READY Feb25         (bethke troy )BETHKE A 124 20.00 19% 4.20    
 
FON-7   03/05/2022 2640ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($4.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FINAL DESIGN         (ecoffey gilb)BETHKE A 124 15.00    
SHE'S SEVENTEEN Feb19 Jan29 Jan14     (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 124 1.60 28% 2.60    
LEIGHTON KENTUCKY Feb20         (dieter dalton)MARTINEZ A 124 2.00 20% 4.00    
NURSE LIST Feb26         (gaede milton)FACKLER CHRIS 124 10.00    
UNTETHERED SOUL Feb26 Jan29 Jan01     (hibdon n)OLESIAK JAKE 124 10.00    
ISABELLE'S JOY Feb18 Jan27 Jan08     (lawrence heath)WOOD DAKOTA 124 2.50 26% 2.90    
WITCHY WINDSOR         (sorensen mike)HAAR NATHAN 124 20.00    
SCR  S C ANGEL Feb19         (condon schuy)JOURNET JARRED 124 12.00    
CHAYIL Feb26         (hibdon n)JUDE JOHN 124 15.00    
10  MILLI STARR Feb20         (radford j)RAMOS B 124 15.00    
 
FON-8   03/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY BOY LOLLIPOP         (sanderson br)BETHKE A 124 5.00    
COWORKER         (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 124 3.50 23% 3.40    
UNBROKEN SONG         (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 12.00    
PODEROSO EQUS         (compton jesse)TOHILL S 124 10.00    
ROCK CITY ROADHOG Feb20         (condon schuy)JOURNET JARRED 124 12.00    
SCOOTER'S BOY Feb20         (anderson david )WOOD DAKOTA 124 8.00 11% 8.50    
HOLIDAY JOKE         (rivera gregor)FACKLER CHRIS 124 15.00    
YANK CRIME Feb19 Feb03 Jan12     (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 124 2.00 39% 1.50    
KNOWYOUROPTIONS Feb20         (mitchell stets)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 6.00    
 
FON-9   03/05/2022 2640ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRST ALTERNATE         (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 3.00 27% 2.70    
TORENO         (bethke troy )BETHKE A 121 6.00 16% 5.20    
SUCH GREAT HEIGHTS         (hoffman robert)OLESIAK JAKE 121 12.00    
GOODNIGHTLOVING         (anderson david )WOOD DAKOTA 119 12.00    
UNPLUCKED GEM         (rushton stacy)MCNEIL BRYAN 119 15.00 9% 10.00    
HONEYFROMTHESOUTH         (black marissa)MARTINEZ A 121 2.00    
STUNTING         (rushton temple)JUDE JOHN 121 4.00 23% 3.30    
TRACK SMART Feb23 Jan20 Jan01     (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 121 6.00    
 
FON-10   03/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ON THE BRIDGE         (mitzner ronal)FACKLER CHRIS 124 3.00 17% 4.90    
BUBBAS DIXIE Feb20         (mitchell stetson)TOHILL S 124 15.00    
PREACHER Feb26 Jan15       (hibdon n)RAMOS B 124 4.00    
BROADWAY ICE         (gonzalez v)WOOD DAKOTA 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
BURGAMEISTER         (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
BOW TIE AFFAIR Feb20         (montano)BRICENO GREGOR 124 20.00    
ACCOUSTICAL         (rushton temp)BETHKE A 124 6.00    
ONE SON OF A CHIEF Feb20         (wise jason)OLESIAK JAKE 124 2.50 44% 1.20    
SCR  CAESARTHERULER Feb20         (condon schuy)JOURNET JARRED 124 15.00    
10  FEARLESS WILL Feb20         (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 124 6.00 10% 8.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.