Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Friday - March 04, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   03/04/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.7K) 4UP M/F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALYS GREAT NOTION Feb11         (deiter k)BUTTERFLY L 119 8.00    
CHARLIV Jan28         (howard c)AVILES YAN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
BULLETS LADY Feb17         (dilodovic)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 126 1.80 41% 1.40    
SUNDAY SWAGGER Feb21 Jan28       (contessa gary)ALVELO C 121 5.00 11% 8.20    
PASS IT ON Feb21 Jan28       (mancil)ENRIQUEZ JR 119 2.50    
FLAVA'S DREAM Jan22         (woodit joseph)MONTERREY R 126 6.00    
SUZZETTE STAR Feb21 Jan28       (parram derr)CORUJO LEONARDO 126 8.00 16% 5.30    
 
LRL-2   03/04/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36.3K) 4UP ALL PT-12:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INK Feb03 Jan22       (gonzalez)BUTTERFLY L 116 8.00    
ASSEMBLY POINT (BRZ) Feb03         (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 123 4.00 17% 5.00    
NO BURN Feb05 Jan09       (velazquez dani)TORRES JOMAR 123 1.40    
JUSTINTHENICKOTIME Feb08         (rivera ju)CARRASCO R 123 4.50 29% 2.50    
BUGLE OF WAR Jan27 Jan16       (cash l)ACOSTA D 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
OUR LUCKY MAN Feb26 Jan25       (gonzalez claudi)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 2.50 27% 2.70    
 
LRL-3   03/04/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($27.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWEET AWAY ROBIN Feb12 Jan27       (mcmahon i)CRUZ ANGEL 126 1.60 37% 1.70    
SCR  MINER'S GEM Feb12         (mcmahon i)CRUZ ANGEL 123 1.60    
SAMMIE SUNSHINE Feb13 Jan27       (gorham michae)ALVELO C 121 1.20 26% 2.90    
NOTION INTERRUPTUS Feb13 Feb04 Jan22     (mohan da)BUTTERFLY L 119 15.00    
GALLINELLA Feb03         (capuano d)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 126 5.00 15% 5.80    
MAVILUS Feb13 Jan21       (mancil)ENRIQUEZ JR 116 8.00    
BETCHA BY GOLLY Feb11 Jan22 Jan02     (garibay andres)ROSADO JOHAN 123 15.00    
 
LRL-4   03/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($30.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AZZURRA Feb17 Feb06 Jan12     (farrior anthon)ARAUJO DENIS 126 6.00 20% 4.10    
TEQUILA FOG Feb06 Jan22       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 3.50 21% 3.80    
HEATED Feb19 Feb02       (pickett )BUTTERFLY L 119 8.00    
AWESOME VIEW Feb06 Jan16       (sepulveda carl)ROSADO JOHAN 126 6.00 20% 4.10    
DEVILISH AFFAIR Feb03 Jan22       (vukelic robert)BOYCE FOREST 126 3.50 14% 5.90    
ESCAPE FUND Feb19 Jan14 Jan02     (gorham michae)ALVELO C 121 1.60    
 
LRL-5   03/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($30.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HAIR OF THE DOG Feb04 Jan23       (eubanks annette )CRUZ ANGEL 123 12.00    
MAYTHEHORSEBWITHU Feb10         (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 4.50 8% 11.80    
EASTERN BAY         (gonzal)ENRIQUEZ JR 116 3.00 42% 1.40    
AWESOME D J         (corrales jose)AVILES YAN 112 4.00 13% 6.80    
W W SPRINGTIME Jan21         (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 123 6.00    
SWING WEST Feb21 Feb10 Jan22     (mohan da)BUTTERFLY L 119 2.50 17% 5.00    
THE GREAT DANSKY Feb12 Jan02       (de ho)CARRASCO R 123 12.00    
SPOTTED BULL Feb11 Jan22       (pradenas serg)ALVELO C 118 20.00    
 
LRL-6   03/04/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($52.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POSITIVE POWER Feb08         (gonzalez claudio)CRUZ ANGEL 123 10.00    
OUR BELLA NICOLE Feb01         (trombetta m)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 20.00    
SCR  R AVERIE LYNN Feb24 Feb03       (gorham michae)ALVELO C 118 8.00    
GHOST MAIDEN Jan16         (robb john)CARRASCO R 126 3.50 45% 1.20    
TONAL VISION Jan17         (guerrero car)ROSADO JOHAN 126 3.50 11% 8.40    
TOSS A COIN Jan28         (keefe l)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 20.00    
PETTIGO GIRL Feb12 Jan27 Jan17     (contessa )CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 6.00    
AWARD WANTED Feb12 Jan27       (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 123 1.80 21% 3.70    
 
LRL-7   03/04/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($42.9K) 45 M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARTWITHABANG Jan28         (farrior a)CARRASCO R 126 1.60 37% 1.70    
I CAN DO IT Feb10         (gamber e)ACOSTA D 126 2.50 20% 4.10    
POLISH COOKIE Jan27         (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 126 6.00    
GWYNEDD Jan27         (perkins jr)BOYCE FOREST 126 4.50 21% 3.90    
SCR  CANDY CORNER         (houghton)BUTTERFLY L 115 15.00    
BESTLA Jan27         (bourne)ENRIQUEZ JR 119 8.00    
ISLAND PHILO Feb10 Jan16       (cooney s)ARAUJO DENIS 122 12.00    
 
LRL-8   03/04/2022 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($52.8K) 3 F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MURPH         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 4.00 10% 9.40    
BANDITS WARRIOR         (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 121 3.00 19% 4.40    
SWEET GRACIE Jan27         (allen ferris)GOMEZ KEVIN 121 5.00    
SCR  NEW HIRE Feb11         (mcclellan)CARRASCO R 124 6.00    
FUHGEDDABOUDIT Feb18         (robb j)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 2.50 37% 1.70    
BENEATH THE STARS Feb19 Jan29       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 121 4.00 13% 6.60    
 
LRL-9   03/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($61.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BROOKLYN STRONG         (velazquez dani)ADORNO ABNER 123 8.00    
MCCAIN Jan21         (smith ham)CARRASCO R 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
BUSTOFF Jan29         (mcmahon i)CRUZ ANGEL 123 3.00 28% 2.60    
TREASURE TROVE Feb19 Jan30       (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 4.00 7% 12.40    
BORRACHO Feb11 Jan21       (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.50    
WHISKEY AND YOU Feb11 Jan21       (peacock roy)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 15.00    
HONOR THE FLEET Feb20 Jan17       (allard edward )CEDENO CAROL 123 8.00 21% 3.70    
DIXIE DRAWL         (capuano dale)RUIZ JORGE 123 5.00 12% 7.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.