Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Thursday - March 03, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-1   03/03/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($15.5K) 3 F PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PATSY R         (craddoc)GONCALVES R 122 6.00 ★    
2  CUPIDS LOVE         (stuart cli)ERAMIA E 122 10.00    
3  SUMMER CAT Feb12 Jan21       (eoff terry)LUZZI J 122 8.00 12% 7.70    
4  GETONOUTTAHERE Feb11 Jan22       (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 2.00 12% 7.10    
5  SANGRIA CITY Feb12 Jan21       (padilla a)DIEGO V 122 4.00 ★    
6  MIDNIGHT FLYER Jan21         (pish danny)HAMILTON WESTON 122 12.00    
SCR  SOUL SET FREE Jan29         (david)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 3.00 46% 1.20    
 
HOU-2   03/03/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3 F PT- 5:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWO ANGELS Feb17 Jan14 Jan06     (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 122 12.00    
SCR  BESSIE'S SONG Feb24 Feb04 Jan20     (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 122 12.00    
2  KELLEY'S MANDATE Feb17 Feb04 Jan20     (caldwell r)LUZZI J 122 1.60 16% 5.20    
3  MARATHON WOMAN Feb04         (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 6.00    
4  SEA OF LIFE Feb17 Jan20 Jan06     (mart)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 4.50    
5  WITTS MAGIC Feb17         (barton aman)MELANCON JANSEN 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  CAUSE FOR LOVE         (mitchell steph)HUGHES CARLY 117 30.00 5% 19.00    
7  L L COOL GREY         (gusta)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 117 2.00 44% 1.30    
8  EXPECT CANDY Feb17 Feb09       (b)GARCIA-ALFARO AROLD 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
HOU-3   03/03/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($15.5K) 3 ALL PT- 5:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAD GOLD         (hebert matt)MELANCON JANSEN 122 4.50 ★    
2  FINISH LINE Jan28         (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 6.00 16% 5.20    
3  GETTINHOT'NHERE         (willis mindy)LANDEROS C 122 20.00    
4  KNIGHTED Feb16         (padilla a)DIEGO V 122 12.00 15% 5.80    
5  RUSSET MOON         (duhon paul)HAMILTON WESTON 122 10.00    
6  GIOVANNI'S HEAT         (pish da)GONCALVES R 122 3.50 21% 3.80    
7  ROOSTER RUN Jan28         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 1.60 28% 2.60    
8  ELTONSINGSTHEBLUES         (lucarelli frank)MONTALVO C 122 8.00    
 
HOU-4   03/03/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAUSE SHE'S MINE Feb18 Jan29 Jan13     (prui)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 30.00    
2  COCO LOCO MAMA Feb18 Feb12 Jan22     (echeverria hecto)MONTALVO C 123 8.00    
3  SCARLET POSITION         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 1.40 64% 0.60    
4  POLLY TIZ Feb18 Jan06       (young scott)WETHEY JR 123 2.00 ★    
5  SAILSINTHESUNSET Feb12 Jan27 Jan08     (whitelaw mi)HAMILTON WESTON 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  NOCTURNAL MISSION         (pearson m)MORA GERARDO 123 20.00 7% 14.10    
7  SASSY KENZIE GIRL         (duhon paul)DIEGO V 123 4.00 ★    
8  MAD TABBY Feb12 Jan27       (villafran)TRIANA JR 123 15.00    
 
HOU-5   03/03/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 3 ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRAWMAN Jan27         (whitelaw mi)HAMILTON WESTON 122 15.00    
2  KING ARTHUR RIDGE Feb12 Jan27       (kotara ronald)SANCHEZ M 122 4.50 ★    
3  IMA BIG BOPPER Jan27 Jan07       (payne w)MORA GERARDO 122 15.00 6% 14.60    
4  RED WITT AND BLUE Feb19 Feb11 Jan30     (barton aman)MELANCON JANSEN 122 6.00 11% 8.50    
5  VALENTORO Feb11 Jan07       (guzman adan)ALVAREZ L 122 20.00    
6  IMA SKY TRAVELER Feb18 Jan29 Jan06     (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 117 1.20 41% 1.40    
7  DADA BOOM RIDGE Jan15         (k)DE CRUZ 122 30.00    
8  LOST GOLD Jan27         (gelner scot)WETHEY JR 122 3.50 21% 3.90    
 
HOU-6   03/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($37K) 3 F PT- 7:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VIVA EL CAPITAN         (diodoro rob)MELANCON JANSEN 122 20.00    
2  ITS A GEE THING Feb19 Jan20       (pish da)GONCALVES R 122 15.00    
3  HALF PAGE Feb09         (cast)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 4.50 15% 5.50    
4  RED HOT MOON Feb09         (calhoun wi)ERAMIA E 122 30.00    
5  TEXAS ASCOT QUEEN Feb09 Jan13       (caldwell r)LUZZI J 122 3.50 10% 9.10    
6  CATCHUSIFYOUCAN         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 20.00    
7  TEXAS BLUEBONNET         (hebert matt)MORA GERARDO 122 15.00    
8  DIAMONDS N ACES         (whitelaw mi)HAMILTON WESTON 122 10.00 ★    
9  SPEEDOMETER Jan21         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 6.00 19% 4.20    
10  ROLLIN CHROME Jan07         (baldillez alejan)MONTALVO C 122 8.00    
11  NEON SUMMER Feb12         (young scott)WETHEY JR 122 2.50 34% 1.90    
 
HOU-7   03/03/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRST BUMP RIDGE Feb12 Feb04 Jan21 Jan07   (k)DE CRUZ 123 20.00    
2  GHOSTER Feb04 Jan06       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 15.00 14% 6.40    
3  ROBO Feb19 Feb05       (govea cesar)MONTALVO C 123 0.80 ★    
4  PAPA MOLLY Feb18         (brob)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 12.00 ★    
SCR  SILVER AND GOLD Feb11 Jan30       (jacks karen)HAMILTON WESTON 123 6.00    
6  EXCALIBUR RIDGE Feb09         (chacaltana dom)MORA GERARDO 123 6.00    
7  BONHAM Feb11 Jan28       (pish danny)LUZZI J 123 12.00    
8  WITH THE BAND Feb04 Jan06       (davidson m )HAMILTON WESTON 123 8.00 21% 3.70    
9  SILVER LUKE SILVER Feb12 Feb04 Jan15 Jan06   (barton aman)MELANCON JANSEN 123 4.00 35% 1.80    
 
HOU-8   03/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($39K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ADIOS CARLOS Jan12         (j)DE CRUZ 119 15.00    
2  DOCTOR LEO Feb05 Jan12       (castellanos jaim)MONTALVO C 121 10.00    
3  COLLUSION ILLUSION Jan29         (tracy greg)LUZZI J 119 2.50 7% 13.70    
4  RED N WILD Jan30 Jan15       (eoff )MANRRIQUE JOSE 121 4.50 17% 4.90    
5  CADDO FOX         (payne w)DIEGO V 119 8.00 ★    
6  BOBBY BRINKLEY Feb11         (lucarelli frank)ELLIOTT S 119 15.00    
7  FAST BREAKIN CASH         (trout r)ERAMIA E 119 6.00 5% 17.80    
8  IT MAKES SENSE Feb12         (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 119 3.00 45% 1.20    
9  BEST OF GREELEY Jan01         (young scott)WETHEY JR 119 12.00    
 
HOU-9   03/03/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 45 ALL PT- 8:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLY'N SEXY Feb11         (c)DE CRUZ 123 12.00    
2  KING KONGO Feb09         (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 1.80 49% 1.10    
3  CAUSEWAY STORM Feb09         (scholl kev)ERAMIA E 123 3.50 11% 8.00    
4  SIR JASPER Feb17         (saavedra mary)PEREZ E 123 20.00    
5  MUTOMBO Feb09         (pish danny)ALVAREZ L 123 4.50 ★    
SCR  RUNNIN THE RED Feb11         (fullerton k)HAMILTON WESTON 123 4.50    
7  COLEMAN CREEK Jan28 Jan06       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 5.00    
8  SPANISH EAGLE Feb09 Jan15       (coats t)DIEGO V 123 6.00 10% 9.50    
SCR  FEARLESS PRINCE Feb11 Jan28 Jan13     (castellanos ja)MORA GERARDO 123 2.50 10% 9.40    
10  BULLS IN THE BRONX Feb09         (bravenec dar)PIVARAL GERBER 123 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.