Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mahoning Valley
Monday - February 28, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MVR-1   02/28/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FATTERTHANME Feb01 Jan04       (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 6.00    
CAPTAIN CHOLO Jan26         (vickers ric)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 10.00    
PLATINUM MAC Feb16 Jan26 Jan02     (helmbrecht willi)LEON SONNY 124 2.00 21% 3.80    
FIRST VICTORY         (pizzur)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50 27% 2.70    
BAHAMIAN PARK Feb16 Jan22       (barnes bart)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 124 5.00 10% 9.00    
CALL PAPA Jan09         (feebeck h)PAUCAR E 124 15.00    
HALO'S DANCE Feb16 Feb01 Jan26 Jan11   (smith osborne)YARANGA Y 124 4.50 17% 5.10    
 
MVR-2   02/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  UNYIELDING Jan12         (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 124 2.00 38% 1.70    
SCR  VERIFIED Feb15 Jan23       (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 124 2.00    
SPINSTER ROAD Feb15 Jan31 Jan14     (bailey )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
WIZARD WILLIE Jan14         (johnson g)CORREA L 124 10.00 7% 13.20    
MY MAE DAY Jan14         (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 2.50 23% 3.30    
FOX ON THE RUN Jan26         (cowans d)RIVERA R 124 3.50    
FRITTONS GOLD Jan31         (mahan josep)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 4.00    
 
MVR-3   02/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAYTON PRETTY Jan31 Jan15       (reust megan)TAPARA BRANDON 126 4.00 13% 6.40    
SARAH JANE Jan21         (bates l)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 124 10.00 5% 17.70    
LA LA ANGEL Jan21         (cline c)LEON SONNY 124 8.00    
QUEEN OF THE TILES Jan15         (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 124 10.00    
ST PATTY'S SONG Jan21 Jan05       (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 124 6.00 29% 2.50    
OHIO STORM Feb01 Jan14       (brown glenr)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 2.50    
MY PINK BABY BIRD Feb01 Jan21       (vickers richar)DIAZ I 124 5.00 23% 3.30    
DANCING GRACE Jan14         (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00    
CEE CEE'S GOT THIS         (hurley l)PAUCAR E 124 10.00    
 
MVR-4   02/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUSICAL MAN Feb18 Jan25 Jan12     (miller ar)CORREA L 126 6.00    
ROSAS FOR JIMMY Feb18         (ur)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 10.00    
FEELING IT         (sherman j)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 121 3.00 12% 7.40    
PERFETTO Jan25         (poole jami )FRANKLIN MALCOM 126 2.50    
LOCK ON Feb15 Feb01 Jan24     (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 126 4.00 51% 0.90    
SWEET N SILVER Feb18 Jan25 Jan05     (hay r)YARANGA Y 126 15.00    
MR. CAT Feb18 Jan25 Jan12     (hay joshua )SANCHEZ JEFFREY 126 15.00 11% 8.40    
TWO STEP SLEW Jan25 Jan12 Jan05     (maver e)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 5.00    
 
MVR-5   02/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KETTLE KING Feb01 Jan11       (jackson)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00    
OL' NED Jan19         (cline c)PAUCAR E 116 2.00 44% 1.30    
SCR  SPLIT MY BRITCHES Feb14 Feb01 Jan11     (maddox rac)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 10.00    
CATMAN JACK Jan22 Jan05       (gorham robert )DIAZ I 116 6.00 7% 14.00    
WHAT A RUSH Jan26 Jan11       (cline robert)HALDAR J 124 3.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  WESTERN HOPE Feb14 Jan31 Jan15     (langley joshua)YARANGA Y 126 4.00    
DANCE MOVES Feb14 Jan15       (haehn terry )WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 20.00    
SOMETHING SACRED (AUS) Feb01 Jan11       (faulkner rod)TAPARA BRANDON 124 20.00    
ZIP IT QUICK Feb14 Jan26 Jan11     (sc)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00    
10  THE GOSPEL OF MARK Feb14         (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 20.00    
 
MVR-6   02/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  PAT DADDY Feb15 Jan31 Jan14     (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 2.50 37% 1.70    
SCR  HOVER Jan26 Jan14       (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 2.50    
DISCLOSURE         (skerrett je)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 5.00    
2B  AHIMELECH         (skerrett je)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 124 5.00    
RULING EMPIRE         (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 10.00    
MUY CARO Jan08         (cowans willia)BRACHO A 124 8.00    
FIRST CITIZEN Jan04         (vecchio caryn)LEON SONNY 124 4.00    
INSOFAR Feb17         (caramori edu)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00    
PLAY BALL Feb14 Jan12       (murillo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00    
KADRI Feb11 Jan08 Jan01     (cash l)MCKEE J 124 3.50 38% 1.60    
 
MVR-7   02/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN TEMPLE Feb16 Jan26 Jan11     (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 124 8.00 9% 9.70    
SCR  QUICKSTRIKE Jan26         (bird danny)TAPARA BRANDON 124 8.00    
CLEARLY VISIBLE Feb16 Jan11       (urieta joha)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 3.00    
SHANNON'S GIRL Feb16 Jan14       (murillo rodr)WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 4.00 23% 3.40    
MAVI Feb18 Jan14       (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 126 6.00 14% 6.20    
SCR  TARA DAWN Feb16         (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 8.00    
BLONDE BY NATURE Feb16 Jan26       (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50    
PIPER Feb16 Jan26       (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 5.00 29% 2.50    
 
MVR-8   02/28/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3 F PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PANGEA         (hamm timoth)FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 3.00    
1A  VAVITE         (hamm timothy)WISEMAN ISAIAH 122 3.00 23% 3.30    
SLICKSNEAKYANDFAST         (reed r)LEON SONNY 122 4.50    
2B  KNOCKOUT KISSES Jan09         (reed r)MCKEE J 122 4.50    
MY ROSIE Feb14         (bryant)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 2.50 47% 1.10    
ISLAND WINTER Feb14 Jan08       (rone penny)RIVERA R 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
RUN KITTY Jan25 Jan15       (salcedo ramon)BRACHO A 122 10.00    
SCR  STELLA TERESA Feb26         (wojczynski just)ACHARD ALEX 122 3.50    
JESS FOR KICKS Jan25         (buttigieg kevi)GONZALEZ A 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SILVER STICK STAIR         (acevedo isr)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.