Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Oaklawn Park
Sunday - February 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
OP-1   02/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LATIN CASINO Feb11 Jan08       (mcbride d)TOHILL S 123 6.00    
THAT'S SOMETHING Feb12 Jan15       (chleborad lyn)CANCHARI ALEX 121 10.00    
DEPART         (milligan allen)QUINONEZ S 118 12.00    
ABDAN Feb13         (milligan)SANTANA JR 125 3.50 25% 3.00    
ERNIE BANKER Feb11 Jan15       (broberg k)TORRES A 123 5.00 26% 2.90    
BIG BOSS BEN Feb11 Jan15       (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 2.50 27% 2.70    
WHEREVER HE IS Feb12 Jan15       (riecken bruce)VAZQUEZ A 123 15.00    
HANEY BOYS Jan30 Jan14       (van berg )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 8.00    
FAY DAN Jan16         (mcknight norma)HIRALDO JOHN 118 6.00    
 
OP-2   02/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($84K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRAY GLORIA Jan30         (ortiz al)PEREIRA TIAGO 125 5.00    
CANDYWRAPPER CRAZY Jan30         (bauer philip )GARCIA MARTIN 125 4.00 6% 14.50    
CHURCH SERVICE Feb13 Jan30 Jan07     (cline n)HARR KELSI 125 3.50 23% 3.30    
MCMANSION         (williamson bri)HIRALDO JOHN 120 12.00    
CAMPAIGNING Jan23         (asmussen steve)QUINONEZ S 120 8.00    
MOTHERS DAY JEWEL         (milligan)SANTANA JR 125 10.00    
MUN LUV Jan30         (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 125 1.80 44% 1.30    
TAP THE LINE Jan30         (lauer mic)TORRES A 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
OP-3   02/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($30K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRAD'S TIME Jan16         (diodoro rob)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 6.00    
COLONEL BOWMAN         (cox brad)SANTANA JR 123 2.00 32% 2.10    
BIG THORN Jan16         (compton greg)COURT K 123 3.00    
O DOGG Jan16         (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 10.00    
SPECIAL PRYCE Jan15         (swearingen tom)QUINONEZ S 125 6.00    
DEFLATER Feb18 Jan16       (cline n)HARR KELSI 123 15.00 12% 7.70    
MARVIN Jan16         (asmussen steven)COHEN DAVID 123 4.00 27% 2.80    
TURNSANDCONDITIONS Feb05 Jan13       (villafranco fre)VAZQUEZ A 120 10.00    
 
OP-4   02/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($50K) Purse ($44K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEGAN'S CLARA Feb11         (dixon tim)COHEN DAVID 124 5.00 37% 1.70    
MONTGOMERY PARK Feb12         (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 6.00    
PREMIER WISH Jan15         (garcia genaro)VAZQUEZ A 124 5.00    
GEM KEY         (mcpeek kennet)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 4.00    
TONE IT UP Jan22 Jan07       (mason ingrid)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00    
LEGENDARY GIFT Feb20 Jan14       (martin e)COURT K 124 6.00 10% 9.20    
LET'S CRUISE (NZ) Jan15         (robertson m)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 8.00    
LADY VALENTINE         (von donn)QUINONEZ S 124 3.00 27% 2.70    
 
OP-5   02/27/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AXIS Jan15         (puhl kim)BAILEY CHEL-C 116 20.00    
MEGA MAX Feb11 Jan16       (cates al)HARR KELSI 123 8.00    
GRAVES MILL ROAD Feb11 Jan15       (rosin cot)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 2.50 50% 1.00    
INTO ORBIT Jan15         (broberg kar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00    
MOON IN THE SKY Feb11         (loy dewaine)LOPEZ E 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BEHAVIN MYSELF Jan15         (rengstorf to)JORDAN R 116 5.00    
CHASE TRACKER Jan15         (garcia genar)HEBERT LINDSEY 113 6.00    
DEMIGOD Jan15 Jan07       (mcbride burl )CANCHARI ALEX 115 20.00    
SOUTHERN RAGS         (jackson d)COURT K 123 6.00    
10  LOCH GARMAN Jan07         (diodoro roberti)VAZQUEZ A 120 20.00    
11  TIZ MCNAMARA Feb11         (becker scott)LOPEZ ALBERT 116 3.50 22% 3.60    
SCR  BEAUMONT BEAUX Jan28         (zito p)TOHILL S 120 30.00    
13  STUD PUPPY Feb11 Jan15       (zito p)TOHILL S 123 30.00    
 
OP-6   02/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROMANTIC COMEDY Jan30         (milligan allen)QUINONEZ S 120 5.00    
CORTADO         (swearingen h)HARR KELSI 120 20.00    
FINAL TABLE         (combs bentley)LOPEZ ALBERT 113 15.00    
MANDONA Jan30         (morse l)HIRALDO JOHN 120 8.00    
PACIFIC GROVE (GB)         (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.00 6% 15.60    
MAGGIE'S WILL Feb13         (borel renay)BOREL H 120 15.00    
BAD OUTLOOK         (smith ken)TORRES A 125 20.00    
FASHIONABLY QUICK Jan15         (swearingen to)BAILEY CHEL-C 113 12.00    
MY CORALENA Feb20 Jan28 Jan08     (garcia genaro)GARCIA MARTIN 125 4.50 58% 0.70    
10  G MONEY LIV         (moquett ronald )VAZQUEZ A 120 3.50 6% 15.20    
11  KEINO Jan30         (villafra)SANTANA JR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
12  CANDY'S STORY         (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 20.00    
 
OP-7   02/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($30K) Purse ($42K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KASSERINE PASS         (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 120 4.00 8% 11.70    
GHAALEB THE GREAT Jan30         (hollendor)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 5.00    
UNTOUCHED ELEGANCE Jan14         (baltas r)SANTANA JR 120 10.00    
CANADIAN GINGER Jan30         (asmussen steven)VAZQUEZ A 120 6.00 12% 7.20    
CATECHISM Jan23         (anderson )DE CRUZ 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
NORTHERN DIAMOND Jan30 Jan09       (hartman chris)COURT K 120 6.00    
SCR  MIZ BLUE         (becker scott)HIRALDO JOHN 115 3.00 46% 1.20    
KAY BEE GEE Jan30         (moquett rona)JORDAN R 110 12.00    
SCR  INVALUABLE Jan30 Jan23       (diodoro robe)CONTRERAS LUIS 120 8.00    
SCR  CHAKRA Jan07         (schultz linds)GARCIA MARTIN 120 20.00    
11  CHERISHED Feb19 Jan09       (loy dewai)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
OP-8   02/27/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($101K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE MARY ROSE Jan30         (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 5.00 20% 4.00    
BLESSED AGAIN Feb13         (chleborad lyn)PEREIRA TIAGO 119 8.00    
WELLINGTON WONDER Jan08         (garcia ge)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 6.00    
MISTY VEIL Jan29 Jan07       (amoss th)SANTANA JR 124 3.00 11% 8.30    
W W FITZY Jan23 Jan08       (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 124 2.00 41% 1.50    
CANDURA Jan22 Jan02       (hollendor)TORRES A 116 2.50    
 
OP-9   02/27/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($84K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHELEN SPRINGS Jan29 Jan09       (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.00 20% 4.10    
TRAFFIC CONTROL Feb12 Jan22       (cangemi daniel)QUINONEZ S 125 10.00    
TOPF ROAD RULES Jan22         (peitz da)SANTANA JR 125 8.00    
CHALECO Jan29         (witt ii)WALES T 120 5.00    
SERBIAN SAILOR Jan30 Jan14 Jan02     (ashauer norma)BAILEY CHEL-C 118 30.00    
ACCEL JOE Feb13 Jan22       (williams bla)LOPEZ E 120 30.00    
SOUTHERN PECAN Jan30 Jan01       (martin e)COURT K 120 12.00 19% 4.30    
KILGORE Feb13 Jan09       (moquett ronald)HIRALDO JOHN 115 5.00    
I STAN FOR LOVE Jan22         (martin william )COHEN DAVID 125 20.00    
10  GHOST STRATEGY Jan22         (chleborad lyn)CANCHARI ALEX 125 20.00    
11  FORSAKEN Jan22 Jan01       (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 3.50 37% 1.70    
12  BELLAMYS ROAN Feb12 Jan22 Jan16     (westermann rona)VAZQUEZ A 125 8.00    
SCR  MOONSHINE SURFER Feb13 Jan16       (deatherage c)JORDAN R 118 30.00    
SCR  SKYPED Feb13         (nelson r)HARR KELSI 125 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.