Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Sunday - February 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   02/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($25.2K) 45 M/F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAD TEMPER Feb13 Jan29       (parker horac)CALDERON JORGE 122 12.00    
TIPSY TOURIST Feb13 Jan21       (eubanks an)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 10.00    
UNION BETTY Feb06 Jan29       (dove kev)BUTTERFLY L 115 4.00    
TUA Feb06 Jan21       (rodriguez j)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 30.00    
PEARLYVILLE Feb13 Jan21       (gaudet)ENRIQUEZ JR 119 1.60 38% 1.60    
HURRICANE DIRECTOR Feb06         (mcgill sylveste)HINDT KATIE 112 30.00    
MOON BIZ Feb06         (magee kieron)ALVELO C 117 1.40 36% 1.80    
 
LRL-2   02/27/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($25.2K) 4UP M/F PT-12:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOT CHOICE Jan27         (howard c)GOMEZ KEVIN 126 4.50 8% 10.90    
OFFLEE GRAYSFUL Feb11 Jan27 Jan01     (ovando melvin)TREJOS JOSEPH 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
LOVE MY CAT Feb12         (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 126 12.00    
HUMMIN' THE FUNK Feb13 Jan20       (smith hamilto)ALVELO C 121 2.00 22% 3.50    
BLESS AND HONOR Feb12         (magill p)BUTTERFLY L 119 20.00    
DAUNTLESS GAL Feb12         (maldonado j)CARRASCO CARLOS 126 6.00    
SECRET PRIZE Jan28 Jan20       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 126 1.40 44% 1.30    
 
LRL-3   02/27/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($20.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHOULDA HAD IT Feb18 Jan28       (albert linda )LOPEZ ANTONIO 126 20.00    
VOLTAMOUR Feb11 Jan22       (magee kier)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 126 4.00    
MUCHACHO MACHO Feb11 Jan22 Jan04     (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 3.50 7% 14.20    
PAINT MUSIC FOR ME Feb11 Jan21       (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 3.50 38% 1.60    
STRAIGHT UP GUY Feb11 Jan22       (sillaman rich)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 6.00    
FORE ON SEVEN Feb11 Jan28       (gorham michae)ALVELO C 121 15.00    
DAPER'S DRINK Feb18 Feb10 Jan22     (serey ma)BUTTERFLY L 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
DREAMING OF CARATS Feb06         (tessore bruno)AVILES YAN 116 3.00 26% 2.90    
 
LRL-4   02/27/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($41.4K) 3 ALL PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DR. GRANT Jan30 Jan20       (garibay andres)ROSADO JOHAN 121 10.00    
AUCTION KINGDOM Jan23         (smith hamilto)ALVELO C 116 4.50 29% 2.50    
LORD MIO Feb06 Jan23 Jan02     (gonzalez )CARRASCO R 121 3.00    
DANGNABBIT Jan18         (reid e)ADORNO ABNER 121 2.00    
RELATIVLEA Feb06         (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 2.50 39% 1.60    
SCHOOLYARD BULLY Feb12 Jan30 Jan16     (dove kev)BUTTERFLY L 110 10.00 8% 10.80    
 
LRL-5   02/27/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($46.8K) 3 ALL PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COASTAL CHAOS Feb18 Jan16 Jan02     (cash l)ACOSTA D 124 15.00    
CLASS WIZARD         (trombetta m)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 12.00    
WIRED IN         (eppler mary)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
CAPTAIN QUINT Jan30         (hendriks )CARRASCO R 124 8.00    
MONEY ROOM Jan23         (bracciale v)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 3.50 6% 14.70    
VIOLENT ROCK Jan23         (tessor)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 6.00    
HAMPDEN LANE Feb19 Jan30       (heil nan)BUTTERFLY L 117 12.00    
ESPRESSO LUNGO Feb11 Jan22       (salazar marco)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 10.00    
QUITE READY Jan22         (trombetta mic)ALVELO C 119 15.00    
10  GOLDENIZE Feb12 Jan20       (keefe timothy )BOYCE FOREST 124 2.50 49% 1.10    
11  MY HANDSOME MAN         (ovando melvin )CEDENO CAROL 124 30.00    
SCR  KEYS DISCOUNT         (meyers f)CRUZ ANGEL 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  I LOVE MY TOY         (ovando melvin)TREJOS JOSEPH 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-6   02/27/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($57.6K) 3 ALL PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEARTNESS Feb12 Jan25       (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 3.00 41% 1.50    
1A  UNCLE IRISH Feb08 Jan18 Jan02     (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 3.00    
FREE SQUARE Feb06 Jan16       (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 124 4.50 18% 4.60    
MINECRAFTER Feb06         (contessa )CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 5.00    
LOOSE ENDS Jan19         (lynch cathal)RUIZ JORGE 121 12.00    
NATAGAR Jan23 Jan02       (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 121 6.00 9% 9.70    
MAXIMUM IMPACT Feb19 Feb10 Jan21 Jan08   (cash l)ACOSTA D 124 15.00    
MICRO STAR Jan16         (mcmahon hug)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 15.00 8% 11.10    
SHAKE EM LOOSE Jan29         (sanchez-sal)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 121 8.00    
MR. MOX Feb10 Jan23       (allen ferri)ALVELO C 116 12.00    
10  KNOWHOWIKNOW Feb06 Jan30 Jan02     (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 121 6.00    
 
LRL-7   02/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($48K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TYREEK Jan29         (dilodovico )CORUJO LEONARDO 123 6.00    
SEVEN ON THE ROCKS         (campbell willi)PEREZ XAVIER 123 2.00 24% 3.30    
RISING PERRY Jan23 Jan01       (dilodovico damon)RUIZ JORGE 123 3.50    
A PENN LEGACY Feb10         (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 10.00    
THE WOLFMAN Feb10 Jan01       (sanchez-s)CARRASCO R 126 6.00    
SAN ANTONE Feb18 Jan28       (magee kieron)ALVELO C 118 2.50 44% 1.30    
MONSTER MASON Jan27         (mcfarlane )MONTANEZ ROSARIO 123 30.00    
 
LRL-8   02/27/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($20.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVE IS STRONG Feb06 Jan22 Jan01     (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 126 3.50 9% 9.90    
YOUKNOWWHATITIZZZ Feb03 Jan22 Jan01     (hall aim)BUTTERFLY L 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
MARKETABILITY Feb11 Jan02       (nazario pedro)CEDENO CAROL 126 6.00 12% 7.20    
UNSHAKABLE U Feb11 Jan02       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 126 0.80 46% 1.20    
GOLD TIME VIXEN Jan16         (mcmahon hugh )ALVELO C 121 4.50    
WALK IT OUT NANNY Jan22 Jan01       (gorham e)AVILES YAN 116 20.00 5% 19.00    
CORAL SUMMER Feb03 Jan16       (d'ange)ENRIQUEZ JR 119 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.