Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Oaklawn Park
Friday - February 25, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
OP-1   02/25/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS ALLIE GRACE Jan30 Jan09       (hewitt micha)JORDAN R 113 20.00    
HIGHTAILING         (amescua )SANTANA JR 123 2.00 21% 3.70    
FAST SOPHIA Jan30 Jan09       (chleborad lyn)BAILEY CHEL-C 108 15.00    
ITALIAN TWIN         (mason ingrid)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 5.00    
SCR  BITTER VIXEN Feb11 Jan15       (mcpeek kennet)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 4.00    
LADY PRIEST         (hewitt michael)LOPEZ ALBERT 111 10.00    
LIVING FOR TODAY Jan09         (garcia genaro)CABRERA DAVID 125 3.00 47% 1.10    
MILLIGANMIKEANDME Jan23         (broberg karl)COHEN DAVID 115 6.00 6% 15.90    
 
OP-2   02/25/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($84K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SULWE Jan29         (moquett ronal)CABRERA DAVID 125 3.00 23% 3.40    
CHAI TEA Jan23 Jan14       (martin e)COURT K 120 15.00 16% 5.20    
CALICO TABBY         (hornsby tammy)QUINONEZ S 120 20.00    
DERONDA         (moquett )SANTANA JR 120 4.50    
HAMAZING DEBATE Feb11 Jan07       (gonzalez jaime)HIRALDO JOHN 115 20.00    
CHOCTAW CHARLIE Feb11 Jan28       (chleborad lyn)PEREIRA TIAGO 125 5.00    
SCR  CHARLOTTES WAY Feb13         (villafran)TORRES A 120 6.00    
SWEETNESS TO Feb11 Jan02       (westermann l)WALES T 125 10.00    
PUNCHY GIRL Jan28 Jan07       (barkley jaso)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 2.50 36% 1.80    
 
OP-3   02/25/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREER Jan28         (asmussen steven)VAZQUEZ A 125 4.00 22% 3.50    
HOLIDAY TICKET Jan14         (mcpeek kenneth )COHEN DAVID 125 3.00 31% 2.20    
CONFESS         (green aidan)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 8.00 13% 6.90    
OUTCOME Feb13 Jan01       (barkley j)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 4.50    
LOOKIN GOOD SO FAR Jan22         (mcknight norma)HIRALDO JOHN 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
RAZOR RAY         (lauer michael)BAILEY CHEL-C 118 15.00    
JUSTDENNIS Jan29 Jan22       (hewitt michael)BOREL H 115 20.00    
MOUNTAIN PINE Jan22         (litfin nevad)MEDELLIN ERICK 113 30.00    
WARNING LABEL Jan14         (cline n)HARR KELSI 120 12.00    
10  SAMURAI ISLAND Jan12         (deville )SANTANA JR 120 6.00    
SCR  UNCLE RICO         (milligan allen)QUINONEZ S 125 15.00    
SCR  BLUES TUNE Feb13 Jan01       (holthus e)JOHNSON M 120 10.00 5% 17.90    
 
OP-4   02/25/2022 7920ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($101K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ORIGINAL INTENT Jan22         (combs bentley)HIRALDO JOHN 113 12.00    
ALLEGE Jan28 Jan01       (asmussen steven)COHEN DAVID 124 6.00    
DYNADRIVE         (diodoro roberti)VAZQUEZ A 118 5.00    
TENFOLD Jan09         (asmussen stev)CABRERA DAVID 118 3.50 28% 2.60    
CUPID'S CLAWS Jan01         (amescua r)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 3.50    
SCR  YOU'RE TO BLAME Jan09         (atras ro)SANTANA JR 118 6.00    
STRONG TIDE Jan30 Jan09       (lau)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 2.00 40% 1.50    
 
OP-5   02/25/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PURE SILK Jan09         (green aid)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 4.50    
MOONLIGHT BLAZE Jan09         (donaldson jer)BAILEY CHEL-C 118 4.00 44% 1.30    
MISS ALPHA BELLA Jan09         (chleborad lyn)GARCIA MARTIN 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
GAME OF INCHES         (litfin ne)TORRES A 120 15.00    
SCR  SMOKING BOSSA NOVA Jan28 Jan09       (williams bla)LOPEZ E 125 15.00    
MOONSHINE LILY         (loy dewaine)TOHILL S 125 20.00    
MY DADDY'S TRAINER Jan09         (zito nicholas )LOPEZ ALBERT 113 30.00    
MADAM PIE Jan09         (asm)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 125 3.00 10% 8.70    
POOLSIDE MANNERS Jan08         (mcknight norma)HIRALDO JOHN 115 4.00 10% 8.90    
10  DEDE'S TRICK         (diodoro roberti)VAZQUEZ A 125 5.00    
11  UNDECODED Jan30         (barkley jaso)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 3.50 11% 8.30    
 
OP-6   02/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($27K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVELY LADY LEXI Jan28 Jan09       (durham danele)COURT K 119 4.50 35% 1.90    
SUMMER STORM Jan14         (pot)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 6.00    
HOPTOWN HONEY Jan15         (matthews randy)COHEN DAVID 119 10.00    
COULD YOU Jan07         (mason ingrid)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 15.00 6% 15.30    
TAPALONG Jan28 Jan07       (manley steve)VAZQUEZ A 124 3.00 19% 4.30    
HIT IT TWICE         (puhich mike)HARR KELSI 119 20.00    
FANCIFIED Jan01         (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 6.00    
SANDY SANGRIA Jan07         (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 119 4.00 12% 7.60    
LIL MISS HOT MESS Jan28 Jan14       (rhea sherry)BAILEY CHEL-C 112 5.00    
SCR  COUNTRY DREAMIN         (feilner f)BAHENA ANDRES 119 20.00    
 
OP-7   02/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($45K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEVIL'S TOWER Feb13 Jan16       (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 3.00    
SUBSTANTIAL Jan29         (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 116 6.00 37% 1.70    
MO'S MOJO Jan02         (morse randy )CONTRERAS LUIS 119 8.00    
JACK VAN BERG Jan02         (diodoro roberti)VAZQUEZ A 121 10.00    
LONG TERM THINKING Jan29 Jan01       (asmussen steven)COHEN DAVID 119 4.50    
YODEL E. A. WHO         (ros)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 12.00 12% 7.60    
ULTIMATE Jan29         (martin ti)TORRES A 124 4.00 13% 6.60    
WAR DETONATOR Jan07         (maker mi)SANTANA JR 119 12.00    
FLAT LUCKY Jan29 Jan07       (moquett ronal)CABRERA DAVID 119 4.50 12% 7.20    
 
OP-8   02/25/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOHNY'S FIREBALL         (bauer philip )GARCIA MARTIN 123 6.00    
PRODIGIOUS BAY Jan01         (moquett ronal)CABRERA DAVID 123 2.50 15% 5.70    
SUPER CONSTITUTION Jan22         (robertson mc)CONTRERAS LUIS 123 3.50 40% 1.50    
TWILIGHT BLUE         (sharp joe)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 4.50    
DR JACK         (asm)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 123 8.00 13% 6.50    
GAME DAY PLAY         (diodoro roberti)VAZQUEZ A 120 4.00    
RESTORING HOPE Jan30         (haran john)CANCHARI ALEX 123 20.00 11% 7.70    
LAST MARTINI Jan29         (fires h)COURT K 126 20.00    
ANTIGRAVITY Jan22 Jan01       (hollendorfer )PEREIRA TIAGO 123 10.00    
 
OP-9   02/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. COUGAR Feb11 Jan28 Jan07     (westerman)TORRES A 120 30.00    
DOC IRWIN         (witt ii)WALES T 122 8.00    
MAHOMEY         (morse l)TOHILL S 120 3.50 29% 2.50    
MO BETTA Jan16         (warpool shane)HARR KELSI 120 20.00    
ONE TEN STADIUM         (moquett )SANTANA JR 117 4.00 10% 9.20    
MRS. BEANS Jan02         (garcia genaro)CABRERA DAVID 120 3.00 30% 2.30    
MY LITTLE TIPSY         (rhea sherry)BAILEY CHEL-C 113 20.00    
SUPER GEEK         (ashauer norman)HIRALDO JOHN 115 20.00    
CITRUS BAY Jan15         (tranquili)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 115 15.00    
10  OJITOS Jan09         (silva miguel)CANCHARI ALEX 120 6.00    
11  IMA BLING CAT Jan15         (hobby steve)GARCIA MARTIN 120 8.00    
12  DUSTY HILL         (dixon tim)COURT K 120 12.00    
SCR  CAPTAIN DON Jan15         (von hemel)DE CRUZ 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  AFLEET SKY Jan01         (milligan alle)GARCIA MARTIN 120 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.