Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fonner Park
Friday - February 25, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FON-1   02/25/2022 2640ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($8.47K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SING CHARMER SING         (compton jesse)OLESIAK JAKE 124 8.00 6% 15.30    
LOTS OF SHADE         (rivera grego)BETHKE A 124 2.50    
TAPITY TAP         (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 6.00    
U REMEMBER         (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 124 0.80 68% 0.50    
MISS JUSTICE         (sorensen mike)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00    
 
FON-2   02/25/2022 2640ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($7.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE BONDSMAN         (condon schuyler)WOOD DAKOTA 120 4.50 20% 3.90    
KIDO'S SLING SHOT         (gaede les)OLESIAK JAKE 124 2.50 16% 5.20    
MAHOMEITE Jan28         (martin )WHITE SKYLER 120 6.00    
FLUSHING FLASH         (chavez juan)FACKLER CHRIS 120 8.00 14% 6.20    
RHETTROACTIVE Feb19         (hibdon mark )JOURNET JARRED 124 15.00    
BELIEVE IN PARTS Feb03 Jan06       (hibdon n)MARTINEZ A 124 3.00 29% 2.40    
GENTLE GEORGE         (martin steve)CRUZ ROMAN 119 6.00    
 
FON-3   02/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($4.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HALO JAX         (anderson david )WOOD DAKOTA 124 2.50    
BORN TO RACE Jan01         (chavez juan)MARTINEZ A 120 10.00    
DADDY JACK         (ness jo)BRICENO GREGOR 124 8.00    
PERVASIVE         (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 8.00 12% 7.00    
DRYSPELL Feb03 Jan06       (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 124 3.00 28% 2.60    
CARIOCA         (bliss r)WHITE SKYLER 124 4.00 15% 5.90    
GABBY TOM         (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 6.00 18% 4.50    
 
FON-4   02/25/2022 2640ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($4.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWISS MINISTER         (davis j)JUDE JOHN 124 10.00 7% 13.10    
SPEEDY DANSMERE         (lemburg mark)ROMAN KEVIN 124 1.40    
SAMURAI MIKE         (haar ro)WHITE SKYLER 124 8.00 58% 0.70    
SEELEY         (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 10.00    
CREAKY CRICKET         (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 5.00    
DANCE FOR RANSOM Feb20         (ecoffey gilbert)WOOD DAKOTA 124 20.00    
PIERPONT         (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00 6% 15.10    
HORSE FLY         (hoffman robert)OLESIAK JAKE 124 6.00    
 
FON-5   02/25/2022 2640ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($4.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RINGAROUNDTHEROSIE         (wise jason)OLESIAK JAKE 124 6.00 11% 8.30    
SISTER SHIRLEY         (thompson grady)WOOD DAKOTA 124 6.00 19% 4.20    
DIXIE TRIXIE         (dieter dalton)FACKLER CHRIS 124 12.00    
SUMMEROFTHESAMURAI         (chavez juan)MARTINEZ A 124 5.00 20% 4.10    
SEGOVIANA Feb19         (montano)BRICENO GREGOR 124 20.00    
JOEL'S GIRL         (condon schuy)JOURNET JARRED 124 20.00    
DIAMOND IN THE SUN         (mitchel)WHITE SKYLER 124 5.00 8% 12.20    
E Z BREEZ         (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 6.00    
SCR  HOT HABANERO         (sweere sandr)BETHKE A 124 4.00    
10  RAVENS BLING Feb09 Jan19       (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 120 3.50 20% 3.90    
 
FON-6   02/25/2022 2640ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FASHION FACT         (condon schuy)BETHKE A 124 3.50 16% 5.10    
ULTRA CORDIAL         (anderson david )WOOD DAKOTA 124 8.00 13% 6.60    
ALEXANDRIAS THRONE         (black m)WHITE SKYLER 124 8.00    
SMACKFIRE Feb20 Jan05       (hibdon n)MARTINEZ A 124 4.50 24% 3.10    
RHINE FALLS         (ness john)CRUZ ROMAN 119 10.00    
JUST SPLENDID         (riecken keit)JOURNET JARRED 124 6.00    
PRUD AS PUNCH         (dieter dalton)FACKLER CHRIS 124 5.00    
FEAR THE FLASH         (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 4.00 23% 3.40    
 
FON-7   02/25/2022 2640ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($7.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARLAY PETE Jan15         (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 124 4.00 17% 4.80    
THE GREATEST EAGLE         (radford j)JUDE JOHN 124 12.00    
HIS GIANT         (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 124 2.00 25% 3.00    
WRITTEN PERMISSION         (martin steve)CRUZ ROMAN 119 20.00    
PAPA CABALLERO         (roberts m)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00 11% 7.80    
DUN SOBER Feb19         (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 8.00 7% 13.50    
DAAHERS BULLY         (martine)WHITE SKYLER 124 5.00    
REVEREND AJ         (black marissa)WOOD DAKOTA 124 4.00    
SOUL READY         (bethke troy )BETHKE A 124 15.00 11% 7.80    
10  HOT ARTIE         (sweere sandra)FACKLER CHRIS 124 10.00    
 
FON-8   02/25/2022 2640ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FENDER BENDER         (hawley joe)HAAR NATHAN 124 12.00    
GONE PARADISE         (montano)BRICENO GREGOR 124 6.00    
AWESOME EMMIT         (donlin larry )FACKLER CHRIS 124 12.00    
SCR  JAZZY JUSTIN         (mitchell stetso)WOOD DAKOTA 124 20.00    
FLY FIRST CLASS         (arceo s)WHITE SKYLER 124 8.00    
BIG BIZ         (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 4.00 15% 5.90    
SCR  PREACHER Jan15         (hibdon mark )JOURNET JARRED 124 20.00    
BETA CAPO SONG         (hibdon n)MARTINEZ A 124 5.00 50% 1.00    
DJINN OF DJIBOUTI         (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 3.50 10% 9.50    
SCR  O'L RED Jan29 Jan13       (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 124 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.