Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Wednesday - February 23, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   02/23/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAVELLO Feb09         (cifarelli fr)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 30.00    
2  ALLURE FORTUNE Jan02         (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 4.00 33% 2.10    
3  KIRBY Feb09 Jan19       (morris kenton)TREJOS JOSEPH 120 5.00 ★    
4  JUSTKISSMYGRITS Feb02 Jan14       (stites w)WHITNEY G 122 2.50 ★    
SCR  LITTLE MS SCARLET Jan29         (gonzalez claudi)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 2.00 33% 2.10    
6  PROMISE OF JOY Feb11 Jan12       (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 10% 9.50    
 
PEN-2   02/23/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AGAINST THE ODDS Feb01 Jan19       (zalalas michael)CORA D 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  VICTORY ELEMENT Feb01         (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 122 1.80 58% 0.70    
3  COAST TO COAST Feb01         (sinnefia paulina)AGUILAR M 122 8.00    
4  G DADDY Feb01         (graci a)CHIAPPE R 122 2.50 ★    
5  TRUE WISDOM Feb01         (beattie ryan)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 12.00    
6  PAGE DOWN Feb01 Jan12       (crane dea)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00 ★    
7  START CASHIN Feb01         (kreiser tim)INIRIO J 122 8.00 6% 16.30    
 
PEN-3   02/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHOCLATE BODIE Feb16 Jan25 Jan03     (catalano l)OCASIO M 122 8.00    
2  ECHOES OF DESTINY         (synnefias dimitri)CHIAPPE R 122 3.50 8% 11.80    
3  ROYAL KAZ Feb08         (sinnefia paulina)OTERO P 122 2.00 51% 1.00    
4  SCREEN STAR Jan25 Jan07       (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 4.50    
5  HAPPY GUY Feb02 Jan25 Jan07     (jacavone j)LLOYD W 122 50.00 5% 19.00    
6  E T'S DEUCES WILD Feb02 Jan17 Jan04     (kirby t)RIVERA D 122 6.00 16% 5.30    
7  KING SHAWN Feb11 Jan20       (demario a)FLORES E 122 15.00    
8  PHIL THE BANKER Feb08 Jan25 Jan07     (hillegass a)INIRIO J 122 10.00 ★    
9  DREAMING OF LOVE Feb08 Jan25 Jan07     (wolfe jr)RODRIGUEZ E 122 8.00    
 
PEN-4   02/23/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VISHNU Feb11 Jan26 Jan12     (ferreira fernan)WHITNEY G 120 10.00 6% 15.80    
2  LOXODROME Feb08         (maymo j)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00    
3  LAWLESSNESS Feb08 Jan25 Jan17     (pollara frank)OCASIO M 120 6.00    
4  ST. PADDY'S DADDY Feb08 Jan19 Jan07     (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 ★    
5  MIAMI MUMBLES Feb08         (johnston rob)CORA D 120 2.00 61% 0.70    
6  SUPER HOUDINI Feb08 Jan25 Jan11     (moreno-barba)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 3.00 ★    
7  SWEEPIN HARD Jan19         (jacklin s)FLORES E 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-5   02/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($16.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOT N SPICY LOVE Jan23         (kreiser tim)INIRIO J 120 3.50 9% 10.30    
2  FEDERAL CASE Feb08 Jan31       (bravo-estrad)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 3.00 ★    
3  EQUAL JUSTICE Feb02 Jan11       (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 124 4.50    
4  HIS NAME IS SUE Jan12         (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.00 64% 0.60    
5  VENOMOUS STATE Jan12         (stowers michell)BEATO INOEL 120 8.00    
6  MANAHAWKIN Jan31         (thompson)DAVIS A 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  SEPTIMIUS SEVERUS Feb08         (castillo mich)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 8.00 ★    
 
PEN-6   02/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 3 ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUGSY MALONE         (contessa )CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 4.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  CRITICAL THINKING         (shea h)CORA D 122 8.00 ★    
3  LET FREEDOM SPRING Feb03         (sacco gregory )CONNER TYLER 122 3.50    
4  MASROUR         (pino michael )SILVERA RUBEN 122 2.00 46% 1.20    
5  PAUL DRAKE         (nunley rand)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 8.00 ★    
6  KAZ SUGAR BANK         (synnefias dimitri)OTERO P 122 8.00    
7  ROBBY'S RANSOM Feb01         (stites flin)INIRIO J 122 8.00    
8  NOT TO BLAME         (bobadilla j )BERRIOS C 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-7   02/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3 F PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUMMERTIME SUE Feb15 Jan25       (velazquez danie)BEATO INOEL 122 10.00 5% 17.70    
2  SHE'S A FAST ONE Jan25         (lynch cathal)CONNER TYLER 122 1.60 62% 0.60    
3  STIMULATING MISS         (cooney su)HERNANDEZ A 122 20.00    
4  TINA BURNER Feb02 Jan11       (sells rac)VARGAS L 122 5.00 ★    
5  OUR GOLDEN COLLEEN Jan25         (hillegass a)INIRIO J 122 12.00    
6  NOBLE CITY Jan25         (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 6.00 ★    
7  SIMPLE JUSTICE Feb02 Jan11       (mick r)FLORES E 122 12.00    
SCR  ASGATA Feb01         (sinnefia paulina)OTERO P 122 2.50 6% 15.80    
 
PEN-8   02/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VENCIL         (cifarelli fr)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FLAT BUSTED Jan25         (stites w)AGUILAR M 124 5.00 ★    
3  DOUBLE KATZ Jan25         (johnston rob)CORA D 124 3.50 18% 4.60    
4  NOTORIOUS REY Feb09         (o'hearn heather)BEATO INOEL 124 3.00 ★    
5  MY MAGICAL MAN Feb09 Jan25       (carpio erin)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 2.50 50% 1.00    
6  MISTER ARANGUIZ Feb09 Jan11       (bobadilla j )BERRIOS C 124 20.00    
7  KATZ ME AT NOON         (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 124 4.00    
 
PEN-9   02/23/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UHAVETOBEKITTENME         (sells ra)DAVIS A 120 20.00 ★    
2  POSSE CAN DISCO Feb08         (levine bruce)CORA D 120 2.50 32% 2.10    
3  GOTANDA Feb08 Jan25 Jan09     (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 124 4.00 21% 3.70    
4  GATOR FIFTY TWO Feb10         (sillaman richa)CONNER TYLER 120 5.00    
5  MARKET Jan25 Jan11       (bobadilla j )BERRIOS C 120 20.00    
6  COOS BAY Jan25 Jan07       (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 6.00 17% 5.00    
7  GRANDFIRE Jan25         (brown r)WHITNEY G 120 3.00    
8  GEM JUAN Jan25 Jan07       (bobadilla f)RODRIGUEZ E 124 8.00 6% 15.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.