Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Wednesday - February 23, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-1   02/23/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 35 M/F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOM'S PRAYER Jan21 Jan06       (clemons patrick)SANCHEZ M 123 6.00 ★    
2  ZATANNA Z         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 3.50 6% 15.20    
3  SHAWK'S LIL AVA Feb09 Jan14       (pruitt m)SANCHEZ OBED 115 4.50 ★    
4  COSTANARMANDALEG         (silva miguel)MORA GERARDO 123 3.00 69% 0.50    
5  ATONEMENT         (aguirre rica)VERA T 123 30.00    
6  GRAY PEARL         (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 123 10.00    
7  CHERISH THE DAY Jan29 Jan08       (villafranco)WETHEY JR 123 2.50 ★    
 
HOU-2   02/23/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($17.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARPE EROS Jan29 Jan07       (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 1.60 19% 4.30    
2  TIME MACHINE Jan29         (padilla a)DIEGO V 123 6.00 ★    
3  JACKMAN'S RIDE Jan22         (craddoc)GONCALVES R 123 8.00 7% 14.00    
4  TALE TWISTER Jan20 Jan07       (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 4.00    
5  BROCK ON BY Feb12 Jan14       (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 6.00 ★    
6  GUSHING OIL Feb04         (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 3.00 44% 1.30    
 
HOU-3   02/23/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.75K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEAROSEONEASTER Jan29 Jan08       (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 123 3.00 28% 2.60    
1A  EUROEAST Feb12 Feb04 Jan14 Jan06   (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 123 3.00 ★    
2  RUNAWAY TRACY Feb10 Jan07       (scholl kev)ERAMIA E 123 2.00    
3  GEMINATOR Jan29 Jan14       (clary jaylan)MORA GERARDO 123 20.00 7% 13.50    
5  COACH DAN Feb16 Jan14       (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 4.50 16% 5.30    
6  SMART CALL Feb12 Jan29 Jan14     (roberts j)STEINBERG GARRETT 123 30.00 10% 8.70    
7  DELIRIUM Feb10         (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 6.00 12% 7.50    
8  MONSTER RIVER Jan29         (young scott)WETHEY JR 123 3.50    
SCR  TEMPLE OF LIGHT Feb16 Jan28       ( )TBA null      
 
HOU-4   02/23/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS AGGIE BLING Feb18 Jan20       (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 119 4.50 20% 4.00    
SCR  FIRST EMPRESS Feb11 Jan28 Jan21     (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 4.50 ★    
2  SHE B GLAMOROUS Feb11 Jan15       (villafran)TRIANA JR 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
3  QUINN ELLA Jan30 Jan15       (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 0.40 44% 1.30    
SCR  MUSICAL MILLIE Feb11 Jan28 Jan15     (cravens ronn)ALVAREZ L 119 15.00    
5  FETCHING FURY Feb12         (williams st)HAMILTON WESTON 119 20.00    
6  SENORITA COMETA         (chacalta)CHACALTANA DOMINGO 119 6.00    
SCR  BRIGHTEST Feb05 Jan28       (duhon)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 3.00 ★    
8  MARTZ'S MAE Feb04 Jan15       (young scott)WETHEY JR 119 10.00 10% 8.70    
 
HOU-5   02/23/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN PALACE Feb05 Jan22       (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 12.00    
2  SMOOTHEE LEE Feb05 Jan20       (bilbrey k)DIEGO V 123 4.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  MIAS MOONBEAM Feb13 Jan22       (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 8.00    
4  TIZ ALLUPTOME NOW Feb10 Jan20       (bustamante r)VERA T 123 6.00 20% 3.90    
5  EUROEXIT Feb09 Jan21 Jan08     (villafranco)WETHEY JR 123 3.50    
6  SNOW MAN Jan27 Jan07       (hebert matt)MORA GERARDO 123 10.00 ★    
7  KATS SECOND SILVER Jan06         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 2.50 21% 3.70    
8  RAISON KARTER Jan20         (short thomas)DIAZ CARLOS 123 15.00    
SCR  FLIP THE COIN JAN         (castellanos )PIVARAL GERBER 123 30.00 5% 17.60    
10  TACTICIAN Feb11         (gar)RODRIGUEZ ALBERTO 123 30.00    
 
HOU-6   02/23/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 45 M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALPHA THIRTY EIGHT Jan29         (hurley re)LANDEROS C 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
2  FAYETTE BLUE Feb05         (rossi)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 2.50 28% 2.60    
3  MAGICAL STARDUST Jan27         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 1.60 28% 2.60    
4  BLOOD TEMPLE Feb05         (short thoma)MELANCON JANSEN 123 15.00    
5  LATER ON Jan21         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 8.00 ★    
6  AMERICAIN BOURNE         (williamson brian)MONTALVO C 123 20.00    
SCR  JIMENA         (cruz eduardo)PEREZ E 123 8.00    
8  SATIN ROSE Jan21         (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 4.50 17% 4.80    
 
HOU-7   02/23/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEXAS SKYWALKER Feb09 Jan13       (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 115 10.00    
SCR  MO TAP Jan27         (johnson b)DIEGO V 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  INTIMIDATION Jan20         (calhoun wi)ERAMIA E 123 3.50 13% 6.90    
SCR  SILENT DISCO Jan16         (ortiz al)EIKLEBERRY RY 115 15.00    
5  CAERUS Jan15         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 2.50 7% 13.70    
SCR  LUCKY'S SPECIAL Jan30 Jan07       (whitelaw mi)HAMILTON WESTON 115 6.00 ★    
7  DECLARATIONOFSPEED Jan27         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 12.00    
8  SPEIGHT AND MALICE Jan20         (davis h)MONTALVO C 123 8.00    
9  COST AVERAGE Jan27         (ashford)GONCALVES R 123 4.50 52% 0.90    
 
HOU-8   02/23/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 45 M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPINNING YEAR         (offolter j)ERAMIA E 123 30.00    
2  ANGEL CARINA         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 3.00 47% 1.10    
3  SHOULDAKNOWNBETTER Jan27         (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 20.00 8% 10.80    
4  CHA CHA MISSION Jan19         (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 123 6.00 ★    
5  FOREVER HOME Jan27         (williamson br)LARA EZEQUIEL 123 4.00 15% 5.80    
6  RICHEBOURG Jan15         (amoss m)LUZZI J 123 1.80 ★    
7  HOURGLASS FIGURE         (craddoc)GONCALVES R 123 12.00    
8  WYOME Jan27         (willis mi)TRIANA JR 123 8.00    
 
HOU-9   02/23/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 3 F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHESTERETTE Jan23         (hone bart)EIKLEBERRY RY 122 1.00 33% 2.00    
2  LATE NITE MUSIC         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 6.00    
3  MS. MORENA Feb09         (chacaltana dom)MORA GERARDO 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
4  DREAM PIRE Feb04 Jan21       (caldwell r)LUZZI J 122 5.00 8% 11.00    
5  GET OUT TONIGHT Feb12 Jan21       (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 12.00    
6  CHAKA         (pish danny)HAMILTON WESTON 122 20.00    
7  VIOLENT HAILSTORM         (trout r)ALVAREZ L 122 4.00 30% 2.30    
8  MIGHTY HAPPY         (calhoun wi)ERAMIA E 122 12.00    
9  RECLUSIVE         (hurley re)LANDEROS C 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.