Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Tuesday - February 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   02/22/2022 5490ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TUDOX EXPECTATIONS Jan31 Jan19       (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 2.00 16% 5.20    
2  HOCKEY PUCK Feb01         (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 37% 1.70    
3  INSPIRED OPTIONS Feb07 Jan03       (guerrero guadal)CHIAPPE R 120 5.00 ★    
4  TRIPLE A. PLUS Feb01 Jan19       (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.00 ★    
5  COPPERHEAD CREEK Feb01         (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 23% 3.30    
 
PEN-2   02/22/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALLISON K Jan14 Jan07       (valdez moises)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 2.50 ★    
2  MAGALIE Feb09 Jan04       (ferreira fer)BERRIOS C 124 10.00 13% 6.80    
3  DISCO PARTY Feb09 Jan07       (sells rache)CAMILO D 124 10.00 10% 9.30    
SCR  GIZMO'S DESTINY Jan04         (beattie s)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.50    
5  MONACO PRINCESS Feb09 Jan04       (rozell ron)LLOYD W 124 5.00 17% 4.80    
6  NEARLY MISSED Jan04         (beattie sandee )WHITNEY G 124 1.60 31% 2.20    
 
PEN-3   02/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOSCOWS GOT TALENT         (jacklin s)FLORES E 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
2  GAVIE Feb09         (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 124 3.00 26% 2.80    
3  BANK ROLLIN Feb09         (zalalas michael)CORA D 124 3.50    
4  MORISSETTE Feb08 Jan03       (betancourt el)RANGEL JOEZER 124 2.50 13% 6.80    
5  MARIE FROM PARIE         (bobadilla f)RODRIGUEZ E 124 8.00 12% 7.40    
6  GOTTAFLATHAVEHER Jan07         (bobadilla j )BERRIOS C 124 20.00 12% 7.70    
7  GROTON ST SCOUT Feb09 Jan12       (martinez a)AGUILAR M 124 6.00    
8  TIZ PROMISING RVF Feb09 Jan07       (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 124 5.00    
 
PEN-4   02/22/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FAIR LASSIE Jan14         (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 122 3.50    
2  IL MIO AMORE Feb09 Jan12       (sells ra)DAVIS A 122 15.00 ★    
3  HONORABLE LILLY Feb09 Jan14       (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 21% 3.70    
4  JUSTIN TIME Jan14 Jan04       (agnew naoise)CHIAPPE R 122 2.00 ★    
5  WICKED SOLUTION Jan04         (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 124 4.50 38% 1.60    
6  INTOXICOLOGIST Feb09 Jan19       (rogers michael)CORA D 122 5.00 16% 5.20    
 
PEN-5   02/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HILL VALLEY Jan14         (rodriguez fra)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 6.00    
SCR  FRED'S SHEILA         (harigeorgiou konstan)CORA D 124 12.00 ★    
3  MORGANS MELODY Jan25 Jan07       (kulp l)WHITNEY G 124 3.00 21% 3.70    
4  WIRETAP Feb02         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 1.80 22% 3.50    
5  NOTE TO SELFIE Jan28 Jan12       (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 4.00 13% 6.60    
6  CUCKOO FORCONONUTS Jan28 Jan04       (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 124 3.50 22% 3.50    
 
PEN-6   02/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($16.2K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PARANOIA         (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 13% 6.60    
2  BEARAKONTIE Feb04         (johnston rob)BEATO INOEL 120 1.40 50% 1.00    
3  WILL TAKE ROSES Feb08 Jan14       (kreiser tim)INIRIO J 120 8.00    
SCR  SNIFF Feb08 Jan12       (huertas )DAVIS A 120 3.50 10% 9.20    
5  COLOR FORCE Feb09 Jan28 Jan12 Jan04   (salinas jose)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 15.00 ★    
6  BONITA LASSIE Feb08 Jan14       (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 5.00 6% 15.30    
 
PEN-7   02/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($15.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOIS'S CAUSE Jan28 Jan07       (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.00 ★    
SCR  TALENTED TAPPER Jan14         (maroun dougl)BERRIOS C 122 10.00 ★    
SCR  SPILL THE TEA Feb11 Jan19       (o'callaha)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.00 11% 8.20    
4  SHEZ A DOUBLETAKE Jan28         (servis tyl)HADDOCK DEXTER 124 3.50 8% 10.80    
5  NIKKIS KITTEN Feb11 Feb01 Jan12 Jan04   (harigeorgiou kons)AGUILAR M 122 20.00    
6  LIME SQUASH Jan11         (mileni nick)CHIAPPE R 124 4.00 56% 0.80    
7  IAMPROUD Feb06 Jan19 Jan11     (cuprill l)RODRIGUEZ E 124 8.00    
 
PEN-8   02/22/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IVY Feb11 Jan04       (salinas jose)RODRIGUEZ E 124 10.00 ★    
2  MEEMOO Feb01 Jan12 Jan04     (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 4.00 11% 8.10    
3  SAW Feb09 Jan28       (hillegass alexand)OTERO P 124 10.00    
4  VALENTINA'S CUPID Jan26 Jan12       (albright ge)INIRIO J 124 1.80 33% 2.00    
5  LOLA GIRL Jan04         (albright r)FLORES E 124 1.40 35% 1.90    
SCR  KASTANYAS Feb01 Jan04       (sells rache)CAMILO D 124 12.00 ★    
 
PEN-9   02/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FALSE RULING Feb01         (farley j)FLORES E 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  MELODIA Feb02 Jan11       (zalalas michael)CORA D 122 12.00    
3  LACOUGRA Feb02         (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 ★    
SCR  HEY DEWZPOTS Feb08 Jan12       (catalano l)RIVERA D 120 5.00 13% 6.50    
5  KATESALUCKYGIRL Feb09 Jan14       (salvaggio mich)CONNER TYLER 122 3.00 53% 0.90    
SCR  NOW PRAMELA Feb08 Jan26 Jan07     (valdez mois)CAMILO D 122 12.00    
7  TIME'S ON MY SIDE Feb02         (velez irv)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 ★    
SCR  ROSES FROM HEAVEN Feb09 Jan14       (stites w)AGUILAR M 122 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.