Handicappers' Racing Form

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Penn National
Tuesday - February 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
PEN-1   02/22/2022 5490ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TUDOX EXPECTATIONS Jan31 Jan19       (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 2.00 16% 5.20    
HOCKEY PUCK Feb01         (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 37% 1.70    
INSPIRED OPTIONS Feb07 Jan03       (guerrero guadalup)CHIAPPE R 120 5.00    
TRIPLE A. PLUS Feb01 Jan19       (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.00    
COPPERHEAD CREEK Feb01         (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 23% 3.30    
 
PEN-2   02/22/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALLISON K Jan14 Jan07       (valdez moises)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 2.50    
MAGALIE Feb09 Jan04       (ferreira ferna)BERRIOS C 124 10.00 13% 6.80    
DISCO PARTY Feb09 Jan07       (sells rachel)CAMILO D 124 10.00 10% 9.30    
SCR  GIZMO'S DESTINY Jan04         (beattie san)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.50    
MONACO PRINCESS Feb09 Jan04       (rozell ron)LLOYD W 124 5.00 17% 4.80    
NEARLY MISSED Jan04         (beattie d)WHITNEY G 124 1.60 31% 2.20    
 
PEN-3   02/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOSCOWS GOT TALENT         (jacklin s)FLORES E 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
GAVIE Feb09         (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 124 3.00 26% 2.80    
BANK ROLLIN Feb09         (zalalas michael)CORA D 124 3.50    
MORISSETTE Feb08 Jan03       (betancourt eli )RANGEL JOEZER 124 2.50 13% 6.80    
MARIE FROM PARIE         (bobadilla f)RODRIGUEZ E 124 8.00 12% 7.40    
GOTTAFLATHAVEHER Jan07         (bobadilla f)BERRIOS C 124 20.00 12% 7.70    
GROTON ST SCOUT Feb09 Jan12       (martinez a)AGUILAR M 124 6.00    
TIZ PROMISING RVF Feb09 Jan07       (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 124 5.00    
 
PEN-4   02/22/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FAIR LASSIE Jan14         (graci a)BEATO INOEL 122 3.50    
IL MIO AMORE Feb09 Jan12       (sells rach)DAVIS A 122 15.00    
HONORABLE LILLY Feb09 Jan14       (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 21% 3.70    
JUSTIN TIME Jan14 Jan04       (agnew naoise)CHIAPPE R 122 2.00    
WICKED SOLUTION Jan04         (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 124 4.50 38% 1.60    
INTOXICOLOGIST Feb09 Jan19       (rogers michael)CORA D 122 5.00 16% 5.20    
 
PEN-5   02/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HILL VALLEY Jan14         (rodriguez frank)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 6.00    
SCR  FRED'S SHEILA         (harigeorgiou konstan)CORA D 124 12.00    
MORGANS MELODY Jan25 Jan07       (kulp l)WHITNEY G 124 3.00 21% 3.70    
WIRETAP Feb02         (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 124 1.80 22% 3.50    
NOTE TO SELFIE Jan28 Jan12       (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 4.00 13% 6.60    
CUCKOO FORCONONUTS Jan28 Jan04       (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 124 3.50 22% 3.50    
 
PEN-6   02/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($16.2K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARANOIA         (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 13% 6.60    
BEARAKONTIE Feb04         (johnston rob)BEATO INOEL 120 1.40 50% 1.00    
WILL TAKE ROSES Feb08 Jan14       (kreiser timot)INIRIO J 120 8.00    
SCR  SNIFF Feb08 Jan12       (huertas ni)DAVIS A 120 3.50 10% 9.20    
COLOR FORCE Feb09 Jan28 Jan12 Jan04   (salinas jose)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 15.00    
BONITA LASSIE Feb08 Jan14       (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 120 5.00 6% 15.30    
 
PEN-7   02/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($15.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOIS'S CAUSE Jan28 Jan07       (crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.00    
SCR  TALENTED TAPPER Jan14         (maroun douglas)BERRIOS C 122 10.00    
SCR  SPILL THE TEA Feb11 Jan19       (o'callahan )RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.00 11% 8.20    
SHEZ A DOUBLETAKE Jan28         (servis tyler)HADDOCK DEXTER 124 3.50 8% 10.80    
NIKKIS KITTEN Feb11 Feb01 Jan12 Jan04   (harigeorgiou konsta)AGUILAR M 122 20.00    
LIME SQUASH Jan11         (mileni nick)CHIAPPE R 124 4.00 56% 0.80    
IAMPROUD Feb06 Jan19 Jan11     (cuprill l)RODRIGUEZ E 124 8.00    
 
PEN-8   02/22/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IVY Feb11 Jan04       (salinas jose)RODRIGUEZ E 124 10.00    
MEEMOO Feb01 Jan12 Jan04     (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 4.00 11% 8.10    
SAW Feb09 Jan28       (hillegass alexandra)OTERO P 124 10.00    
VALENTINA'S CUPID Jan26 Jan12       (albright geor)INIRIO J 124 1.80 33% 2.00    
LOLA GIRL Jan04         (albright r)FLORES E 124 1.40 35% 1.90    
SCR  KASTANYAS Feb01 Jan04       (sells rachel)CAMILO D 124 12.00    
 
PEN-9   02/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FALSE RULING Feb01         (farley j)FLORES E 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
MELODIA Feb02 Jan11       (zalalas michael)CORA D 122 12.00    
LACOUGRA Feb02         (chircop ste)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00    
SCR  HEY DEWZPOTS Feb08 Jan12       (catalano l)RIVERA D 120 5.00 13% 6.50    
KATESALUCKYGIRL Feb09 Jan14       (salvaggio michae)CONNER TYLER 122 3.00 53% 0.90    
SCR  NOW PRAMELA Feb08 Jan26 Jan07     (valdez moises)CAMILO D 122 12.00    
TIME'S ON MY SIDE Feb02         (velez irvin)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50    
SCR  ROSES FROM HEAVEN Feb09 Jan14       (stites w)AGUILAR M 122 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.