Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - February 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MVR-1   02/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PAINTED ROCKET Jan14         (kocijan marcus)DIAZ I 124 20.00    
RUNNING ROSADO Jan25 Jan08       (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 20.00    
RED PIXIE         (pappada a)LEON SONNY 124 3.50 11% 8.20    
MY WYNTER ECHO Jan25 Jan01       (bayley ra)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 5.00    
RACK DADDY Jan21 Jan01       (bernardini )OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 2.00 24% 3.20    
NAITAKA Jan25 Jan08       (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 2.50 38% 1.60    
LYRICIST Jan25         (radosevich jef)GONZALEZ A 124 6.00    
 
MVR-2   02/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGH HEAVEN Feb16 Jan15       (bernardini jay)DIAZ I 118 20.00    
NELL'S BELLS Feb01 Jan21       (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 6.00 19% 4.20    
MY D'VALENTINE Feb01 Jan25 Jan15     (casalinova tin)GONZALEZ A 118 4.00 12% 7.10    
H. T. XENA Jan15         (kenneally e)FRANKLIN MALCOM 126 1.00 43% 1.30    
SCHOOLED Feb01 Jan15       (preston ran)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 3.00    
SHARP LIFE Feb01         (preston rand)TAPARA BRANDON 126 8.00    
 
MVR-3   02/22/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SARATOGA STYLE Jan21         (bernardini )OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 2.00    
1A  NO QUESTION Jan21         (bernard)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.00 31% 2.20    
ORBITING THE SKY         (sullivan elli)TUNON JORDANO 124 3.00 15% 5.70    
WICKED LOVE Jan04         (barnes bart)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 124 10.00    
WOLF EYES Jan21 Jan05       (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 124 6.00 11% 8.00    
SCR  WORLD IS MY CITY Jan13         (poole c)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 8.00 9% 9.70    
FLAT OUT SUPER Feb16         (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 3.50 10% 9.30    
GOLDEN GALAXY GIRL Jan05         (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 124 8.00    
 
MVR-4   02/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3 F PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TREAT FOR THE EYES         (skerrett je)MARTINEZ R 120 4.50    
1A  ROSE KNOWS Jan12         (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 120 4.50 32% 2.10    
HAPPYPLACE Jan22         (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 15.00    
OFFTHEROADAGAIN         (gorostieta ci)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 120 1.60 45% 1.20    
LEWD Jan15         (vazquez ivan)DIAZ I 120 10.00    
STORMY BELLA Jan22 Jan01       (sondej amy)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 12.00    
GRATZ PARK Jan08         (hernandez rey)LEON SONNY 120 1.20    
 
MVR-5   02/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUST AND OBEY Jan24         (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 4.00    
NOTHINLASTSFOREVER Jan11         (tumblin an)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 10.00    
OHIO CAUSE Feb01 Jan11       (inirio carlo)HALDAR J 126 3.50 13% 6.40    
REALLY RED Jan19 Jan04       (stauffer )CORREA L 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
MA MOOS WARRIOR Jan19         (radosevich ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 3.00 14% 6.10    
HEIDI'S SINATRA Jan19 Jan04       (haehn terry )WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 6.00    
SKYTOWN CAT Jan19 Jan04       (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 124 8.00 5% 17.40    
FUNNY BACHELOR Jan19 Jan04       (faulkner rod)TAPARA BRANDON 124 5.00 37% 1.70    
 
MVR-6   02/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WEST LEONARD Jan26         (johnson gar)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 2.00 19% 4.10    
SCR  HANSENATION Feb19 Jan11 Jan05     (johnson gar)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 2.00    
THIS MAN CAN Jan12 Jan05       (tumblin andrew)LEON SONNY 124 10.00    
CHARLEE'S MAGIC         (mcdonald jam)HALDAR J 124 3.50 38% 1.60    
OFTEN ENOUGH Jan24 Jan05       (bernard)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 2.50 12% 7.20    
ONE CRAZY RIDE Jan15         (brown glenroy)DIAZ I 124 8.00    
REANIMATE Jan11         (castro raquel)BRACHO A 124 4.00 10% 9.30    
 
MVR-7   02/22/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOWARDS THE LIGHT Jan24         (spiess sh)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 15.00 10% 9.30    
SOUTHERN SPIRIT Jan12         (rivera ne)CORREA L 124 8.00    
UNCAPTURED SOLDIER Jan14         (bernardini )OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 4.50 11% 8.30    
DECEITFUL ANTHONY Jan19         (west m)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00    
ROLLS ROYCE DEAL Jan26         (sullivan elli)TUNON JORDANO 124 3.50 13% 6.40    
MARRIAGE COUNSELOR         (erfle gerald)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00    
FREE SPEECH Jan26         (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 124 1.20 42% 1.40    
 
MVR-8   02/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEEP MIND Jan22         (mcentee paul)LEON SONNY 124 5.00 8% 10.90    
AWESOME STEEL Feb01 Jan01       (mahan p)DIAZ I 126 8.00    
ASTROMAN Jan15         (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 10.00    
CAPTURED BY FATE Jan19         (poole c)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 3.00 49% 1.00    
UNCLE KEVIN Feb14         (reust megan)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 6.00    
POWERFUL MOON Jan19         (bird danny)TAPARA BRANDON 124 2.50 17% 5.10    
TRAMORE BAY Feb14 Jan19       (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.