Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Santa Anita Park
Monday - February 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SA-1   02/21/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA LA LAND (IRE) Jan02         (callaghan s)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 4.00    
EXPLOSIVE Jan28         (o'neill do)HERNANDEZ J 124 4.00    
DOC ADAMS         (harris andrew)FIGUEROA O 124 20.00    
SECRET CLUB Jan02         (alvarado ruben)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.80 64% 0.60    
NERVES OF STEEL Jan02         (spawr william)SMITH E 124 1.60 6% 15.20    
WILLY THE COBBLER Jan02         (knapp steve)BAZE C 124 20.00    
SCR  EAST RAND         (powell leonard)CEDILLO ABEL 124 12.00    
 
SA-2   02/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHISKEY VISION Feb06 Jan08       (brinkerhoff val)FREY KYLE 126 4.00    
VERRAGIO Jan29 Jan17       (mccarthy sean)BAZE C 126 2.00 26% 2.90    
CROSS INDIAN Feb04         (koriner brian)CURATOLO RYAN 126 3.50 33% 2.10    
PRINCE ZIGGY Feb06 Jan14       (kruljac e)HERRERA A 121 4.00 13% 6.90    
TODAY MATTERS Feb06         (ruiz lorenzo)PAYERAS EDGAR 126 2.50 9% 10.50    
REAL POUCH Jan15         (deleon )LOPEZ REYNOSO 111 20.00    
 
SA-3   02/21/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACTIVE ACCOUNT Jan28         (gonzalez f)VAN DRAYDEN 124 8.00 13% 6.80    
REBEL WAR Jan28 Jan13       (brinkerhoff val)BAZE C 124 8.00 13% 6.80    
WESTON Jan22         (hanson ryan)SMITH E 124 2.50    
SLY Jan17         (wong jonath)HERRERA A 119 5.00    
QUICK FINISH Jan07         (blacker da)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.50 43% 1.30    
GERLACH'S Jan30 Jan16       (deleon rafael)CEDILLO ABEL 124 2.00    
 
SA-4   02/21/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYALLY COMMAND         (rosales richa)PAYERAS EDGAR 126 12.00    
TIZ MY PRINCESS Jan14         (winick debbie)BLANC B 126 12.00    
SHEZ OUR ARCH Jan14         (gutierrez jorge)FREY KYLE 126 30.00    
SELF ISOLATION Jan14         (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 126 1.80    
KITTEN'S KID Jan14         (alvarado r)HERNANDEZ J 126 0.80 68% 0.50    
ELA CALIMERA MOU Jan14         (solis walth)HERRERA A 121 4.00    
 
SA-5   02/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOVERNOR GOTEVEN Jan15         (solis walther)BAZE C 124 12.00    
OMG IT'S JESSICA         (dollase craig)ESPINOZA V 120 5.00    
SMILING SHIRLEE Jan15         (koriner brian)FREY KYLE 124 3.50    
SUPER GAME Jan15         (koriner br)VAN DRAYDEN 122 3.00 11% 8.20    
BECCA TAYLOR Jan29         (miyadi steven)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 0.80 61% 0.60    
 
SA-6   02/21/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($40K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AGREETODISAGREE Jan09         (eurton peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.60 16% 5.10    
CECILE'S CHAPTER Jan07         (gutierrez jorg)CEDILLO ABEL 124 12.00 12% 7.60    
CINNTE WINNTE (IRE)         (gallagher p)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 2.50 24% 3.10    
BADGER KITTEN Jan21 Jan07       (agarie rick)HERRERA A 119 10.00    
JIMMYSSMOKEDCARROT Jan09         (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 124 5.00 12% 7.30    
VAROMA Jan07         (spawr william)SMITH E 124 6.00    
SKY ON ICE         (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 124 5.00 14% 6.10    
 
SA-7   02/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEATTLE BOLD Feb04         (thomas jame)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 8.00 10% 9.20    
PEACEFUL TRANSFER Jan15         (hess b)MALDONADO E 120 12.00    
WILDER THAN MOST Feb04         (gaines carla)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 37% 1.70    
BRICKYARD RIDE Jan15         (lewis crai)HERNANDEZ J 120 0.80    
TOUCHDOWN BROWN Feb05         (koriner brian)FREY KYLE 120 2.50 28% 2.60    
 
SA-8   02/21/2022 3960ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 3 ALL PT- 7:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BAG'S GOLD         (aguirre paul)MALDONADO E 122 12.00    
HOT LEGS ROMOLO         (cecil d)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 12.00    
PHILOSOPHER'S TONE Jan15 Jan01       (metz jeffrey)CURATOLO RYAN 122 8.00    
KID STOLE A KISS         (tekos jr)FREY KYLE 122 15.00    
ROCKY GIBRALTAR Jan29         (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
BIG WILD WEST         (bonde jeff)SMITH E 122 6.00    
CENTRE CIRCLE Jan28         (dunham dani)HERRERA A 117 30.00 11% 7.70    
OUBABE         (sadler w)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.60 29% 2.40    
ORTH Jan29         (kruljac eric)BAZE C 122 6.00    
SCR  DISKO TRIBUTE         (baltas richard)CEDILLO ABEL 122 6.00    
SCR  LOOKINFORMISCHIEF         (metz jeffre)HERRERA A 117 30.00    
SCR  OVER REGULATED Feb06         (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.