Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Oaklawn Park
Monday - February 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
OP-1   02/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIDETOWN Jan14         (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.00 9% 9.70    
SCR  TORIN Jan02         (cox e)BAILEY CHEL-C 115 20.00    
MAJOR ATTRACTION Jan02         (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 122 2.00 17% 4.80    
HONORARY DEGREE Jan28         (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 125 3.00 51% 0.90    
LADY GUSTO Feb12 Jan28       (hewitt micha)JORDAN R 110 20.00    
GAINER Jan30 Jan16       (villafra)SANTANA JR 122 10.00    
STOCK DEAL Jan30         (dio)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 8.00    
BROTHER AARON Jan16         (schultz lind)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 6.00    
TOOBADSOSAD Jan30 Jan02       (vance tho)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 15.00    
 
OP-2   02/21/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3 ALL PT- 2:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUEZ         (young scott )MEDELLIN ERICK 115 10.00    
DECLARE THE MOON Jan28 Jan08       (hawley wesley)COHEN DAVID 122 5.00    
CLANCY'S PISTOL Jan22         (von don)CABRERA DAVID 122 4.50 23% 3.30    
WILDWOOD Z         (becker sc)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 8.00    
LAKE TAHOE Jan08         (moquett ronald)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.00 7% 13.70    
TEQUILA REVOLUTION Jan22 Jan01       (mason ingrid)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 10.00    
LA FLECHA Jan28 Jan08       (morse l)HIRALDO JOHN 117 3.00 43% 1.30    
LOOKINFOREXCITEMEN Jan22 Jan08       (hartman chri)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 8.00    
PIONEER BOB Jan09         (mcbride d)TOHILL S 122 20.00    
10  SPEND AGAIN Jan02         (shorter aaron)LOPEZ ALBERT 115 15.00    
 
OP-3   02/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PURRFECT LOVE Jan09         (becker sc)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 10.00    
MERCURY HEAD Jan13         (diodoro roberti)VAZQUEZ A 118 4.00 22% 3.60    
SIMONA'S CHOICE Jan15         (milligan allen)QUINONEZ S 123 8.00    
LITTLE BURRITO Jan30         (moysey chels)CONTRERAS LUIS 118 12.00    
SCR  FIVE STAR MOON         (martin e)TOHILL S 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
SPILLED PERFUME Jan30         (morse l)HIRALDO JOHN 113 20.00    
FASTEST SPIN Jan09         (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 123 3.00 21% 3.80    
UNHERDOF Jan30 Jan09       (anderson )DE CRUZ 123 12.00    
GRAPEVINE Jan30         (manley steve)LOPEZ ALBERT 116 10.00    
10  VERY SPICY Jan30 Jan09       (fires h)COURT K 118 5.00 13% 6.60    
SCR  DOLLY DIMPLE Jan30 Jan08       (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 6.00 17% 4.80    
 
OP-4   02/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIFE OF SATURDAYS Jan14         (hawley wesley)CABRERA DAVID 125 5.00 6% 16.30    
TALLANDLONG         (barkley jaso)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 3.00 63% 0.60    
WAR MUSIC Jan23 Jan07       (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.00 7% 13.10    
SCR  LIL' BIT OF CHROME         (hobby steve)GARCIA MARTIN 120 20.00    
SCR  SAILAWAY AND HIDE         (rhea sherry)LOPEZ ALBERT 118 15.00    
KENKEAD         (moquett ronal)CANCHARI ALEX 125 15.00    
JERI DAWN Jan23 Jan09       (ashauer norman)COURT K 125 30.00    
SHINING TERRI Jan14         (broberg k)TORRES A 120 20.00    
MAZIE G Jan14         (vance d)HIRALDO JOHN 115 20.00    
10  ANGIE'S REVRAC         (swearingen to)BAILEY CHEL-C 113 8.00    
11  FEMININE ALLURE Jan23 Jan14       (mcbride d)TOHILL S 125 30.00    
12  MISS RITA Jan28 Jan02       (witt ii)QUINONEZ S 125 2.50    
SCR  IMA SURE BET         (hewitt mi)DE CRUZ 125 20.00    
14  CANCAN SAREE Jan29         (moquett )SANTANA JR 125 12.00    
 
OP-5   02/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($16K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SACRED OATH Jan08         (mcknight norma)HIRALDO JOHN 114 12.00    
BABY I'M PERFECT Jan07         (pot)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 6.00    
GREELEY AND BEN Jan30 Jan08       (broberg kar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 2.50 49% 1.00    
WRONGWAYHIGHWAY         (fires h)COURT K 119 20.00    
COLOSI Jan09         (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 119 4.50    
ONE FOR RICHIE Jan02         (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 3.00 29% 2.40    
CAVE RUN Jan07         (vance david )CONTRERAS LUIS 121 6.00    
CUMBERLAND AVENUE         (diodoro roberti)VAZQUEZ A 119 4.50    
 
OP-6   02/21/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($25K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DESCENTE         (hollendo)SANTANA JR 119 2.50 37% 1.70    
1A  ROAD TEST         (hollendorfer )CANCHARI ALEX 119 2.50    
CLOSE TO ME Jan09         (broberg kar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.50    
SCR  WARM BEAUTY Jan14         (rhea sherry)LOPEZ ALBERT 112 30.00    
DAIGLE         (rengstorf ton)BAILEY CHEL-C 107 30.00    
BACKGATE BELLE         (prather h)TOHILL S 114 30.00 5% 19.00    
SOCIAL CIRCLE Jan09         (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 119 4.00 6% 14.90    
ANN IN THE MIDDLE Jan08         (mcpeek kennet)CABRERA DAVID 121 5.00 23% 3.40    
SUPERSTAR BEA Jan23         (robertson mcle)EVANS CECILY 114 8.00    
DARING (IRE)         (puhl kim)DE CRUZ 119 30.00    
10  PERSISTO Jan09         (smith ken)TORRES A 121 3.50 6% 15.60    
11  BIG BASE         (frazee larry)JORDAN R 112 20.00    
 
OP-7   02/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($84K) 3 ALL PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMOKEY STORY         (von do)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 15.00    
SINNER'S SIN Jan02         (moquett )SANTANA JR 122 6.00    
EL GEMAR         (peitz dan)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 10.00    
COACH HAPPY         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 4.00 34% 1.90    
SMOKIN WILLIE         (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 122 5.00    
PORTSMOUTH Feb12         (dixon tim)CABRERA DAVID 122 15.00    
DRAG MALIBU Jan16         (smith ken)TORRES A 122 8.00 11% 8.20    
IMPROBABLE JOURNEY Jan29         (jones larry)QUINONEZ S 122 3.50 33% 2.10    
BIGTIME TEGRIDY         (jackson d)COURT K 122 15.00    
10  COLD CITY         (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 10.00    
11  CHIRON         (cox e)BAILEY CHEL-C 115 20.00    
12  GHAALEB'S BIG WIN         (becker scott)HIRALDO JOHN 117 8.00    
SCR  LUDWIG         (bauer philip )GARCIA MARTIN 122 6.00    
 
OP-8   02/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($101K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO MOSA Jan28         (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 118 10.00    
MUCHO Jan15         (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 2.50 22% 3.60    
SCR  C Z ROCKET Jan14         (ame)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 3.50 41% 1.40    
NECKER ISLAND Jan15         (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 6.00    
WELLS BAYOU         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.50    
ATTACHMENT RATE Jan14         (moquett ronal)CABRERA DAVID 118 15.00    
SCR  MANHATTAN UP Jan23         (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 118 15.00    
CONCERT TOUR Jan15         (cox brad)SANTANA JR 118 4.50    
GUN IT         (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00 11% 8.00    
 
OP-9   02/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OOCHIE         (nelson r)COURT K 120 10.00    
MS SASSY ATITUDE Jan08         (moysey e)WALES T 120 20.00    
MOCHA KISS Jan23         (stuart shea)TOHILL S 120 15.00    
SERIOUSLY SASSY         (hornsby tammy)SINGH R 122 6.00    
STARRGARITA Feb11         (prather h)COHEN DAVID 120 12.00    
DERBY DAY LASSIE         (milligan alle)GARCIA MARTIN 117 3.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  HEATED ARGUMENT Jan08         (gonzalez jaime)HIRALDO JOHN 115 4.00 28% 2.60    
HOT SPRINGS BLING Jan08         (donaldson jer)BAILEY CHEL-C 113 20.00    
LOUEMMA         (blake michae)CONTRERAS LUIS 120 10.00    
10  TRULY A ROCKET Jan30 Jan07       (witt ii)CANCHARI ALEX 120 10.00    
11  MY DAMS ATITUDE Jan28         (westerman)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 4.50    
12  ROSE MARIE B Jan23         (wilson m)SANTANA JR 120 15.00    
13  UNBRIDLED TWISTER Jan30 Jan08       (cates al)SANTANA JR 122 3.50 22% 3.60    
SCR  BIG ON BROADWAY Jan30 Jan08       (martin ti)TORRES A 120 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.