Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mahoning Valley
Monday - February 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MVR-1   02/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3 F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  SMOKIN MARE EVANA Jan19 Jan04       (maddox rac)SMITH DIOGDINABI 122 20.00    
SCR  KISS THE RED HEAD Jan19         (maddox rachae)TOLEDO S 122 20.00    
SCR  EARLY BLOOMER Jan19         (barker )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 2.00    
JAILBIRD WEDDING Jan19 Jan04       (schuster robi)BRACHO A 122 8.00    
ANIMO STAR         (rone penny)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 122 6.00    
LA TAINA         (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 122 15.00    
WOLFIE'S PRINCESS         (rone penny)RIVERA R 122 4.00 38% 1.70    
LUCKY PENNY ROSE Jan19 Jan04       (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 122 3.00 37% 1.70    
TILLY MANILLY Jan19 Jan04       (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 122 15.00    
STARLITESLEW Jan19 Jan04       (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 122 10.00    
 
MVR-2   02/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMTHEPRINCE Jan22         (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00    
COPPER GIDEON Jan01         (vickers r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 20.00    
TAPAWAY Jan19 Jan04       (vickers ric)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 20.00 15% 5.70    
GALTERO         (atala jose)TAPARA BRANDON 124 4.00    
LIQUID LOUIE Jan25         (west m)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.00 15% 5.50    
PARKER Jan22         (elliott michel)DIAZ I 124 3.50    
MAN DOWN Jan25 Jan04       (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 46% 1.20    
 
MVR-3   02/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
C F V WICKED RED Jan29 Jan14       (salced)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 6.00    
WAR DOCTOR Feb01 Jan04       (juarez lo)CORREA L 126 10.00    
STRAPPING Jan04         (buttigieg ke)HALDAR J 118 5.00    
NO TOLERANCE Feb01 Jan18 Jan04     (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
IN SEARCH OF         (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 4.00 6% 16.40    
BAY DEFENSE         (maver e)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 10.00    
GALLIPOLIS         (sullivan mi)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 15.00    
GO MANNY GO Jan01         (reed r)LEON SONNY 126 3.50 62% 0.60    
AWESOME BREAK         (bird danny)WISEMAN ISAIAH 126 4.50 5% 19.00    
10  OSMI SLEW Jan01         (lopez carlos)TAPARA BRANDON 126 10.00    
 
MVR-4   02/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KHALFANI Jan19         (johnson l)LEON SONNY 124 2.00    
KOSCIUSZKO Jan31 Jan19 Jan12     (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50    
APACHE Jan31 Jan19       (elliott mich)KEISER CHELSEY 124 10.00    
AMIGO'S AFFAIR Jan26         (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 6.00 20% 3.90    
ELGAR Jan19         (wolochuk davi)BRACHO A 124 2.50    
STRATEGIC EKATI Jan26         (radosev)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 45% 1.20    
ESCAPE VELOCITY         (bernardini )OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 10.00    
 
MVR-5   02/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AIRWAR Jan09         (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00    
SO DIALED IN         (skerrett je)MARTINEZ R 124 3.00    
DIAMONDS ENJOY Jan22         (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00    
SCR  EL MARRO Jan22         (schuster robi)BARBARAN ERIK 124 20.00    
HEY SACH Jan04         (casalinova tin)GONZALEZ A 124 20.00 6% 14.70    
SCR  MY MAE DAY Jan14         (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 8.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  UNCAPTURED SOLDIER Jan14         (bernardini jay)DIAZ I 124 15.00    
BULLION Jan22         (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 124 5.00 35% 1.90    
EMERALD EXPRESS Jan22 Jan08       (huffman pat)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 126 10.00    
10  STARSHIP TAXI Jan15         (bernardini )OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 10.00    
11  FIRST HOMESTEAD Jan22         (meyers shan)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 4.00 19% 4.20    
 
MVR-6   02/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BEE WINGS         (montano wil)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 20.00    
LUCKY QUARTERS Jan05         (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 1.40 44% 1.30    
MALICED Jan05         (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.80 28% 2.60    
BAD KARMA Jan31 Jan14       (bernardini )OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 4.00    
SHE'S NOT BLUFFING Feb06         (maver e)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00    
CHARGAREE Jan21 Jan01       (sw)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00    
 
MVR-7   02/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXPLOSIVE HUMOUR Jan19         (pappada juli)WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 15.00    
1A  WATCH THE DIP         (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 124 15.00    
FLAMING HOT Jan11         (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 4.00 10% 9.40    
GIO SAMMY Jan19         (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 3.50 17% 4.80    
VALEROSO Feb01 Jan24       (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00    
SCR  BORN TO BE KING Jan19         (buttigieg kevi)GONZALEZ A 124 8.00 9% 10.00    
THECHROMEWEKNOW Jan24         (vecchi)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00    
PRETTY STORMY Jan24         (murillo rod)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 15.00    
ANOTHER BREEZE Jan19         (ceccato sharon)DIAZ I 124 5.00 26% 2.80    
ANYTIMEALLTHETIME         (reed r)LEON SONNY 124 3.00 13% 6.50    
 
MVR-8   02/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RONNI'S DAY         (yoder lor)CORREA L 124 15.00 8% 10.80    
1A  NAN'S ROSE Jan14         (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00    
PAYTON PRETTY Jan31 Jan15       (reust megan)TAPARA BRANDON 126 10.00    
LA LA ANGEL Jan21         (cline c)LEON SONNY 124 6.00    
DANCING GRACE Jan14         (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00    
OHIO STORM Feb01 Jan14       (brown glenr)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 4.50    
MY PINK BABY BIRD Feb01 Jan21       (vickers richar)DIAZ I 124 8.00    
ST PATTY'S SONG Jan21 Jan05       (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 124 5.00 14% 6.30    
MILWAUKEE CAT         (feebeck h)PAUCAR E 124 20.00    
PSYCHOANALYST Jan14         (brown john )MARTINEZ R 124 10.00    
10  TRUE LIGHT         (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 8.00    
11  CRIKEY Jan08         (bates l)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 4.00 52% 0.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.