Handicappers' Racing Form

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Laurel Park
Monday - February 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
LRL-1   02/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($41.4K) 3 F PT-12:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KYMMIES CHARDONNAY Jan23         (pickett cr)BUTTERFLY L 110 8.00 8% 11.20    
SEA PINES Jan28 Jan19 Jan01     (gonzalez claudio )GOMEZ KEVIN 121 2.50 34% 1.90    
MADAME CLAUDE (IRE) Jan15         (sanchez-salomon ro)ACOSTA D 121 6.00    
SIX O'CLOCK SARAH         (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 3.00 10% 9.00    
SAX Jan22         (lawrence ja)CARRASCO R 121 6.00    
SWEET TALIA Jan01         (smith hamilton )ALVELO C 116 10.00    
MIDDLE ISLAND Jan01         (magee kieron)TOLEDO JEVIAN 117 3.50 22% 3.50    
 
LRL-2   02/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($33.6K) 3 ALL PT-12:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AXXERATOR Jan23 Jan02       (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 4.50 5% 19.00    
PRINCE OF PORTLAND Jan23         (sillaman richard)BOYCE FOREST 121 8.00 23% 3.30    
NOSTALGIC RUN Jan18         (atras rob)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 121 3.50 26% 2.80    
RIDICULOUS Jan20         (gonzalez claudio)ROSADO JOHAN 121 4.00    
RUN ON THE TRAIL Feb12 Jan23 Jan02     (maldonado j)CARRASCO R 121 6.00    
GUNHAND Feb12 Jan23       (farrior )ENRIQUEZ JR 110 4.50 20% 4.10    
GREYLOVER Feb13         (maldonado j)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 117 10.00    
DAHTESTES HERO Feb07 Jan30       (velazquez daniel)CRUZ ANGEL 117 8.00    
 
LRL-3   02/21/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($20.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ROCK AND FELLERS (ARG) Jan16         (pradenas sergio)KARAMANOS A 123 2.00 32% 2.20    
LOAN ME YOUR EAR Feb01 Jan12       (jones e)HO WESLEY 126 6.00    
NATTY BEAU Jan16         (sanchez-salomon ro)CRUZ ANGEL 123 15.00 10% 9.30    
CHRISATUDE Feb03         (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 4.50 12% 7.70    
CHAMPIONSHIP ALLEY Feb03         (tessore bruno)ACOSTA D 126 12.00    
SCR  OXIDE Jan29 Jan21       (gaudet lac)BUTTERFLY L 119 1.40 24% 3.10    
CONFUSION BABY BOY Feb03 Jan16       (frock a)CULLUM W 123 20.00    
 
LRL-4   02/21/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($38.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LET ME FINISH Jan30 Jan16       (delgado alison )KARAMANOS A 123 30.00    
SCR  BAKENEKO Jan27         (gonzalez a)CRUZ ANGEL 126 3.50 35% 1.80    
ANTIPOISON Jan27         (vick timothy )CORUJO LEONARDO 119 15.00    
UNCOMMON VALOR Feb13 Jan27 Jan16     (corrales jose)ALVELO C 121 6.00 12% 7.20    
LOMAKI FORCE         (nixon justin)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 4.00 25% 3.00    
NARMER Jan27         (maldonado j)CARRASCO R 123 8.00    
REASSURED Jan22         (russell brittan)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 2.50    
IRISHMAN Jan30         (smith a)RUIZ JORGE 119 12.00    
TRIPLE TITOS Feb04 Jan27 Jan01     (capuano )ENRIQUEZ JR 116 6.00    
 
LRL-5   02/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($57.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOING TO THE LEAD Jan23         (dilodovico damo)KARAMANOS A 126 3.00 44% 1.30    
TREASURE TRADITION Jan16         (jenkins rodney)MONTERREY R 126 10.00    
SCR  ROYAL CRUSADER         (cole c)WHITACRE GRANT 123 20.00    
SWING WEST Feb10 Jan22       (mohan davi)BUTTERFLY L 119 4.00 15% 5.60    
UNCLE ROAMIE Feb09 Feb04 Jan12 Jan01   (smith m)HINDT KATIE 113 30.00    
MAGIC MULE Jan27         (mcmahon thomas)RUIZ JORGE 126 6.00    
ABUELO PAPS         (salazar marco)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
BEAR FORCE WON Jan16 Jan02       (gonzalez a)CRUZ ANGEL 126 3.50 5% 17.90    
HARD TO BE HUMBLE Jan16         (mcmahon i)ALVELO C 118 5.00 10% 9.50    
 
LRL-6   02/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($62.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DECOUPAGE         (gorham michael )ALVELO C 114 6.00 12% 7.10    
VINO Y QUESO         (preciado gu)CARRASCO R 123 8.00    
HYBRID ECLIPSE         (rice linda)KARAMANOS A 123 1.60 43% 1.30    
DOUBLE FIREBALL Jan29 Jan02       (aguirre an)BUTTERFLY L 116 20.00    
SWEET HOME DIXIE Feb12 Jan22       (smith a)ARAUJO DENIS 126 3.00    
FOLLY         (maldonado jonat)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
DARIA'S ANGEL Feb10         (contessa ga)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 6.00 16% 5.40    
MISTY TASTE Feb09         (gonzalez claudio)CEDENO CAROL 123 8.00    
 
LRL-7   02/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($57.6K) 3 ALL PT- 3:23
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KOBE TOUGH Jan21         (keefe l)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 15.00    
COASTAL MISSION Jan29         (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 121 2.50 29% 2.40    
SCR  ALOTTAHOPE Jan29 Jan01       (robb j)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 1.60 30% 2.30    
SCR  HEFFNER Feb19 Jan01       (geralis emanuel)KARAMANOS A 121 6.00    
SUNDAY MISCHIEF Jan22         (salzman )ENRIQUEZ JR 117 10.00    
AL LOVES JOSIE Jan30 Jan01       (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 124 4.00    
UNCAPTURED SPIRIT Jan29         (shuman mark)CEDENO CAROL 124 12.00 16% 5.20    
 
LRL-8   02/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($62.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GHOST GAME Jan11         (meister willi)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 126 10.00    
ALL THREES Jan30         (smith a)ARAUJO DENIS 126 5.00 16% 5.10    
SEMPER FI Jan16         (eppler e)GOMEZ KEVIN 126 2.00    
ALPHA CHI RHO Jan08         (sanchez-salomon ro)CRUZ ANGEL 126 1.40 41% 1.40    
KARAN'S NOTION Jan30         (heil nancy)BUTTERFLY L 116 6.00 16% 5.20    
STONE COURAGEOUS Jan23         (smith hamilton )ALVELO C 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-9   02/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($20.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PASS IT ON Jan28         (mancilla)ENRIQUEZ JR 119 10.00    
BIRTHDAY WISH Feb06 Jan20       (gonzalez a)CRUZ ANGEL 126 3.00 12% 7.10    
SUNDAY SWAGGER Jan28         (contessa ga)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 126 12.00    
ALL ABOUT AUDREY Jan28         (peacock ro)BUTTERFLY L 119 15.00    
SUZZETTE STAR Jan28         (parram derric)CORUJO LEONARDO 126 20.00 11% 8.00    
EL BOCHINCHE Jan21         (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 126 1.00 54% 0.80    
SCR  SUDDEN IMPULSE Feb11         (chichakly am)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 126 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.