Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turfway Park
Saturday - February 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TP-1   02/19/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOOD NIGHT GONE         (ennis john)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 8.00    
ANNA'S MOONLIGHT Jan23         (manning marian)MACHADO LUAN 125 15.00 12% 7.30    
PEYOTE PEGGY         (watkins jame)TAVARES JAVIER 125 15.00    
AFTER THE WIRE         (chichakly amira)ACHARD ALEX 125 4.00    
FLIRTATIOUS KITTY Jan02         (barkley jason)MOJICA JR 125 5.00    
SOLESOFHERSHOES Jan09         (beck rowe)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 125 3.50 12% 7.20    
MISS SOVELIA Jan23 Jan09       (edgell sharon)CANUTO THIAGO 118 10.00    
MY ZIP ZIP Feb11         (foster eric)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 10.00 7% 13.50    
RICH RELATIONS         (ward wesley )KIMURA KAZUSHI 125 3.00 46% 1.20    
 
TP-2   02/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHELICHNA         (milosevic mil)TALAMO JOSEPH 126 3.50 18% 4.50    
MY DIOR Jan02         (reed r)FELIX E 126 10.00    
SCR  EYEOFTHEBEHOLDER Jan01         (jazdzewski)VILLASANA CARLOS 118 6.00    
STORMY MATTIE Jan02         (wittek kary)MIRANDA ROGELIO 126 20.00    
SCR  MY TOMMY LEE Jan23         (corrigan jim)ACHARD ALEX 126 3.00 10% 8.90    
ANNIE BONNIE Jan23         (drury j)ROCCO S 126 4.00 46% 1.20    
WEEKEND PASS Jan11         (meraz anton)LAGUNES GABRIEL 126 20.00    
RUBYINTHESTARS         (davis joseph)MORALES JOSHUA 126 20.00    
DEVILISH TRUTH Jan09         (lyster ste)CORRALES GERARDO 126 5.00 5% 19.00    
10  LEIA ORGANA         (wittek karyn)MORALES EDGAR 126 15.00    
 
TP-3   02/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AVASARALA Feb11         (cook brian)FELIX E 123 15.00    
ANOTATION Feb11 Jan14       (rodriquez r)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 3.00    
HOLDONTOYOURTIARA         (esquivel )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 123 10.00    
CRUZIN TATUM Jan14         (goodman c)MOJICA JR 123 10.00 17% 4.70    
PAULAS GAME Jan29 Jan15       (edwards wi)CORRALES GERARDO 123 4.00    
SCR  C V THUNDER Jan15         (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 123 5.00 21% 3.70    
AUNT IRENE Feb11 Jan08       (estvanko rich)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 10.00    
ESPECIALLY YOU Jan14         (shifflett cheryl)LEON SONNY 123 10.00    
SCR  EVENSCORE Jan08         (jarvis kath)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 30.00    
10  MOMMY BERTA Jan14         (ellio)ULLOA PATRICIO 123 3.50 40% 1.50    
 
TP-4   02/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($18K) Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CORNBREAD HILL Jan16 Jan01       (locker timoth)CANUTO THIAGO 113 10.00    
UNCAPPED Jan08         (cook b)BEJARANO R 120 3.00 39% 1.60    
STRUGAR         (reed r)LEON SONNY 120 3.50 6% 15.00    
TALE OF FAME Jan05         (klopp randy)RAMOS D 120 5.00 12% 7.10    
WAR STROLL Jan23         (morrison mi)PETERSON FERRIN 123 3.50    
LITTLE KANSAS Jan07         (michael brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 10.00    
BOA NOVA (IRE) Feb11 Jan23 Jan08     (miller kenny)MORALES EDGAR 120 10.00    
LOST IN MANHATTAN Jan08         (kordenbrock matt)FELIX E 120 8.00 17% 4.90    
UNCLE EARL         (brownfield cla)MACHADO LUAN 120 20.00    
10  CANDY CANE LANE Jan02         (hester haley)BECKMAN ALICE 111 50.00    
 
TP-5   02/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($62K) 3 F PT- 8:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MILLIONDOLARMONKEY         (reed r)LEON SONNY 120 15.00    
SCR  LOST BIKINI         (reed r)LEON SONNY 120 15.00    
JUDY'S MS. OFFICER Jan09         (cristel mark )JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 12.00    
DALTON'S LOVE Jan14         (greenhill je)RAMOS D 120 20.00    
Q BOND Jan14         (lobo h)ACHARD ALEX 120 20.00    
SCR  CHILLY Jan09         (sims a)MACHADO LUAN 120 15.00    
NILE RIVER QUEEN Jan22         (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 20.00    
CONSTITUTION GAL Jan14         (casse mark)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 2.50 22% 3.60    
PARIS KENTUCKY Jan23         (correas ignacio )BEJARANO R 120 5.00 11% 7.90    
BEACH KITTEN Jan08         (garcia ge)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 8.00 9% 9.70    
10  SPLITSECONDSONNY         (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.00 33% 2.10    
11  PISTOL Jan09         (mccarthy mic)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 10.00    
12  BYZANTINE Jan14         (brisset rodol)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 12.00    
13  TODO SOLA         (beckman whi)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 20.00    
 
TP-6   02/19/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPECTACULAR GEM Feb12 Jan16       (sherman justin)FELIX E 120 20.00    
BEATBOX Jan16         (morey e)BEJARANO R 120 1.40 15% 5.60    
SUGOI         (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 120 6.00    
BIG DREAMING         (catalano w)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  ENFORCEABLE         (casse mark)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 12.00    
POLE SETTER Feb12         (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 120 15.00 12% 7.40    
MR DUMAS         (ortiz joh)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 5.00 15% 5.90    
FANCY LIQUOR Jan29         (maker michae)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 12.00 11% 8.40    
 
TP-7   02/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($64K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OH SAY (IRE)         (murphy conor)ROCCO S 124 10.00    
HARD RYE GUY Jan15         (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 2.50    
COUNTER OFFER Jan29         (hammond k)BERMUDEZ E 124 10.00 14% 6.10    
SCR  COME ALONE         (bahena ismael)FELIX E 117 50.00    
EL AHIJADO Jan15         (guerrero )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 30.00    
JUULSTONE         (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 124 6.00    
BAKWENA         (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 124 10.00    
SCALES OF JUSTICE         (colebrook be)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 12.00    
SCR  COOL RAGS Jan15         (foster eric)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 12.00    
10  WILE E PEYOTE Jan29 Jan07       (reed r)LEON SONNY 124 12.00    
11  LEBLON         (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 3.00 31% 2.20    
12  TIZ OUR TURN Jan07         (bindner m)BEJARANO R 124 10.00 19% 4.30    
13  BUGLE BARRY Jan29 Jan09       (walsh d)BECKMAN ALICE 117 15.00 12% 7.10    
14  CAN'TBETEMALL Jan02         (grubbs ja)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 15.00    
 
TP-8   02/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRADITIONAL ARCHER Feb11 Jan29       (salas felipe)FELIX E 124 12.00    
CATCH MY KITTY Jan11         (clark robert )GOMEZ AGUSTIN 124 15.00    
MAGIC SOLUTION         (martinez )BERMUDEZ E 124 20.00    
BEARS BREECHES Jan15         (anderson susa)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 8.00    
MACHISIMA Jan29 Jan15       (beck rowe)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 3.50 50% 1.00    
UPSIDE DOWN         (rivelli larry)BAIRD T 117 5.00 18% 4.60    
MIZSHIPMAN Jan29 Jan14       (raines lind)PETERSON FERRIN 124 30.00    
HOT DAME Jan29         (caramori edua)MORALES EDGAR 124 12.00    
TAMI ANN Jan29 Jan15       (manning j)MACHADO LUAN 124 12.00    
10  PURE FASHION (GB) Jan23         (reed r)LEON SONNY 127 3.00 8% 11.30    
11  MI ENLACE Jan29 Jan02       (wittek karyn)ACHARD ALEX 124 10.00    
12  SMARTY ARTIE Jan15         (shifflett che)CANUTO THIAGO 117 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.