Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Santa Anita Park
Saturday - February 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SA-1   02/19/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($62.5K) Purse ($42K) 3 ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STOTLAND         (hess b)MALDONADO E 119 3.00 5% 19.00    
KLIMTOGLORY Jan23         (miyadi steven)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.50    
LA'OCH ALOYSIUS Jan14         (o'neill dou)HERRERA A 114 4.00 23% 3.40    
BROTHERLY LOVE Feb13 Jan14       (o'neill doug)FREY KYLE 119 3.50 18% 4.40    
MISSING MAURICE Jan22         (guillen ricard)FRANCO CESAR 119 50.00    
BALDORO Jan22         (hofmans david)BRAVO J 124 12.00    
LOOKOUT POINT Jan22 Jan14       (knapp steve)CURATOLO RYAN 124 4.00 29% 2.50    
QUIDPROQUO JOEBLOW Jan23 Jan09       (d'amato ph)GONZALEZ RICARDO 124 8.00    
 
SA-2   02/19/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($26K) 3 ALL PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GEBO         (papaprodromou)CURATOLO RYAN 122 6.00    
KIMMER         (hanson ryan)HERRERA A 117 5.00 10% 9.20    
TAP UNION Feb05         (palma hector )ESPINOZA JUAN 115 20.00 7% 13.90    
FRISCO GOLD         (freeman edward )MALDONADO E 122 5.00 7% 13.90    
BESAME MUCHO Feb05         (glatt mark)FREY KYLE 122 2.00 25% 2.90    
WALL STREET TRADER Jan09         (callaghan simo)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.20 30% 2.40    
 
SA-3   02/19/2022 4290ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIVANDO         (sadler john)HERRERA A 121 8.00    
SCR  TEXAS WENDY Feb02         (gomez aleja)WILLIAMS AJHARI 126 50.00    
KHLASS (IRE)         (mccarthy m)HERNANDEZ J 126 12.00    
EVER SMART         (drysdale neil)CURATOLO RYAN 126 6.00    
M IS FOR MAGIC Jan16         (eurton pete)RISPOLI UMBERTO 126 3.50 26% 2.90    
WHAT A FEELING Jan16         (wong jonathan)CEDILLO ABEL 126 6.00    
LAURA MARS (IRE) Jan16         (baltas richard)ESPINOZA V 126 4.00    
CUBAN CRISIS (GB) Jan29         (glatt mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.50 33% 2.00    
BUY AMERICAN Jan09         (koriner brian)BRAVO J 126 8.00 18% 4.50    
 
SA-4   02/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($40K) 3 ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CON ON THE RUN Jan14         (mullins je)GONZALEZ RICARDO 124 2.50 31% 2.20    
CLAMPETT         (glatt mark)FREY KYLE 124 5.00    
TOWN BOY         (eurton peter)CEDILLO ABEL 124 8.00 5% 17.70    
STREET ART Jan14 Jan02       (alvarado ruben)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.00    
KING APOLLO         (mulhall kri)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 5.00    
BRIGHT LEAF         (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.00 24% 3.20    
FORT BRIDGER Feb05 Jan01       (hanson ryan)HERRERA A 119 12.00 16% 5.30    
 
SA-5   02/19/2022 3960ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 3 F PT- 5:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INCREASE STAKES Jan28 Jan02       (freeman edward )MALDONADO E 122 4.00 28% 2.50    
SWEET DUCK         (freeman edwar)CURATOLO RYAN 122 15.00    
ROSIE FORECAST         (cecil d)BRAVO J 122 6.00 5% 18.20    
ROUBAIX Feb04 Jan02       (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 122 8.00    
CIRCLE OF STARS         (mulhall kri)HERRERA A 117 12.00    
BOLD CHOICE Jan30         (knapp steve)CEDILLO ABEL 122 2.50 44% 1.30    
BARRISTER'S RIDE         (gaines car)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 8.00    
ELEGANCE CODE         (gaines carla)BAZE C 122 15.00    
LADY BLACKBIRD         (gaines car)HERNANDEZ J 122 10.00    
10  FUNNY FELINE Jan28         (koriner brian)EMIGH A 122 5.00    
 
SA-6   02/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($26K) 3 ALL PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING ROB Feb05 Jan01       (papaprodrom)CHERCHI STEFANO 120 4.00 19% 4.40    
PINEDALE Jan14         (hanson ryan)PYFER JESSICA 122 3.00 8% 11.20    
MR BUG Z Feb05         (knapp steve)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 112 20.00 5% 18.60    
CEE E OH         (hofmans dav)HERRERA A 117 5.00 19% 4.40    
STATE OF THE UNION Feb05         (wong jonathan)CEDILLO ABEL 122 1.20 29% 2.40    
MONGOLIAN BONUS Jan23 Jan14       (garcia antoni)CURATOLO RYAN 122 4.50    
 
SA-7   02/19/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($72K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORAZ Jan01         (mccarthy m)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00 6% 15.30    
KEYFLOWER (FR)         (powell leonard)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.80 40% 1.50    
GOLD FOR KITTEN Jan09         (sadler w)ESPINOZA V 122 10.00    
CORDIALITY Jan28         (yakteen tim)HERRERA A 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
ROCKING REDHEAD         (baltas richard)CEDILLO ABEL 122 5.00 22% 3.60    
ZEYARAAT         (cerin vlad)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 122 30.00    
SASSYSERB Jan21         (baltas richar)CURATOLO RYAN 124 20.00    
HOGANS HOLIDAY Jan21         (falcone rob)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 5.00    
SCR  CALIFORNIA KOOK Jan15         (alvarado d)FREY KYLE 124 8.00    
10  NEW HEAT Jan28         (saavedra k)BAZE C 122 12.00    
 
SA-8   02/19/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($69K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ATOMIC DROP         (d'amato philip)CEDILLO ABEL 124 1.80    
SCARY FAST SMILE Jan15         (o'neill doug)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.00 41% 1.40    
PYEONG CHANG         (mullins jeff)FREY KYLE 122 3.00 10% 9.20    
SQUALOTORO         (moger jr)HERRERA A 117 4.00 17% 4.80    
RECKONING DAY         (d)ROJAS EDUARD 124 15.00    
MIDNIGHT SPECIAL Feb05         (knapp steve)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 114 10.00 6% 16.70    
 
SA-9   02/19/2022 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED ROAD         (mulhall kr)GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 20.00    
DOITFORANDREW (GB)         (d'amato phi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 5.00 8% 11.90    
CROSBY BEACH Jan23         (mccarthy m)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00    
FAST DRAW MUNNINGS Jan15         (mullins jeff)ESPINOZA V 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
ECHOSMITH (IRE) Jan30         (wong jonathan)CEDILLO ABEL 120 15.00    
SUMTER         (mandella richa)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.00 26% 2.80    
BARSABAS Jan23 Jan02       (hanson ryan)BAZE C 120 8.00    
DON'T SWEAR DAVE Jan30 Jan09       (o'neill doug)BRAVO J 120 6.00    
EPOCH Jan30 Jan09       (desormeaux j )CURATOLO RYAN 120 6.00    
10  HANDY DANDY Jan23 Jan02       (alvarado ruben )MALDONADO E 120 5.00 33% 2.00    
11  OPTIGOGO Jan08         (harty eoin)FREY KYLE 122 20.00 7% 13.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.