Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Saturday - February 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   02/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3 F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLATTER HER AGAIN Jan22         (radosevich jeff)LEON SONNY 120 3.50 10% 9.20    
2  HOSANNA Jan22         (johnson gary )BRACHO A 120 3.00 34% 2.00    
3  R THREE ANGELS Jan22         (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 120 5.00 ★    
SCR  AVA'S DESTINY Jan22         (chapman james )HOUGHTON D 120 12.00    
5  REYS PINA COLADA Jan19 Jan04       (haehn terry )TAPARA BRANDON 120 10.00 ★    
6  NEXT GENERATION Jan24         (cowans d)RIVERA R 122 4.00 34% 2.00    
7  ANGEL WINGS Jan22 Jan08       (flores )PILARES P 120 6.00    
8  QUALITY BET Jan22         (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 8.00    
 
MVR-2   02/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT-12:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HANSENATION Jan11 Jan05       (johnson gar)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 2.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  WEST LEONARD Jan26         (johnson gar)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 2.00    
2  JUDGE HEAD Jan11         (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.00    
3  BUCKEYE RUCKUS Jan24         (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 124 3.00 20% 3.90    
4  TIGER TRAIL         (gorham )PILARES P 124 3.50 ★    
5  QUALITY MAN Jan24 Jan11       (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 6.00 15% 5.50    
6  BUCKITITLEWAVE Jan24 Jan12       (tumbli)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 ★    
 
MVR-3   02/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY VALENTINA Jan31         (bernard)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  SHARPIN         (bernardini )OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 10.00 ★    
2  TRUST IN ME Jan01         (silva fern)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 20.00    
3  LAPIS STORM Jan16         (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CHARGAREE Jan21 Jan01       (sw)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 ★    
5  BLACK KETTLE         (kenneally e)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 124 1.80 ★    
6  SHELLEY'S GEM Jan15 Jan01       (johnson gary )BRACHO A 124 4.50    
7  BACKSPLASH Jan31 Jan14       (mahan p)PAUCAR E 124 8.00    
8  COWGIRL KIMMIE Jan31         (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 126 3.50 51% 1.00    
9  RUN AWESOME TIZ Jan21         (murillo rodr)HALDAR J 124 6.00    
 
MVR-4   02/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($28.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAT'S RHYTHM         (bird danny)TAPARA BRANDON 124 3.00 10% 9.40    
2  SOLE FACTOR         (castro raquel)BRACHO A 124 8.00 6% 15.10    
3  ROLLIN ALL THE WAY Jan01         (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 124 1.80    
4  ULTRA RAYS Jan15         (murillo rodrigue)LEON SONNY 124 5.00 32% 2.10    
5  A SMILE A DAY         (gorham ro)CORREA L 124 6.00 ★    
6  OPULENT         (johnso)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 23% 3.30    
 
MVR-5   02/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRINS N' WINS Jan05         (crumley)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 1.80 13% 6.60    
2  STORMY EMPIRE Jan26 Jan05       (fadlovi)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00    
3  TICKETY BOO Jan15         (meyers shane)RIVERA R 124 8.00    
4  SHE'S CRAFTY         (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  BLUE LILY         (reed r)LEON SONNY 124 2.50 19% 4.40    
6  BEAV'S BOO Jan21         (riley barbara)BRACHO A 124 10.00    
7  INDY PRINCESS KOKO Jan15         (tumblin andre)BARBARAN ERIK 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  MARIPOSA D'ORO Jan15         (miller)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 36% 1.80    
 
MVR-6   02/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EVASIVE ACTION         (murillo rod)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 15.00    
2  HURRY ON OUT         (tooley jenni)WISEMAN ISAIAH 126 3.00 ★    
3  MILITARY FORCE         (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 126 6.00    
4  BLUEBANK         (caramori edua)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 126 4.00 ★    
5  ROUTE ONE Jan22         (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 126 2.50 59% 0.70    
6  BIKO Jan22         (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 126 8.00 18% 4.50    
7  HAPPILEA         (wolochuk david)RIVERA R 126 3.50 ★    
 
MVR-7   02/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STUNNING BABY         (zielinski r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 10.00 ★    
2  JULIE'S FERRARI Jan19         (welsh r)PAUCAR E 124 3.00 25% 2.90    
3  BOSS BEAR         (skerrett je)MARTINEZ R 124 15.00    
4  STAY THIRSTY AMIGO Jan22         (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 4.50 14% 6.20    
5  FREE SAILIN         (dacosta jas)SEVERINO VICTOR 116 2.00    
6  JUST U AND ME KID         (cain crystal)RIVERA R 124 12.00    
7  BEACH FRONT Jan14         (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00 18% 4.60    
8  SCORSESE         (zielins)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00 18% 4.60    
 
MVR-8   02/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FORTUNATE GINA Jan25         (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 2.50 30% 2.30    
2  SWEETALKINGJUSTICE Jan21         (casalinova tina)PAUCAR E 126 20.00    
3  CRISTALINDA         (rone penny)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 126 3.00 14% 6.10    
4  HIGH CUPPER Jan14         (brown gle)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 126 10.00    
5  MY BELLE MICHELLE Jan25 Jan14       (gorham )PILARES P 126 4.00 17% 4.90    
6  BEST OF YOU Feb01 Jan21       (murillo rodr)HALDAR J 126 20.00    
7  GIFT FROM MOM Feb01 Jan14       (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 126 20.00    
8  BISCAYNE BAY Jan25 Jan01       (zielin)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.50 7% 13.10    
9  BLANCONIA         (fernandez k)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 15.00 6% 16.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.