Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Saturday - February 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-1   02/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILVER AND ACES Feb09         (williams f)MONTALVO C 123 6.00 ★    
1A  MORO CHARLIE Jan20         (williams f)PEREZ E 123 6.00 19% 4.40    
2  EYES ON RED Feb04 Jan15       (eoff terry)MORA GERARDO 123 3.00    
SCR  INDIAN ORANGE Jan06         (clemons patrick)SANCHEZ M 123 30.00 11% 8.00    
4  HOMEVIEW Feb09 Jan20 Jan06     (gilbert ril)HAMILTON WESTON 123 3.50 12% 7.10    
5  FIFTEEN LOVE BACK         (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 1.80 25% 3.10    
SCR  RONALD DALE Feb09 Jan20 Jan06     (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 123 4.00 13% 6.80    
 
HOU-2   02/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3 C/G PT- 8:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VALDINA DREAMS         (pish da)GONCALVES R 117 12.00 ★    
2  PINKY RING BLING Jan20         (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 0.40 59% 0.70    
3  RED WITT AND BLUE Feb11 Jan30       (barton amanda)MORA GERARDO 117 20.00    
4  GET WITT GONE         (barton amand)PIVARAL GERBER 117 30.00 ★    
5  GRAMI'S BOY Jan20         (willis mi)TRIANA JR 117 4.00 ★    
6  CHIEF BRADY Jan15         (keen dallas)MELANCON JANSEN 117 4.50 15% 5.60    
 
HOU-3   02/19/2022 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($38K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLY CREED         (offolter j)ERAMIA E 119 3.00 45% 1.20    
2  PYRAMID PRINCESS Jan28         (stuart clinto)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 15.00    
3  MY WYNTER ROSE Jan15         (short thomas)DIAZ CARLOS 119 20.00 12% 7.60    
4  SHIRLEY'S TEMPLE Jan30 Jan15       (willis mi)TRIANA JR 119 4.00    
5  DR FRANCES         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 4.50 ★    
6  FROSTY FLIRT         (bravo franci)ALVAREZ L 119 8.00 18% 4.70    
SCR  TAHITIAN BREEZE Jan13         (hurley re)LANDEROS C 119 10.00    
8  SHE'SSKYSTHELIMIT Jan30 Jan13       (villafranco)WETHEY JR 121 2.50 ★    
 
HOU-4   02/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3 F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ITS A GEE THING Jan20         (pish danny)HAMILTON WESTON 117 15.00 ★    
2  TEXAS THUNDER Jan20 Jan06       (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 3.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  KIM'S TEXAS BLING Jan20         (pish danny)ALVAREZ L 117 4.50 ★    
4  JAN'S TURN TO WIN Jan29 Jan20       (caldwell r)LUZZI J 117 4.00    
5  FACESTER Jan20         (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 117 10.00 20% 4.00    
6  EAGLE EXPRESS Jan20         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 2.00 27% 2.80    
SCR  IMALUCKYCHARM Feb17 Jan27 Jan06     (jacks kare)ERAMIA E 117 6.00    
 
HOU-5   02/19/2022 5610ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MEN OF KYLE Feb11 Jan22       (duhon paul)ALVAREZ L 118 20.00    
2  STANS HOOKIN BULL Jan30         (jac)URIETA MANUEL 116 30.00 ★    
3  DUST EM Feb04 Jan21       (dela)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 15.00    
4  MOOJAB JR Jan20         (duhon paul)DIEGO V 116 4.00 ★    
5  BUBBA BLING Jan20         (dupuy allen)MORA GERARDO 116 8.00 ★    
6  SUNLIT SONG Jan20         (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 118 1.20 60% 0.70    
7  ROBO Feb05         (govea cesar)MONTALVO C 116 15.00    
8  SINGAPORE FLASH Jan20         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 118 2.50 17% 4.80    
 
HOU-6   02/19/2022 4620ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT-10:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALGEBRA Jan08         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 118 6.00    
2  DIRECT DIAL Jan30         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 116 4.00 9% 10.50    
3  SILENCE D'ORO Jan21         (keen da)GONCALVES R 116 20.00 ★    
4  KENAI BOB Jan20         (bravo francis)EIKLEBERRY RY 116 3.00 13% 6.70    
5  MY GOLDEN M Jan30 Jan06       (echeverria hecto)MONTALVO C 118 20.00 ★    
6  GOLD PILOT Jan15         (calhoun wi)ERAMIA E 116 10.00    
7  MR MONEY BAGS Jan30         (clar)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 1.20 57% 0.80    
8  IRISH EXPECTATIONS Jan20         (hebert matt)MELANCON JANSEN 116 30.00    
 
HOU-7   02/19/2022 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 4UP M/F PT-10:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KAUSE I'M DEVINE Feb04         (saavedra mar)ALVAREZ L 116 20.00    
2  WITT'S TENNY TEN Feb11 Jan22       (barton aman)MELANCON JANSEN 116 30.00    
SCR  BRIGHTEST Feb05 Jan28       (duhon)MANRRIQUE JOSE 118 20.00    
4  NO MAS TEQUILA         (jacks k)GONCALVES R 116 12.00 18% 4.60    
5  TAHITIAN BREEZE Jan13         (hurley re)LANDEROS C 116 10.00    
6  HAPPY SAILOR Feb05         (jacks e)DIEGO V 116 30.00    
7  BOERNE Jan20         (diodoro rober)EIKLEBERRY RY 118 1.20 28% 2.50    
8  SHES OUR FASTEST Jan20         (gelner scott)ELLIOTT S 116 4.50 ★    
9  WHIPUM NAENAE Jan27         (dupuy allen)MORA GERARDO 116 30.00    
10  ZARELDA Feb02         (gomez c)LUZZI J 116 8.00 6% 15.90    
11  CORLUNA         (dela)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 116 6.00 26% 2.80    
 
HOU-8   02/19/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 3 ALL PT-11:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAPITS KASH Jan30         (hebert matt)MELANCON JANSEN 122 12.00 ★    
SCR  MY DOUBLEWIDE         (calhoun wi)ERAMIA E 122 15.00    
3  CINCO RICHIE Jan30         (cruz eduardo)ALVAREZ L 122 20.00    
4  PICKINGUPSTRANGERS         (pish danny)HAMILTON WESTON 122 10.00    
5  BOSQUE Jan30 Jan07       (payne w)MORA GERARDO 122 6.00 28% 2.60    
6  RICHARD'S TX BLING Feb11 Jan27 Jan07     (g)DE CRUZ 122 30.00 ★    
7  LEGALLY LETHAL         (caldwell r)EIKLEBERRY RY 122 15.00    
8  JOSH'S DREAM         (love alan)MONTALVO C 122 10.00    
9  MORO CODE Jan20 Jan07       (gelner scot)WETHEY JR 122 15.00    
10  JUST HANGIN RIDGE Jan15         (kotara ronald)SANCHEZ M 122 30.00    
11  TAKE A LIMO         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 4.00 23% 3.40    
12  KLIMCO Jan30         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 122 1.60 28% 2.60    
 
HOU-9   02/19/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($37K) 4UP M/F PT-11:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANCIN ALL ALONE Jan22 Jan07       (david)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 15.00 ★    
2  JADES GELLY Feb05 Jan14       (gustafson austin)MONTALVO C 123 2.00 16% 5.30    
3  MIDYEAR         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 123 8.00    
4  AMARDINE Jan29         (grudzien ryl)MAGNON H 123 3.50 55% 0.80    
5  STILL OF THE NIGHT Jan21 Jan07       (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 12.00    
6  STELLACZAR         (lucarelli frank)ELLIOTT S 123 8.00    
7  SMART LASSIE Jan06         (cravens ronnie)MORA GERARDO 123 30.00    
8  MIZONEY Feb05         (castellanos )PIVARAL GERBER 123 6.00 ★    
9  SPECIAL TREASURE         (whitelaw mi)HAMILTON WESTON 123 4.50 6% 15.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.