Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fair Grounds
Saturday - February 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FG-1   02/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 3 F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANADA'S CUSTOMS Jan16 Jan01       (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 120 2.50 22% 3.60    
CANDY'S PRIDE Jan22 Jan01       (faucheux ron)GEROUX FLORENT 120 5.00    
CAJUN TWO STEP Jan19         (fuselier jonah)RIQUELME J 120 20.00    
MY ROYAL PRINCESS         (zenon charl)MORALES ROBERTO 120 20.00    
ISN'T IT TIME Feb03 Jan01       (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 6.00 15% 5.80    
HONEYSUCKLEDELIGHT Jan22 Jan02       (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 6.00    
EASY ACES Jan14         (ladner herman)VEGA L 120 12.00    
PINEAPPLE ALLEY Jan22 Jan01       (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 4.00 25% 3.10    
DREWSILLA Jan22 Jan01       (mouton pat)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 15.00    
10  MYLIES STAR Jan22         (courville)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 15% 5.60    
 
FG-2   02/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 3 F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY ARSINOE Jan22         (amoss m)GRAHAM J 120 10.00    
INDIGO MISS         (lobo h)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50 17% 4.90    
I AM UP Jan23         (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
ROYAL FLOWER         (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 120 4.50    
GEORGETOWN ROAD         (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 12.00    
IMOGENE MALVINA         (correas ignaci)ORTIZ L 120 5.00    
CARNELIAN         (stidham mi)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 10.00 8% 11.90    
TALEOFREADYCHIANTI         (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
RATHER BE LUCKY Jan22         (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00 50% 1.00    
 
FG-3   02/19/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 3 ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREEDOM'S WAY         (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00    
MASK PATROL         (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00    
BARONNE         (amoss thoma)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 12.00    
CATNIP         (stidham mi)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00    
MAZUMA Jan22         (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.00 17% 5.00    
HESTON         (walsh brenda)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 12.00    
MORE THAN WORK Jan22         (cox h)ORTIZ L 120 2.50 33% 2.10    
MINNESOTA READY Jan22         (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 15.00    
SEEKING SPLENDOR Jan22         (silva miguel)MOJICA O 120 50.00    
10  ALMANZO Jan22         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 4.00 29% 2.50    
 
FG-4   02/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 3 ALL PT- 2:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAJOR CONTENDER Jan23         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 4.50 6% 15.20    
PORT ROYAL         (desormeaux kei)PARKER L 120 20.00    
ART HEIST Jan22         (stewart da)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 35% 1.80    
BLUE BONZAI Jan22         (forster t)LANERIE J 120 30.00    
VINTAGE VINYL Jan22         (amoss m)GRAHAM J 120 5.00 16% 5.30    
TEPEU         (walsh brendan )ORTIZ L 120 8.00    
EYE DEE KAY Jan28         (modica osc)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 10.00    
CAN'T HUSH THIS         (amoss m)DIAZ RENE 115 8.00    
MARSALIS         (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.50 21% 3.70    
10  MOMENTOUS         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00    
 
FG-5   02/19/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WING COMMANDER Jan22         (howard neil )CARROLL DECLAN 120 12.00    
REIGNING SPIRIT         (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
COURAGEOUSLY Jan29 Jan13       (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 6.00 6% 14.70    
NEW YEAR SURPRISE Jan22         (dorochenko genn)VEGA L 120 20.00    
CONTINENTAL COINS Jan08         (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00    
EL SOCIO         (amoss m)GRAHAM J 120 4.00 14% 6.10    
CARILLO Feb03 Jan08       (amoss m)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00    
SHIPPINGPORT Jan10         (delhomme jeff)CULP BRIANNE 115 20.00    
MORE THAN BLESSED         (cascio andre)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 20.00    
10  PRAIRIE Jan28 Jan01       (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 12.00    
11  BLUE LOU BOYLE (IRE)         (casse mark)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 53% 0.90    
12  REGULAR GUY         (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 12.00    
 
FG-6   02/19/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 3 ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOSS' DIALIN IN Jan22         (duhon josep)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 10.00    
BON BUENO Jan22         (sharp joe)LANERIE J 120 8.00 18% 4.50    
STRONG QUALITY Jan23         (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.00 21% 3.90    
MAASAI WARRIOR Jan22         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.50 38% 1.60    
VINCO Jan22         (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.50    
SCOTLAND YARD         (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 120 5.00    
DOWNTOWN CONNECTOR Jan22         (morley tho)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 15.00    
BIG BLUE LINE Jan16         (mcgee paul)SANJUR SANTO 120 20.00    
KING OTTOMAN         (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 120 5.00    
10  BEYBLADER         (margolis s)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 15.00    
 
FG-7   02/19/2022 3630ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COWAN Jan22         (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.00 19% 4.20    
JUST MIGHT Jan22         (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 122 1.40 37% 1.70    
SEVEN SCENTS Jan30 Jan14 Jan06     (broberg kar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 8.00    
GRAY ATTEMPT Jan14         (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 8.00 16% 5.20    
PYRON         (stall albert)CARROLL DECLAN 118 4.50 6% 16.50    
TORO STRIKE         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 124 5.00    
STRIKE ME DOWN Jan22         (lovell michelle)PARKER L 118 15.00    
SCR  INHALATION (GB)         (vaughan edwa)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00    
 
FG-8   02/19/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3 ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHINNECOCK HILLS Jan14         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50    
1A  STRAVA Jan15         (stewart da)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50 5% 19.00    
YONO Jan09         (walsh p)GRAHAM J 119 20.00    
STOWAWAY         (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00    
PEACEFUL WATERS Jan22         (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.50 34% 1.90    
KUPUNA Jan15         (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 5.00    
CYBERKNIFE Jan22         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.50 13% 6.80    
GUNTOWN         (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 119 5.00    
SHAMAYIM Jan27         (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 119 20.00    
GUNFIGHTER Jan22         (cox h)ORTIZ L 122 4.50 28% 2.60    
 
FG-9   02/19/2022 5610ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PASS THE PLATE Jan22         (mcgee pau)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 3.00 9% 10.30    
SCR  MO NORMAL Jan15         (rubley kelly)PARKER L 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
ABSCOND Jan22         (kenneally ed)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 3.50 46% 1.20    
OUT OF SORTS Jan22         (russell brittany )SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
SHE CAN'T SING Jan29 Jan01       (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
ADELAIDE MISS Jan22         (russell b)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
DAWN'S DANCER Jan28         (davis christop)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
AMICHE         (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 12% 7.00    
I HEAR YOU Jan15         (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00    
10  DRAPES Jan29         (baker james)SANJUR SANTO 118 10.00    
 
FG-10   02/19/2022 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($250K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPRAWL Jan22         (drury thom)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 20.00 13% 6.90    
  (by CITY ZIP out of AMEN AGAIN by AWESOME AGAIN)
SILVER PROSPECTOR Jan15         (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 118 15.00    
  (by DECLARATION OF WAR out of TAP SOFTLY by TAPIT)
SCR  TITLE READY Jan29         (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00 10% 9.40    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of TITLE SEEKER by MONARCHOS)
OLYMPIAD Jan15         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 3.00 19% 4.20    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of TOKYO TIME by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
MILES D         (brown c)ORTIZ L 122 3.50    
  (by CURLIN out of SOUND THE TRUMPETS by BERNARDINI)
SCR  FORT PECK         (diodoro roberti)VAZQUEZ A 118 20.00    
  (by FORT LARNED out of TABBY by STORM CAT)
MIDCOURT         (shirreffs jo)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of MAYO ON THE SIDE by FRENCH DEPUTY)
O BESOS Jan02         (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00    
  (by ORB out of SNUGGS AND KISSES by SOTO (VEN))
HAPPY AMERICAN         (pessin l)GRAHAM J 118 6.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of QUEEN OF AMERICA by QUIET AMERICAN)
10  UNTREATED         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 20% 4.10    
  (by NYQUIST out of FULLY LIVING by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  BIG DREAMING         (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 15.00 14% 6.30    
  (by DECLARATION OF WAR out of DREAMING OF ANNA by RAHY)
 
FG-11   02/19/2022 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAVALRY CHARGE Jan22         (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of SWEET TALKIN by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
FORTY UNDER Jan22         (maker mich)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 8.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of ARGENT AFFAIR by BLACK TIE AFFAIR (IRE))
SANTIN         (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of SENTIERO ITALIA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
MAJOR FED         (foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00 10% 9.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of BOBBY'S BABE by SMART STRIKE)
MONARCHS GLEN (GB) Jan22         (maker micha)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of MIRABILIS by LEAR FAN)
ADHAMO (IRE)         (brown c)ORTIZ L 118 4.50    
  (by UNKNOWN out of FOREIGN TUNE by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT (IRE))
HALO AGAIN Jan22         (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of HALO'S VERSE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
CAPTIVATING MOON         (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 20.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of APPEALING STORM by VALID APPEAL)
POINT ME BY         (kenneally ed)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00    
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of VIVA ALLEGIANCE by PROUD CITIZEN)
10  LARGENT Jan08         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 61% 0.60    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of LIFE IN SEATTLE by UNBRIDLED)
11  TWO EMMYS Jan22         (robertson hugh)GRAHAM J 118 3.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of MISS EMMY by BUDDHA)
 
FG-12   02/19/2022 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($300K) 3 F PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA CRETE Jan22         (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of CAVORTING by FOOLISH PLEASURE)
NORTH COUNTY         (walsh brenda)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 8.00 11% 8.30    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of NORTHERN NETTI by CITY ZIP)
MISS MATTIE B Jan08         (hess b)SMITH E 122 15.00    
  (by TONALIST out of TRAFFIC BLIMP by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
DREAM LITH         (diodoro roberti)VAZQUEZ A 122 6.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of ELLE SUENO by STREET CRY (IRE))
DIVINE HUNTRESS Jan19         (motion graha)ORTIZ L 122 6.00    
  (by DIVINING ROD out of THRILL SEEKER by HOUSEBUSTER)
CANDY RAID Jan22         (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 122 30.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE (ARG) out of LADY SAMURI by FIRST SAMURAI)
TURNERLOOSE         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of GOALTENDING by A.P. INDY)
GODDESS OF FIRE Jan15         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00    
  (by MINESHAFT out of FEEL THAT FIRE by LIGHTNIN N THUNDER)
AWAKE AT MIDNYTE Jan08         (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 3.50 29% 2.40    
  (by NYQUIST out of MIDNIGHT UNION by UNION RAGS)
10  CALIFORNIA ANGEL         (leonard i)PARKER L 122 30.00    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of SEA MONA by TIZ WONDERFUL)
11  HIDDEN CONNECTION         (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 3.00 27% 2.70    
  (by CONNECT out of C J'S GAL by AWESOME AGAIN)
 
FG-13   02/19/2022 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($400K) 3 ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAPPACAP Jan22         (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00 21% 3.80    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of PAPPASCAT by SCAT DADDY)
RUSSIAN TANK Feb05         (dorochenko genn)VEGA L 122 50.00    
  (by TOURIST out of I THINK SO by PROUD CITIZEN)
TRAFALGAR Jan22         (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 122 10.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of SOUTHERN DRIFTER by DIXIE UNION)
TAWNY PORT Jan07         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 12.00 16% 5.30    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of LIVI MAKENZIE by MACHO UNO)
EPICENTER Jan22         (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.00 16% 5.30    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of SILENT CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
PIONEER OF MEDINA Jan22         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 10.00 7% 13.40    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of LIGHTS OF MEDINA by ESKENDEREYA)
ZANDON         (brown c)ORTIZ L 122 4.50    
  (by UPSTART out of MEMORIES PREVAIL by CREATIVE CAUSE)
SMILE HAPPY         (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 122 3.50 18% 4.70    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of PLEASANT SMILE by PLEASANT TAP)
BODOCK Jan15         (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 10.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of FLOATING ISLAND by A.P. INDY)
10  SLOW DOWN ANDY         (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 4.50    
  (by NYQUIST out of EDWINA E by SQUARE EDDIE)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.