Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turfway Park
Friday - February 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TP-1   02/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAF Jan22         (jarvis kathy)RAMOS D 123 30.00    
2  AGNELLI         (blake j)ACHARD ALEX 123 5.00 18% 4.70    
3  JUNIOR BUG Jan09         (riley barbara)OUZTS W 123 3.50 ★    
SCR  DEVILISH TAIL Jan22         (esquivel )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 123 12.00    
5  ORB OF THE BORO Jan23         (estvanko rich)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 3.50    
6  UNDER THE COUVERS Jan22 Jan02       (anderson susan)MACHADO LUAN 123 3.00 43% 1.30    
7  SIR NUISANCE Jan22         (rangel)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 113 30.00    
8  HART WELL Jan07         (livers charli)CANUTO THIAGO 116 6.00 7% 14.30    
9  FRANCO'S TEAM Jan22         (vale)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 123 5.00 7% 13.20    
 
TP-2   02/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRIGHT VENEZUELAN         (grubbs l)ROCCO S 123 5.00 7% 13.50    
2  MAGNA G FORCE Jan14         (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 123 3.00 10% 9.30    
3  JAZZ BRUNCH Jan14         (anderson susan)MACHADO LUAN 123 5.00    
4  QUIET DAWN         (garcia amali)MORALES JOSHUA 123 20.00    
5  EDGE OF PLEASURE         (barker w)OUZTS W 123 12.00    
6  LOVE THE POWER (FR) Jan14         (nocero carmino)MOJICA JR 123 20.00    
7  DON'T HOLD QUEENS         (rednour jr)BAIRD T 123 6.00    
8  RADIANTRITHYM Jan14         (danner doug)FELIX E 123 3.50 48% 1.10    
9  GO STELLAIRE Jan05         (thornbury jeff)LEON SONNY 123 15.00 ★    
10  APPEALING JULIA         (brownfiel)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 123 6.00 8% 12.30    
 
TP-3   02/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TORNADO BOY Jan16         (nocero carmin)CANUTO THIAGO 113 30.00    
2  SOUPER HIGHVOLTAGE Jan01         (cristel j)MACHADO LUAN 120 1.20 22% 3.50    
3  CAN'T HIDE FROM ME Jan15         (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.50 21% 3.90    
4  ORAZIO         (walsh d)BEJARANO R 120 10.00    
5  DIRECT APPROACH Jan29         (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 120 8.00 19% 4.30    
6  SEVENTYSEVEN STONE Jan02         (lepiane paul)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 10.00 18% 4.70    
7  CEDUNA Jan16         (upton m)MOJICA JR 120 20.00    
8  CREATIVE COURAGE         (corr)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 20.00 ★    
9  JOYFUL HEART Jan23         (bush george)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 12.00    
10  SPEND BENJAMINS Jan07         (danner doug)FELIX E 120 20.00    
 
TP-4   02/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUANITA'S EXPRESS         (deegan c)MOJICA JR 125 15.00    
2  CAPTAIN FANTASTIC Jan15         (garcia gen)CORRALES GERARDO 125 3.00 36% 1.80    
3  PINBALLER Jan15         (poulos de)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 125 8.00    
4  CANDY KINGDOM Jan05         (fernandez edward)FELIX E 125 20.00    
5  LEMONADE STAND (GB)         (ginter raymon)CANUTO THIAGO 118 20.00 ★    
6  MR. BIFFLE         (estvanko rich)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 10.00    
7  ALPHA DOG Jan15         (reed r)LEON SONNY 125 15.00    
8  RANDELLO Jan16         (hamilton sa)PETERSON FERRIN 125 4.00    
9  BRAVO BRAVO         (meraz ant)BERMUDEZ E 123 12.00    
10  T J MUNNINGS Jan09         (bogle fer)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 125 4.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  WHERE'S LUCKY Jan09 Jan01       (brisset rodo)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 20.00 15% 5.70    
12  DESTINED FOR HONOR Jan16         (hughes g)ACHARD ALEX 125 8.00 ★    
 
TP-5   02/18/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($62K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHADOW BELLE         (roberts m)BERMUDEZ E 118 20.00    
2  HONORABLY         (walsh brendan)TALAMO JOSEPH 125 3.00 21% 3.80    
3  BLESSING THE FLAG Jan01         (correas igna)KIMURA KAZUSHI 125 4.00 25% 3.00    
4  BUOY Jan01         (pincins robert )MOJICA JR 125 20.00    
5  HALAGA         (devaux ch)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 125 20.00    
6  SOLARRI         (sims a)MORALES EDGAR 125 6.00    
7  ESPERER (FR)         (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 125 6.00 6% 14.60    
8  GOLDEN OWL         (meah anna)CORRALES GERARDO 125 6.00    
9  MEJTHAAM         (corrigan jim)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 8.00    
10  ANKYRAH Jan01         (morey e)FELIX E 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
11  BOURBON ROYALE         (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 125 15.00    
12  LIZ C         (kelley james )CANUTO THIAGO 118 30.00    
SCR  GABERDINE Jan01         (mcgaughey re)ROCCO S 125 6.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  AKEDAH         (egbert james)HISBY RONALD 118 30.00    
 
TP-6   02/18/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($27K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ARBA Jan26         (estvanko richa)MACHADO LUAN 120 20.00    
2  GRANDE TORTUGON (CHI)         (walsh ryan )PETERSON FERRIN 118 10.00    
3  DRAGON DREW Jan23         (anderson susa)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 3.00 47% 1.10    
4  STRONG YEN Jan23         (estvanko )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 5.00    
SCR  MEDAL OF FACT Feb11 Jan08       (reavis l)BAIRD T 120 2.50 ★    
6  ONWARD         (johnson a)MCKEE J 118 30.00 8% 11.50    
7  TAOS Feb11 Jan14       (paquette raym)CANUTO THIAGO 113 8.00    
8  DILETTANTE         (klopp randy)RAMOS D 120 3.50 19% 4.20    
9  FIRST DEPUTY Jan14         (riley barbara)OUZTS W 120 10.00 ★    
 
TP-7   02/18/2022 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($64K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TILTINGATWINDMILLS Jan29         (reed r)LEON SONNY 124 6.00 ★    
1A  TALK RADIO         (reed r)LEON SONNY 124 6.00    
2  ROSE HARBOR Jan15         (morey william)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 3.00 34% 2.00    
3  PALLAS ATHENE Jan29         (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 127 2.00 14% 6.10    
SCR  BLUEGRASS BELLE Jan29         (casse mark)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 6.00 12% 7.10    
5  ELKE DO JAGUARETE (BRZ) Jan29 Jan09       (correas igna)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 4.00 10% 8.90    
6  HIGH FASHION Jan09         (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 124 4.50    
7  RUNAWAY MOM Jan09         (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 117 15.00    
 
TP-8   02/18/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($29K) 3 F PT- 9:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GO BIXBY BABES         (reed r)LEON SONNY 120 12.00 ★    
1A  FRACING NASTY         (reed r)LEON SONNY 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  DANCIN DEE Jan01         (maker michae)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 3.00 52% 0.90    
3  KRISPY RICE Jan14         (walsh d)BEJARANO R 120 5.00    
SCR  MIDSUMMER NIGHTS Jan07         (mitchell )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 6.00    
5  FIRST ROYAL Jan07         (danner doug)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 5.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  MINT LEAF         (hamm timothy)MACHADO LUAN 120 15.00    
7  ONLY SHOW IN TOWN         (asmussen stev)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 4.00    
8  STORMY NILE         (ewing micha)PETERSON FERRIN 120 8.00    
9  PELLETIER Feb03 Jan08       (beattie m)ROCCO S 120 12.00 ★    
10  COUNT ON CAROLINE         (brafford mich)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.