Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - February 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   02/18/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3 F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHASHKA         (albright r)FLORES E 118 12.00    
2  ISTHATYOURHARLEY Jan27         (trombetta)RODRIGUEZ R 118 2.50 ★    
3  MY DIXIE LASS Jan14         (lawrence james)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 35% 1.90    
4  DETERMINED TRUTH Jan29         (schoentha)CARRASCO R 118 4.00 ★    
5  BAZINGA C Jan27         (kreiser tim)INIRIO J 118 2.00 39% 1.60    
6  J M R GEMMA Jan25         (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 118 8.00 ★    
 
PEN-2   02/18/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($16.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TERRY'S CHARM Jan12         (abrams r)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 8.00 ★    
2  SOUPER CATCH Feb02         (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 1.80 57% 0.80    
3  HASHTAG WINNING Jan04         (kreiser tim)INIRIO J 120 2.50 20% 4.10    
4  KINGSVILLE Feb07         (padilla-precia)RIVERA EDWIN 120 4.00 ★    
5  BUILT THAT WAY Jan28 Jan19       (ferreira fernan)WHITNEY G 124 6.00    
6  ROYAL SUSPECT Feb02 Jan11       (huertas nirk)BERRIOS C 122 6.00 ★    
 
PEN-3   02/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WARRIOR'S BLADE Jan28         (rathman e)RODRIGUEZ R 124 4.00 49% 1.00    
SCR  MAGICALLYDELICIOUS Jan19         (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 120 12.00 ★    
3  DASHI         (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 120 3.00    
4  LA DAME Feb03 Jan01       (allen f)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 ★    
SCR  GRAY LOLLIPOPS Feb02 Jan19       (synnefias dimitri)OTERO P 120 6.00 13% 7.00    
6  SUNSHINE BAY Feb02         (graci joseph)BERRIOS C 120 15.00    
7  COUNTESS SHANAKILL Feb02 Jan19       (albright r)AGUILAR M 120 8.00    
8  DOCS WAY         (beattie m)CORA D 120 15.00    
9  ARTEMIS RISING         (rojas eduardo)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 4.50 11% 8.00    
10  FAIRFIELD Feb02         (rodriguez)VARGAS L 120 15.00    
 
PEN-4   02/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRITESIDEOFTHEROAD Jan25         (patter)ENRIQUEZ JR 115 2.50 16% 5.20    
2  NORA RADD Jan14         (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 2.00 27% 2.70    
3  BALI Jan14         (rodriguez fra)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 5.00 ★    
4  QUEEN'S DREAM Feb02 Jan19       (ferreira fe)INIRIO J 124 3.00 19% 4.40    
5  MELODIOUS SINGER Feb02         (brennan regina)BEATO INOEL 120 6.00 13% 6.70    
6  SMOKIN CLASS Jan25 Jan04       (bobadilla j )BERRIOS C 120 15.00    
 
PEN-5   02/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  S W BRIAR ROSE Feb01         (albright r)CORA D 120 6.00 10% 9.30    
2  FLATTERING RUBY Feb01         (stites f)DAVIS A 120 1.60 38% 1.70    
3  TIMELY TRADITION Feb01         (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 13% 6.80    
4  MIDTOWN ROSE Feb07 Jan05       (mosco ro)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 8.00    
5  SEEKING THE DREAM         (houghton thomas)BEATO INOEL 122 4.00 16% 5.20    
6  TANYA'S GEM Feb01         (sinnefia paulina)OTERO P 120 4.50 ★    
 
PEN-6   02/18/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOLLARIZATION Feb01 Jan11       (kreiser tim)INIRIO J 120 2.50 43% 1.30    
2  MR HOOVER Feb01 Jan11       (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00    
3  HIGHWAY BOUND Jan25         (lawrence james)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00    
4  JOJOMAR Feb08 Jan19       (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00 11% 7.90    
5  SAMARONTI Jan26 Jan07       (martine)GONZALEZ LUIS 120 15.00 ★    
6  SASSY KING Feb01 Jan22       (davis samuel)CALDERON JORGE 120 20.00 ★    
7  MR. WALSH Jan19         (o'callaha)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 24% 3.20    
 
PEN-7   02/18/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEACHY KEEN Jan21         (gonzal)ENRIQUEZ JR 115 2.00 32% 2.20    
2  METHODTOTHEMADNESS Feb08         (stites w)AGUILAR M 122 12.00    
3  SILVER TOKEN Jan25         (o'callahan ca)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 2.50 ★    
4  CHILLING SECRET Feb02 Jan13       (reynolds )RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 24% 3.20    
5  MR CLIPBOARD Jan04         (mick r)FLORES E 122 10.00 ★    
6  BOSSY CAT Feb02         (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 3.50 18% 4.40    
 
PEN-8   02/18/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMART TWO A T Feb01         (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 6.00 ★    
2  SACRED MOUNTAIN Feb01         (santaella-cal)OCASIO M 122 6.00    
3  VOUCH Jan26         (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 122 2.50 69% 0.40    
4  MAIN COOL CAT Jan26 Jan07       (beattie cody)BEATO INOEL 122 20.00    
5  CATTLE DRIVE Jan26 Jan19       (rozell ron)LLOYD W 122 30.00    
6  DEVINE DENTAL Jan28         (graci a)OTERO P 122 3.00 ★    
7  THOMAS KNIGHT Feb07 Jan31 Jan12     (taylor jo)RODRIGUEZ R 122 5.00 5% 17.80    
SCR  DIAMOND SETTER Jan26 Jan12       (bobadilla j )BERRIOS C 122 12.00 ★    
9  THE BEST CANDY Jan25 Jan11       (bobadilla f)CORA D 124 6.00    
 
PEN-9   02/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  E T'S CANDY MAN Feb02 Jan18       (wyner harold)RIVERA D 122 4.00    
2  ZILLION         (salvaggio micha)WHITNEY G 122 8.00 ★    
3  DOMINANT FACTOR Jan14         (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00 ★    
4  HERE'S WALDO Jan11         (sinnefia paulina)OTERO P 122 3.00 38% 1.60    
5  GET DOWN BROWN         (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 8.00    
6  SUNSHINE MAX Feb11         (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 3.50 7% 12.60    
7  GALILEE Feb01 Jan07       (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 6.00 30% 2.30    
8  MO CRAZY BLUES Jan11         (sells rache)CAMILO D 122 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.