Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Friday - February 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-2   02/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 45 ALL PT- 8:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAPA MOLLY         (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 1.40 17% 4.80    
2  SI QUERE         (castellanos )PIVARAL GERBER 118 12.00 7% 13.90    
3  MORO SAVAGE Feb09         (dodson )GONCALVES R 123 15.00 12% 7.70    
4  STONEMEISTER Jan21         (davidson )TRIANA JR 123 10.00 ★    
5  PARABELLUM Jan29 Jan21       (castellanos ja)MORA GERARDO 123 3.00    
6  A FEW DOLLARS MORE Jan21         (bravo francisco)MONTALVO C 123 2.00 41% 1.40    
 
HOU-3   02/18/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUMMER SANGRIA Jan06         (asmusse)GONCALVES R 119 5.00 32% 2.20    
SCR  CUSTOM FOR CARLITA Feb12 Jan27       (broberg karl)LUZZI J 119 20.00    
3  IGNIS         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 1.20 34% 1.90    
4  SHACKLELACKALACKA Feb10 Jan27       (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 15.00 ★    
5  POLLY TIZ Jan06         (young scott)WETHEY JR 119 8.00    
6  MISS AGGIE BLING Jan20         (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 3.50 8% 11.70    
7  PRINCESS PHONE Jan20         (r)DE CRUZ 119 6.00 5% 18.30    
8  NATALIES JOY Jan14         (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 119 12.00    
 
HOU-4   02/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAUSE SHE'S MINE Jan29 Jan13       (pruitt jo)TRIANA JR 123 4.50 ★    
2  COCO LOCO MAMA Feb12 Jan22       (echeverria hecto)MONTALVO C 123 3.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  THATSALOTOFBLING Feb11 Jan22 Jan07     (barton aman)MELANCON JANSEN 123 1.00 35% 1.90    
4  THEWHISKEYWORKED Jan07         (dupuy allen)MORA GERARDO 123 10.00    
5  KITCHEN MATCH         (uriegas joe)VERA T 123 20.00 9% 9.60    
6  SARDABLING Jan29         (castellanos ja)LUZZI J 123 4.00 ★    
 
HOU-5   02/18/2022 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($38K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER BRADY         (duhon paul)DIEGO V 119 2.00 43% 1.30    
2  TIN BADGE         (stuart cli)ERAMIA E 119 6.00 8% 11.90    
3  I'M MONEY Jan21 Jan08       (short w)DIAZ CARLOS 119 30.00    
4  GOOD SCOUT Jan15         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 119 12.00    
5  QUARKY Jan21         (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 119 4.50 21% 3.70    
6  BOB'S BAD BOY         (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 119 3.50 ★    
7  YANKEE SEVEN Feb04 Jan06       (ramirez edua)ALVAREZ L 119 8.00    
8  VIATOREM Jan22         (keen da)GONCALVES R 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  GOLD CRUSHER Jan22         (lucarelli)TRIANA JR 119 20.00    
 
HOU-6   02/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 35 ALL PT-10:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPPRESSOR Jan30         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 1.40 53% 0.90    
2  COUNTRY BRAVE Jan07         (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 123 10.00    
3  TIZ LIFE Jan22         (craddock k)ERAMIA E 123 6.00 ★    
4  WEST TEXAS RAIN Jan30         (young scott)WETHEY JR 123 2.50 17% 4.90    
5  GOOD LUCK CHARM Jan02         (moquett ronal)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 3.50 ★    
6  THUNDER ROAD Feb09         (dodson cliffor)SANCHEZ OBED 115 20.00 ★    
 
HOU-7   02/18/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($37K) 3 ALL PT-10:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  IBERVILLE Jan13         (amoss m)LUZZI J 122 6.00 7% 13.50    
SCR  DURANGO JESS Jan13         (calhoun willia)LUZZI J 122 0.60 36% 1.80    
3  SCREWBALL Jan30 Jan06       (broberg)GONCALVES R 122 4.00    
4  DUDE PERFECTA Jan06         (jacks kare)ERAMIA E 122 8.00 12% 7.00    
5  INCA EMPIRE Jan06         (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 122 30.00    
6  GOLD DECLARATION Jan30 Jan06       (eoff terry)MELANCON JANSEN 122 20.00    
7  SPERLE Jan15         (rossi)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 20.00 6% 17.10    
8  AVENGING WARRIOR         (calhoun wil)WETHEY JR 122 30.00    
9  DOWN COLD Jan30 Jan06       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 3.00 15% 5.70    
10  KEEN CAT Jan30         (gree)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 12.00    
11  FEDERAL HILL (ARG) Jan15         (gustafson aus)EIKLEBERRY RY 122 5.00    
12  I'M CRENSHAW Jan30         (bravo franci)ALVAREZ L 122 30.00    
13  BRIT'S WIT         (mckeever andrew)DIEGO V 122 6.00    
 
HOU-8   02/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 3 F PT-11:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ESPERANZA ROSE         (diodoro rob)WETHEY JR 122 8.00 ★    
2  TURN ON THE BLING         (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 2.50 27% 2.70    
3  MY FAVORITE YEAR         (a)DE CRUZ 122 6.00 ★    
4  IMA SKY TRAVELER Jan29 Jan06       (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 5.00 12% 7.20    
5  MORO LINGERIE         (pish da)GONCALVES R 122 10.00    
6  MYSTERIOUS STAR         (diodoro rober)EIKLEBERRY RY 122 4.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  CHARMINGSIDE Jan29         (pish dann)STEINBERG GARRETT 122 12.00    
SCR  KELLEY SAID READY         (caldwell r)SANCHEZ OBED 122 10.00    
9  EAGLE CAT         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 12.00    
 
HOU-9   02/18/2022 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($38K) 4UP ALL PT-11:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KOKOKOMO Feb04         (pish danny)HAMILTON WESTON 119 12.00    
2  MIDAS CAT Feb05 Jan20       (eoff terry)ERAMIA E 119 15.00    
3  JOHAN ZOFFANI (IRE) Jan27 Jan21       (willis mi)TRIANA JR 119 4.00 9% 10.50    
4  PARROT HEAD Jan30         (castellanos jaim)MONTALVO C 119 30.00    
5  KHOLA Jan27         (craddoc)GONCALVES R 119 20.00    
6  FIRST AVENUE Jan27 Jan08       (hurley re)LANDEROS C 119 15.00    
7  FRED'STWIRLINCANDY Jan27         (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 6.00 6% 15.10    
8  NEWPORT BEACH Jan21         (offolter joe)ALVAREZ L 119 5.00 16% 5.10    
9  JAILHOUSE KITTEN Jan20         (govea cesar)MORA GERARDO 119 8.00    
10  HOLY VOW Jan21         (villafranco)WETHEY JR 119 12.00    
11  SPACE MOUNTAIN Jan21         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 20.00 6% 16.70    
12  PERFECT STAR Jan27         (duhon paul)DIEGO V 119 3.00 34% 1.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.