Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Gulfstream Park
Friday - February 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GP-1   02/18/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($23K) 4UP M/F PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAST FASHION Jan26         (dini mike)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  SPUN FOR LU LU Feb03 Jan08       (kimmel john )CASTELLANO J 122 5.00    
BORDEAUX LEGACY Jan16         (lutchman padar)BORACO DAVID 122 30.00    
ELUSIVE UNCAPTURED Feb04 Jan16       (o'connell kathl)PANICI LUCA 122 3.50 17% 4.80    
SCR  MYRA FLEENER Jan22 Jan09       (escobar alison)RIOS M 122 30.00    
GILDED ASSET         (ditter)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 20.00    
UNMARKED MONEY         (romero rafael)REYES LEONEL 122 6.00 20% 4.10    
SWEET ACTRESS Jan12         (avila juan )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 1.40 26% 2.80    
 
GP-2   02/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($37K) 4UP M/F PT-12:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOOLISH HEART         (david a)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00    
RUNNING MEMORIES Jan12         (orseno jos)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50    
PRINCESS CORA         (rivelli larr)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 8.00    
MOON OF LOVE (IRE)         (gambolati cam)LANERIE J 120 6.00    
DIAL TO WIN Jan20 Jan06       (hess b)ARROYO S 122 2.50 40% 1.50    
RICHIES GREAT GIRL Jan12         (rivelli larry)ORTIZ JR 120 1.60 34% 2.00    
 
GP-3   02/18/2022 7920ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($16K) Purse ($34K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YAMATO Jan29         (sancal murat)SAEZ LUIS 122 1.40 17% 5.00    
SURF AND TURF Jan29         (londono odin )JIMENEZ MANNY 120 15.00 12% 7.10    
OUTRAGEOUS BET         (yates michae)CASTELLANO J 120 8.00    
ROAD TO MEATH         (abrams ron)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 15.00    
AMERICAN NINJA Jan29         (klesaris ste)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 2.50 36% 1.80    
MERZAZ Feb04 Jan06       (avila )VASQUEZ ANGEL 122 6.00    
JIMMY D Jan23         (davis christop)ORTIZ L 120 5.00 14% 6.30    
 
GP-4   02/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 3 F PT- 2:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE PEARL         (blair jordan)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50    
WILDCAT STAR Jan06         (garoffalo jos)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 30% 2.30    
LONDON LADY Jan22 Jan09       (trombe)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 6.00    
KATNISS         (santiago joel)HOLMES GAGE 110 15.00    
WITH LIBERTY         (delgado jorge)SUTHERLAND C 120 10.00 14% 6.40    
SPIRIT WIND         (nicks ralp)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00    
SCR  CHITIENNE Jan06         (plesa edward)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 3.50 27% 2.70    
LIGEIA         (sano antonio)ORTIZ L 120 8.00    
 
GP-5   02/18/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($32K) 3 ALL PT- 2:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY BROTHER MIKE Jan06         (orseno jos)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 10.00    
SWIFT DANCER Jan07         (munoz )VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 10.00 9% 9.80    
BADBADBOBBY         (maragh a)MARAGH TONY 120 20.00    
LEE ANN'S WARRIOR Jan06         (fawkes david)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 19% 4.30    
PHILZANO Jan06         (depaulo p)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50 23% 3.40    
ROBBEDINTHEBAHAMAS         (gutierrez f)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 10.00    
DIPPY EVANS         (walsh brenda)CASTELLANO J 120 5.00    
GLORY AND VICTORY Jan22         (sano antonio)REYES LEONEL 120 30.00    
WORLDLY MANNER Jan27         (cioffi antonio)OLIVERO A 120 8.00 16% 5.10    
10  CRY MACHO Feb11 Jan23       (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 120 30.00 9% 10.50    
11  CACHETON Feb04         (hess b)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 4.50    
12  SLIGHTLY FROSTED Feb05         (tharrenos)WILSON JAYNE 120 30.00    
 
GP-6   02/18/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3 F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOCIAL ENGAGEMENT Feb04         (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50    
DOLCE APRILE Jan26         (sano antonio)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 26% 2.90    
FLECHE D'AMOUR Jan20         (barboza victor)ORTIZ L 122 3.00    
SECRETIVE MISS Jan16 Jan12       (rodriguez an)MENESES MARCOS 122 12.00 5% 18.60    
MISS BETH'EL Jan20         (torres)VASQUEZ ANGEL 122 8.00    
SCR  CAGUA Feb04 Jan26       (sano antonio)CASTELLANO J 122 1.60 46% 1.20    
UNBRIDLED CHROME Jan20         (cadahia cayeta)SUTHERLAND C 120 15.00    
 
GP-7   02/18/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($42K) 3 ALL PT- 3:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PETER D Jan19         (blanco g)REYES LEONEL 120 2.00 33% 2.00    
ETERNAL REST Jan22         (gonzalez os)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 5.00    
SUN VIKING Jan19 Jan09       (garoffalo jo)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00 9% 10.80    
WICKED FAST         (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50    
GOD IS LOVE         (torres enrique)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00    
STEEL CITY DUDE Jan09         (fawkes david)JARAMILLO E 120 2.50 34% 2.00    
DEMOGORGON Jan14         (walsh brendan )ORTIZ L 113 12.00    
 
GP-8   02/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ENSIGN PARKER Jan23 Jan06       (perez carlos)ARROYO S 120 4.50 24% 3.30    
KRAMMY BOY Jan08         (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
ABSOLUTE GRIT         (crichton roha)ORTIZ JR 120 2.00 37% 1.70    
BLACK BELT         (casse mark)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 6.00    
SMILING TEUFLES Feb04 Jan14       (hurtak daniel)SUTHERLAND C 122 3.00 8% 11.30    
TAPE TO TAPE Jan12         (mcgoey moni)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 4.00    
FIRST RULE Jan14         (alvarado diane)REYES LEONEL 120 8.00    
 
GP-9   02/18/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($54K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRILLOMATIC Jan30 Jan20 Jan01     (abrams ronald)SUTHERLAND C 120 15.00    
FARM BOY Jan09         (alvarado diane)REYES LEONEL 120 4.50    
TIMMY M. Jan21 Jan01       (mcgoey)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 3.50 16% 5.10    
EXCHANGE DAY Jan21 Jan06       (plesa edw)LEPAROUX R 120 6.00    
MISTER LEONARDO Jan21         (maragh a)MARAGH TONY 120 4.00 14% 6.20    
ASTROTURF Jan21 Jan02       (sweezey j )GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00 44% 1.30    
CENTERFOLDPROSPECT Feb05 Jan12       (morrow c)LANERIE J 120 20.00    
MARISA'S MISSION Jan29 Jan01       (drexler martin)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.