Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turfway Park
Thursday - February 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TP-1   02/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PARTY NEXT DOOR         (morey e)FELIX E 118 2.50 27% 2.60    
2  WAR TANGO Jan23         (kenneally edd)TALAMO JOSEPH 125 3.00 10% 9.30    
3  DIRTY NELLIE         (danner doug)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 15.00    
4  DIMPLES OF VENUS Jan22         (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 118 10.00    
5  TOP HAT BOSS Jan22         (adams l)MACHADO LUAN 125 8.00 ★    
6  ONE FAST ORB Jan23         (bright derric)MORALES EDGAR 125 3.00 39% 1.60    
7  MISSY LIZZY         (connelly tere)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 15.00    
8  VAN SICKLE Jan01         (antonuik je)LAGUNES GABRIEL 118 20.00    
9  AMARI S. Jan22         (edgell sharo)RAMOS D 125 6.00 ★    
 
TP-2   02/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOWN HOME KITTEN Feb10 Jan14       (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 123 3.50 16% 5.40    
2  WHEREWEGOIN Jan22         (lauer michae)RAMOS D 123 20.00    
3  FRED'S COUNTRY BOY Jan22 Jan01       (livers charlie)LEZCANO ABEL 123 15.00    
4  DRAMATIC KITTEN Jan25 Jan12       (hughes earl )TAVARES JAVIER 123 20.00    
5  IRISH DECLARATION Jan16         (bush s)FELIX E 123 4.00 27% 2.80    
6  COURT AND SPARK Jan23 Jan09       (roggenkamp e)ARAGON ROLANDO 123 4.00 ★    
SCR  LIZZY'S LURE Jan16         (locker timothy)MACHADO LUAN 123 15.00    
8  THE PIRATES Jan22 Jan01       (adams l)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 20.00    
9  AREYOUTALKINGTOME Feb01         (quartarolo)CORRALES GERARDO 123 12.00    
10  ENGLISH CHALLENGE         (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 123 3.00 24% 3.10    
11  GRAY HOPE Jan16 Jan01       (estvanko )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 123 10.00 12% 7.10    
 
TP-3   02/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3 ALL PT- 7:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PETTY THIEF Jan22         (riley barbara)OUZTS W 120 15.00    
2  AIR FORCE WARS         (anderson susan)MACHADO LUAN 120 12.00 ★    
3  UNCLE DICK         (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 120 15.00    
4  J BOONE Jan02         (hern)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 20.00    
5  THISPOINTINTIME Jan01         (huffman pat)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 10.00    
SCR  FOREVER FACTUM Jan19 Jan04       (kerr randy )LAGUNES GABRIEL 115 30.00 ★    
7  FROOME (IRE)         (ward wesley )KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 0.80 76% 0.30    
8  IN FACT         (chapman j)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 30.00    
9  HEARNS         (mckeever andrew)MOJICA JR 120 12.00 ★    
10  OLD BEAU Jan22         (cook b)BEJARANO R 120 3.50 ★    
11  FAMA Y DINERO         (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 113 12.00    
 
TP-4   02/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ADMAA         (reed r)MCKEE J 124 5.00 34% 1.90    
2  CUZZYWUZZY         (danner doug)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 8.00 11% 8.50    
3  MISS ADELINE         (tomlinson )CORRALES GERARDO 124 6.00 ★    
4  SWEET DEVIL         (mccarthy michael)BEJARANO R 124 6.00    
5  PLIANTLEA Jan09         (mccarthy michae)ACHARD ALEX 122 5.00 6% 16.20    
6  ICE QUEEN         (colebrook ben)ROCCO S 124 4.00 25% 2.90    
7  DIAL AGAIN Jan09         (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 117 20.00    
8  MIDWAY'S ANGEL         (greenhill je)RAMOS D 124 15.00    
9  STELLAR GRACE         (catalano )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 8.00    
10  GOLDEN VOICE         (maker michae)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 10.00    
11  SOMEWHERE GOLDEN         (anderson susan)MACHADO LUAN 124 30.00    
SCR  RHUBARB MARTINI Jan08         (kenneally edd)TALAMO JOSEPH 117 15.00    
SCR  DO YOU LOVE ME Jan26         (beattie m)ROCCO S 124 8.00    
SCR  FEARLESS KITTEN         (garza hector)CANUTO THIAGO 117 15.00    
 
TP-5   02/17/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BLARNEY GIRL         (smith lar)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 6.00    
2  DELIGHTFUL BREEZE Jan08         (fernandez edward)FELIX E 118 5.00 15% 5.80    
3  REMEMBRANCE         (manning marian)MACHADO LUAN 124 15.00    
4  LUCKY SHORE         (sturgeon c)OUZTS W 124 20.00    
5  MISS GETTY UP Jan23 Jan09       (parker r)ACHARD ALEX 126 10.00 6% 16.10    
6  CANDYCREAM         (douaihy mich)ROMERO GREGORY 124 30.00    
SCR  LUCKY US         (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 3.00 22% 3.50    
8  SWEET SPIN         (sims phili)CORRALES GERARDO 124 6.00    
9  BIA BOLT RUNNER         (gonzalez lil)RAMOS D 124 12.00    
10  NINJA KITTEN Jan01         (sanchez e)BERMUDEZ E 124 30.00    
11  BETHY         (follmer cheryl)MOJICA JR 124 20.00    
12  MAOILIN Jan29         (brisset rodo)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 3.50 15% 5.70    
13  LOST WISH         (asmussen stev)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 2.50 22% 3.60    
SCR  FORT SKYWALKER         (barker w)OUZTS W 124 50.00    
 
TP-6   02/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($18K) Purse ($30K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BETHABARA Jan01         (grubbs jamie )JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 4.00 ★    
2  PRINCESS NINA Jan29 Jan08       (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 113 3.50 28% 2.50    
3  SAVING SOPHIE         (nihei michell)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 6.00    
4  KIMBERLEY DREAM Jan29 Jan09       (winston d)OUZTS W 120 20.00    
5  MATT'S HONEY         (chaudoin willi)MACHADO LUAN 120 20.00    
SCR  DISTINCTIVE FLOWER         (peach chadwick )MOJICA JR 120 15.00 14% 6.20    
7  ADDISON Jan07         (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 3.50    
8  GINNY B         (asmussen m)FELIX E 120 3.00 25% 3.00    
9  WONDER BLONDY Jan29         (fernandez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TP-7   02/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($66K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAPIT'S SPIRIT         (klopp randy)RAMOS D 123 12.00    
SCR  WHAT'S UP DUDE Jan01         (cristel)DE CRUZ 123 4.50    
3  SOLIDIFY Jan08         (brownfield cl)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 10.00 7% 13.00    
4  JOHN'S ROCK Jan23         (brafford miche)MACHADO LUAN 123 4.50 12% 7.30    
5  SEARING CHASE         (lobo h)ACHARD ALEX 123 8.00    
6  VIVID VERSE Jan08         (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 123 4.00 51% 1.00    
7  FLAP JACK         (sisterson jac)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 10.00    
8  LOOKINATAMIRACLE Jan08         (west ethan )FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 12.00 ★    
9  SOARING BIRD         (cundiff waylon)MILLER CHASE 123 8.00 6% 17.20    
SCR  PIRATE RICK Feb10 Jan07       (cash l)MCKEE J 123 8.00    
11  GET WESTERN         (mcgaughey re)ROCCO S 123 20.00    
12  INSOFAR         (caramori edua)MORALES EDGAR 123 30.00    
 
TP-8   02/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONKEY ZONE Jan23         (girdle)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 114 20.00    
2  DUEL FUEL Jan23 Jan14       (d'angelo )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 3.00 5% 19.00    
3  FAT ACCOUNT Jan02         (garner pet)CORRALES GERARDO 124 4.00 16% 5.30    
4  LUCKYINKENTUCKY         (brafford mich)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 12.00    
5  CARDIAC KID         (reed r)LEON SONNY 124 3.50 30% 2.40    
6  KILLER BEE Jan01         (garcia genaro)BEJARANO R 124 10.00    
7  FREDERICKTOWN         (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 124 8.00    
8  MR. FLATTERY Jan23 Jan16       (mcvickers lam)CANUTO THIAGO 117 20.00    
SCR  AUTOPILOT Jan16 Jan04       (bright derric)MORALES EDGAR 124 20.00    
10  GOLDEN TEXT         (reed r)MCKEE J 124 12.00    
11  SETSON Jan23         (beck rowena)ACHARD ALEX 124 30.00    
12  MR. BANYAN Jan23         (grubbs l)MACHADO LUAN 124 12.00 ★    
13  CLEVELAND SIMPSON         (west aaro)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 3.00 30% 2.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.