Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Thursday - February 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-1   02/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR HANDS ON Jan15         (keen da)GONCALVES R 123 12.00    
SCR  HONDO LANE Jan21         (davis h)MONTALVO C 123 6.00 11% 8.00    
3  BOBBY DON Jan21         (gustafson aus)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 4.00 26% 2.90    
4  REMEMBER ME TONY Jan21 Jan15       (young scott)WETHEY JR 123 3.00 ★    
5  MOVER Jan28         (cravens ronn)ALVAREZ L 123 3.50 ★    
6  ALTERNATE TIME Jan21         (calhoun wi)ERAMIA E 123 2.00 30% 2.30    
 
HOU-2   02/17/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13K) 35 ALL PT- 5:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WITTS SHOWTIME         (barton amand)PIVARAL GERBER 115 8.00 ★    
1A  SPICY WITT         (barton aman)MELANCON JANSEN 115 8.00    
2  MORO MERICA Jan30 Jan21       (williams )STEINBERG GARRETT 123 2.50 41% 1.40    
3  TWO STEPPING DISCO Feb05         (bustamante ray)MORA GERARDO 123 6.00 11% 7.80    
4  DUDA MATT         (swi)RODRIGUEZ ALBERTO 123 30.00    
5  BODYMOOR HEATH Jan30 Jan20       (gustafson aus)EIKLEBERRY RY 115 1.60 ★    
6  NOAH         (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 3.00 24% 3.20    
 
HOU-3   02/17/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  METALLIC SILVER Jan20         (roubion steve)SANCHEZ OBED 123 20.00    
SCR  MISS B         (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 6.00 ★    
3  MY BABYS GONE Jan21         (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 123 3.00 25% 3.00    
4  PRESLEY Jan23         (cravens ronn)ALVAREZ L 123 15.00    
5  HAWKEYE GIRL Jan29         (echeverria hecto)MONTALVO C 123 10.00    
6  GRAY ZONE Jan29         (davidson )TRIANA JR 123 12.00    
SCR  PINK POSSE Feb09         (thomas lee)ERAMIA E 123 4.00 47% 1.10    
SCR  SWEET LINDA         (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 8.00 ★    
9  LEMONS IS GONE Jan29         (padilla a)DIEGO V 123 10.00    
10  STALEMATE Jan29 Jan07       (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 12.00    
11  RUMPUS Jan29         (g)DE CRUZ 123 6.00 ★    
 
HOU-4   02/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13K) 45 ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRIPP SETTER Jan27         (pruitt jody)HAMILTON WESTON 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  OKLAHOMA HEAT Jan28         (offolter j)ERAMIA E 123 8.00 6% 16.30    
3  STEELY CAPER Jan28 Jan07       (pish da)GONCALVES R 123 10.00 8% 12.00    
4  GUARDSMAN PASS Jan14         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 2.00 36% 1.80    
5  GOSPEL BUZZ Jan28         (williams f)DIEGO V 123 6.00    
6  GOD'S PICK Jan07         (pearson m)MORA GERARDO 123 1.20 25% 2.90    
7  WARRIORS HAVEN Jan28         (saavedra mary)PEREZ E 123 30.00    
 
HOU-5   02/17/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  K C TIZ MORO Jan08         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 20.00    
SCR  CONGRATS FOR GLORY Jan29         (short thomas)DIAZ CARLOS 123 30.00    
3  VALLA         (young sco)TRIANA JR 123 6.00 25% 3.10    
SCR  CAPT. ST. JACQUES Jan22         (willis mind)MELANCON JANSEN 123 15.00 20% 4.00    
5  HE'S A BOMB Jan22         (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 15.00 5% 18.80    
SCR  AGENT PETER GRAVES Jan22         (young scott)WETHEY JR 123 3.00 28% 2.60    
7  BELEWS GOLD Jan28 Jan08       (willis min)ERAMIA E 123 3.50 ★    
SCR  BALKY Jan28 Jan08       (duhon paul)DIEGO V 123 15.00    
SCR  SPANKHURST Feb09 Jan21 Jan08     (pomier chase)PIVARAL GERBER 123 20.00    
10  ROSIE'S OUTLAW Jan28 Jan15 Jan08     (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 8.00    
SCR  BANJO BILL         (morris rowdy)MORA GERARDO 123 20.00    
12  INVINCIBILITY Jan17         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 4.50    
 
HOU-6   02/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 45 ALL PT- 7:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIR JASPER         (saavedra mary)PEREZ E 123 30.00 ★    
SCR  FORREST         (cast)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 30.00    
3  MORO WOLF         (gustafson aus)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 4.50 ★    
4  MR. WIMBLEDON BAY Jan28         (willis mi)TRIANA JR 123 3.50 26% 2.90    
5  EGOR OTAY         (hurley re)LANDEROS C 123 8.00    
6  ZIPPY G         (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 123 6.00 ★    
7  TWELVE PACK Feb05         (harri)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 118 30.00    
8  RUSH THE COLORS Jan15         (calhoun wi)ERAMIA E 123 1.00 49% 1.00    
 
HOU-7   02/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($37K) 3 F PT- 7:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BEER EMPRESS Feb04 Jan21       (pish da)GONCALVES R 122 10.00    
2  NOODLE SALAD Jan29         (biehler m)TRIANA JR 122 12.00    
3  BASIC         (gree)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 15.00 ★    
4  SILVERSCAPE         (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 122 20.00    
5  CATO'S LADY Jan07         (whitelaw mi)HAMILTON WESTON 122 3.00 24% 3.20    
6  CARIOQUINHA Jan07         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 1.20 33% 2.00    
7  IMALUCKYCHARM Jan27 Jan06       (jacks kare)ERAMIA E 122 8.00 14% 6.30    
8  ANNA CLAUSE Jan27         (duhon paul)MELANCON JANSEN 122 5.00 9% 9.90    
 
HOU-8   02/17/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13K) 3 F PT- 8:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WITTS MAGIC         (barton amand)PIVARAL GERBER 122 10.00    
1A  RUN WITT RUN Jan29         (barton aman)MELANCON JANSEN 122 10.00    
2  SHES NAKED         (triana ju)TRIANA JR 122 20.00    
3  EXPECT CANDY Feb09         (b)GARCIA-ALFARO AROLD 122 30.00    
4  TWO ANGELS Jan14 Jan06       (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  SEA OF LIFE Jan20 Jan06       (martinez )STEINBERG GARRETT 122 4.00 5% 19.00    
6  SHINING EXAMPLE Feb04 Jan20       (david)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 3.00 9% 10.00    
7  KELLEY'S MANDATE Feb04 Jan20       (caldwell r)LUZZI J 122 6.00 7% 12.60    
8  LITESTER Jan29         (pish danny)ERAMIA E 122 1.60 52% 0.90    
 
HOU-9   02/17/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HORN OF PLENTY Jan20         (fullerton k)HAMILTON WESTON 123 8.00    
SCR  PAYNTER PARTY Jan30 Jan08       (duhon paul)DIEGO V 123 3.00 32% 2.20    
3  LETHAL MOVE Jan30 Jan08       (pish da)GONCALVES R 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  NEEDABETTERJOCK Feb04 Jan15       (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 8.00    
5  OF THE MOMENT Jan22         (williamson b)ALVAREZ L 123 6.00 ★    
SCR  STANS HOOKIN BULL Jan30         (jac)URIETA MANUEL 123 20.00    
7  HEROIC SONG Jan21         (young scott)WETHEY JR 123 12.00    
8  PALUXY Jan30 Jan06       (calhoun wi)ERAMIA E 123 10.00    
9  OLD SOT Jan30 Jan08       (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 12.00    
SCR  CHANGI Jan09         (dolan jea)ULLOA JOAN 123 30.00    
SCR  UNCLE ARTIE Feb05         (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 8.00 6% 15.90    
12  MAU MAU (BRZ) Feb09 Jan21 Jan08     (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 123 10.00    
13  HALF OURS TO KEEP Jan30 Jan20 Jan08     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 4.00 37% 1.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.