Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fair Grounds
Thursday - February 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FG-1   02/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  FLIT N FLOT TIME         (moran clyde)MOJICA O 117 12.00    
SCR  BIG TIME BANDIT         (moran clyde)MOJICA O 117 12.00    
NINEJUANJUAN CALL Jan30         (gomez jorge)MORALES ROBERTO 117 5.00 11% 8.40    
SCAT TIME         (casse mark)CARROLL DECLAN 117 6.00    
CHARLIE'S TOWN Jan05         (thomas lee)MARQUEZ L 123 8.00    
PERMANENTDETENTION Jan28 Jan17 Jan06     (williams kevin)CULP BRIANNE 120 4.50 6% 17.00    
FORTY THREE Jan17         (balderas alf)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 4.00    
ADIEU LE CHAT Jan29 Jan08       (alonzo ho)PEDROZA MARCELINO 125 1.80 56% 0.80    
CATCHIN DRAMA Jan17         (morrell cy)ALBERT S 120 20.00    
 
FG-2   02/17/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOLD MINISTER Jan29 Jan01       (richard chris)GRAHAM J 121 4.00    
HELLUVA LIFE Jan01         (broberg kar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 3.00 29% 2.40    
PLEMMONSTON Feb04 Jan13       (leonard i)PARKER L 121 8.00    
SCR  FLASHY RICHIE Feb05 Jan13       (rodriguez)ULLOA JOAN 121 8.00    
NO KA OI         (wilson shane)RIQUELME J 121 6.00    
A. K. SAFARI Feb05 Jan08       (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 4.00 21% 3.80    
FIFTYFIVE STRONG Jan29 Jan01       (leonard ge)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 3.50 21% 3.90    
 
FG-3   02/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($24K) 3 ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FLEET OF HOOF         (tracy tanner)MOJICA O 120 20.00    
FULLY CONNECTED Jan22         (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00    
UNDER DISCUSSION         (calhoun wi)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00    
SCR  WHISKEY GENT Jan20         (brinkman )PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 12.00    
COFFEE WITH ALEX         (walsh brenda)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 6.00    
FASTNFURIOUS Jan16         (jeansonne justin)PARKER L 120 12.00    
COURTHOUSE COVE Jan20         (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 8.00    
FEROCITY Jan23         (heitzman eri)LAVIOLETTE S 120 15.00    
DOT'S DOLLAR         (stall alber)MORALES ROBERTO 120 4.50 20% 4.10    
SCR  STREET N SOUR Jan17         (sharp joe)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 5.00    
SCR  LORD ZED Jan17         (cox brad )HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 53% 0.90    
12  TEE BURNS Jan16         (margolis r)GRAHAM J 120 4.00    
13  CYCLONE Jan17         (sharp joe)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.50 7% 13.70    
 
FG-4   02/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($24K) 3 F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VERY WEALTHY         (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 6.00    
ARLYNE'S CROWN Jan01         (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 3.50 17% 4.80    
WILLAMINA         (kenneally ed)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 5.00    
FIRED UP TIGER Jan20         (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 42% 1.40    
NIBBLES         (stidham mi)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 3.00 20% 4.00    
SUPER FIRE Jan22         (stewart d)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00    
 
FG-5   02/17/2022 4950ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($23K) 3 F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SURREY Jan10         (harrison cort)GILLIGAN JACK 120 10.00    
SCR  JUNIE         (harrison cortland)SINGH R 120 10.00    
CHATON ROUGE Feb06 Jan14       (glover tracey)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 8.00    
SPARKLING WATER         (maker mich)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 6.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  SUMMER TSUNAMI Jan23 Jan08       (wilson shane)RIQUELME J 120 5.00    
SCR  FREUDIAN Jan20 Jan09       (hartman chris)GREEN AUBRIE 120 1.80 43% 1.30    
TWIN CAUSE Jan20         (hartman chris)GRAHAM J 120 6.00 12% 7.00    
SHE'S CUSTOM MADE Jan20         (gelner scott)PARKER L 120 10.00    
SCR  JULESFORYOU         (jeansonne ju)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 8.00    
 
FG-6   02/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($24K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPECIAL CONNECTION         (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 6.00    
EXPLOSIVELY HOT Jan03         (ney john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 20.00    
NEW YEAR'S PARTY         (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 12.00    
PLATINUM QUEEN Jan17 Jan03       (foster m)GRAHAM J 121 4.50 25% 3.00    
THE MISSING PIECE Jan17         (hargrave k)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 10.00    
SUZIE'S DREAM Jan30         (briley lonnie)GREEN AUBRIE 121 8.00 7% 12.90    
SIENNA BREEZE Jan30         (rosier charles)CULP BRIANNE 116 10.00    
SPEAK TO ME Jan17         (faucheux ro)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.00 37% 1.70    
MAW MAW'S SOPHIA Feb06         (ducoing st)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.50 8% 12.10    
 
FG-7   02/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($53K) 3 ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARCO         (asmussen m)GRAHAM J 119 3.00 28% 2.60    
MY HEAVY SON Jan14         (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 30.00    
GUTZY Jan08         (camejo jose)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 8.00    
SCR  RUNNINGINTHEMONEY Jan20         (balderas alfon)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 8.00    
SCR  LETSTAKEITOUTSIDE Jan14         (jeansonne justin)PARKER L 119 8.00 11% 8.20    
SCR  ORDER UP Feb05         (flint stev)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 8.00    
BRON AND BROW Jan14         (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 1.60 35% 1.80    
BIG SCULLY Jan20         (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00    
 
FG-8   02/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($46K) 3 ALL PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SETNA THE WISE         (barkley ja)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00    
SCR  TWENTYONE N CHANGE Jan17         (silva miguel)MOJICA O 122 10.00    
LAPIS LAZULI Jan17         (casse w)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 5.00 25% 3.00    
TREASURE HUNTING         (amoss m)GRAHAM J 122 6.00    
BRION Jan23         (stidham mic)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 4.50    
SERGEANT RECKLESS         (alonzo ho)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 20.00    
MIZZEN MAN Jan17         (flint bern)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 10.00    
SCR  PORT ROYAL         (desormeaux kei)PARKER L 122 12.00    
BROKEN RIB         (modica oscar)VARGAS P 122 20.00    
SCR  OVER CALENDARED         (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00    
11  BET HE'S READY Jan17         (asmussen steve)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 3.00 49% 1.00    
12  MARITAL BLISS (FR) Jan23         (amoss m)GRAHAM J 122 3.50 5% 18.20    
 
FG-9   02/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($53K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARGE THE LINE Jan27 Jan02       (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 117 2.50 27% 2.70    
SOUL STREIT Jan02         (sharp joe)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.00 48% 1.10    
BIG UNION         (forster gr)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00    
SUGGESTED         (casse w)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 12.00    
MONEY MIKE Jan16 Jan01       (cash l)GRAHAM J 120 20.00    
PLEDGEOFALLEGIANCE Jan23         (mcgee pau)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 4.00    
BOOTSIE'S GALAXY         (david b)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 8.00    
SIR GIANNIS Jan17         (foley gre)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.